This study focuses on the influence of weather and climate on malaria occurrence based on human-biometeorological methods was carried out in Ondo State, Nigeria using meteorological and malaria dataset in the state fo...This study focuses on the influence of weather and climate on malaria occurrence based on human-biometeorological methods was carried out in Ondo State, Nigeria using meteorological and malaria dataset in the state for the period from 1998 to 2008. In addition, sea surface temperatures (SSTs) over equatorial Pacific Ocean were integrated in the analysis. The association between each of the meteorological-biometeorological parameters and clinical-reported malaria cases was examined by using Poisson distribution and log as link function between the two categories of dataset. The next step was the building of a model by using Poisson multiple regression models (GLMs) in order to know the weather variables that lead to statistically changes in clinical-reported malaria cases. The study revealed that an increase of I m.s1 of wind speed can lead to an increase of about 164% and 171% in the monthly occurrence of malaria at 95% confidence interval in derived savanna and humid forest zone respectively. Also, an increase of I ℃ in air temperature and sea surface temperature is associated with 53.4% and 29% increase in monthly malaria occurrence (CI: 95%) in derived savanna while an increase of 1 ℃ in air temperature and sea surface temperature is associated with 56.4% and 15.4% increase in monthly malaria occurrence at 95% confidence interval in humid forest zone of Ondo State展开更多
High temperatures of the asphalt concrete pavements in summer contribute to the heat island phenomenon in the urban areas. The effective cool-pavement technologies are sought to mitigate the pavement environment. In t...High temperatures of the asphalt concrete pavements in summer contribute to the heat island phenomenon in the urban areas. The effective cool-pavement technologies are sought to mitigate the pavement environment. In this paper, developed heat-reflective pavements are constructed from open-graded asphalt concrete, in which voids in the upper part of the pavement are filled with a cement mortar, containing recycled materials as a fine aggregate. The recycled materials used in this study are: crushed oyster shells, roof tile debris, pottery debris, glass cullet, crushed escallops and coral sand. The temperature reduction of the pavement surfaces at an open site is measured in the summer. The results show that the maximum surface temperature of the pavements falls by approximately 8-10 ℃ compared to the asphalt concrete pavement. Furthermore, it is found that the temperature reduction is mainly due to the increased solar radiation reflectance of the pavement surface.展开更多
The sea surface temperature (SST) in the In- dian Ocean affects the regional climate over the Asian continent mostly through a modulation of the monsoon system. It is still difficult to provide an a priori indicatio...The sea surface temperature (SST) in the In- dian Ocean affects the regional climate over the Asian continent mostly through a modulation of the monsoon system. It is still difficult to provide an a priori indication of the seasonal variability over the Indian Ocean. It is widely recognized that the warm and cold events of SST over the tropical Indian Ocean are strongly linked to those of the equatorial eastern Pacific. In this study, a statistical prediction model has been developed to predict the monthly SST over the tropical Indian Ocean. This model is a linear regression model based on the lag relationship between the SST over the tropical Indian Ocean and the Nino3.4 (5°S-5°N, 170°W-120°W) SST Index. The pre- dictor (i.e., Nino3.4 SST Index) has been operationally predicted by a large size ensemble E1 Nifio and the Southern Oscillation (ENSO) forecast system with cou- pled data assimilation (Leefs_CDA), which achieves a high predictive skill of up to a 24-month lead time for the equatorial eastern Pacific SST. As a result, the prediction skill of the present statistical model over the tropical In- dian Ocean is better than that of persistence prediction for January 1982 through December 2009.展开更多
The occurrence and the detection system of mesophilic and psychrotrophic aerobic sporulating microorganisms (MPAS) in raw cow's milk were studied. Samples of raw cow's bulk tank milk were taken 21 times in 14 farm...The occurrence and the detection system of mesophilic and psychrotrophic aerobic sporulating microorganisms (MPAS) in raw cow's milk were studied. Samples of raw cow's bulk tank milk were taken 21 times in 14 farms during one year. Basis of the method for MPAS assessment is the milk sample inactivation at the temperature 80-82 ℃ for 30 minutes followed by incubation in cultivation dishes at 30 -4- 1 ℃ for 3 days-mesophilic aerobic sporulates (MAS), and at 6.5 .4- 1 ℃ for 10 days-psychrotrophic aerobic sporulates (PAS). The total count of MPAS was within the span 2.5-340 CFU/mL (colony forming units). Average plate count of MPAS was 59.4 CFU/mL with variation coefficient 93.1%. MPAS count found in the same dishes at incubation for mesophilic and subsequently strictly psychrophilic microorganisms (MAS + SPAS) which enables to exclude overestimation of results by sporulates able to grow at both incubation temperatures was on average 56.9 CFU/mL what represents 95.8% out of the number of sums of individual dishes at two temperatures (MAS + PAS). Correlation coefficient of these two types of results r = 0.99 gives evidence of close dependence that is expressed by linear regression equation y = 0.9773x. We can consider the method using at first 30 .4- 1 ℃ and subsequently 6.5 -4-1℃ (MAS + SPAS) as more correct than the method with the opposite order of cultivation temperatures because of better regression coefficient of linear dependence and higher correlation coefficient in relation to the sum of independent incubations (MAS + PAS).展开更多
The nitride-strengthened martensitic heat resistant steel is precipitation strengthened only by nitrides.In the present work,the effect of nitride precipitation behavior on the impact toughness of an experimental stee...The nitride-strengthened martensitic heat resistant steel is precipitation strengthened only by nitrides.In the present work,the effect of nitride precipitation behavior on the impact toughness of an experimental steel was investigated.Nitrides could hardly be observed when the steel was tempered at 650℃.When the tempering temperature was increased to 700℃ and 750℃,a large amount of nitrides were observed in the matrix.It was surprising to reveal that the impact energy of the half-size samples greatly increased from several Joules to nearly a hundred Joules.The ductile-brittle transition temperature(DBTT) was also discovered to decrease from room temperature to 50℃ when the tempering temperature was increased from 650℃ to 750℃.The nitride precipitation with increasing tempering temperature was revealed to be responsible for the improved impact toughness.展开更多
文摘This study focuses on the influence of weather and climate on malaria occurrence based on human-biometeorological methods was carried out in Ondo State, Nigeria using meteorological and malaria dataset in the state for the period from 1998 to 2008. In addition, sea surface temperatures (SSTs) over equatorial Pacific Ocean were integrated in the analysis. The association between each of the meteorological-biometeorological parameters and clinical-reported malaria cases was examined by using Poisson distribution and log as link function between the two categories of dataset. The next step was the building of a model by using Poisson multiple regression models (GLMs) in order to know the weather variables that lead to statistically changes in clinical-reported malaria cases. The study revealed that an increase of I m.s1 of wind speed can lead to an increase of about 164% and 171% in the monthly occurrence of malaria at 95% confidence interval in derived savanna and humid forest zone respectively. Also, an increase of I ℃ in air temperature and sea surface temperature is associated with 53.4% and 29% increase in monthly malaria occurrence (CI: 95%) in derived savanna while an increase of 1 ℃ in air temperature and sea surface temperature is associated with 56.4% and 15.4% increase in monthly malaria occurrence at 95% confidence interval in humid forest zone of Ondo State
文摘High temperatures of the asphalt concrete pavements in summer contribute to the heat island phenomenon in the urban areas. The effective cool-pavement technologies are sought to mitigate the pavement environment. In this paper, developed heat-reflective pavements are constructed from open-graded asphalt concrete, in which voids in the upper part of the pavement are filled with a cement mortar, containing recycled materials as a fine aggregate. The recycled materials used in this study are: crushed oyster shells, roof tile debris, pottery debris, glass cullet, crushed escallops and coral sand. The temperature reduction of the pavement surfaces at an open site is measured in the summer. The results show that the maximum surface temperature of the pavements falls by approximately 8-10 ℃ compared to the asphalt concrete pavement. Furthermore, it is found that the temperature reduction is mainly due to the increased solar radiation reflectance of the pavement surface.
基金supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No. 2012CB417404)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos.41075064 and 41176014)
文摘The sea surface temperature (SST) in the In- dian Ocean affects the regional climate over the Asian continent mostly through a modulation of the monsoon system. It is still difficult to provide an a priori indication of the seasonal variability over the Indian Ocean. It is widely recognized that the warm and cold events of SST over the tropical Indian Ocean are strongly linked to those of the equatorial eastern Pacific. In this study, a statistical prediction model has been developed to predict the monthly SST over the tropical Indian Ocean. This model is a linear regression model based on the lag relationship between the SST over the tropical Indian Ocean and the Nino3.4 (5°S-5°N, 170°W-120°W) SST Index. The pre- dictor (i.e., Nino3.4 SST Index) has been operationally predicted by a large size ensemble E1 Nifio and the Southern Oscillation (ENSO) forecast system with cou- pled data assimilation (Leefs_CDA), which achieves a high predictive skill of up to a 24-month lead time for the equatorial eastern Pacific SST. As a result, the prediction skill of the present statistical model over the tropical In- dian Ocean is better than that of persistence prediction for January 1982 through December 2009.
文摘The occurrence and the detection system of mesophilic and psychrotrophic aerobic sporulating microorganisms (MPAS) in raw cow's milk were studied. Samples of raw cow's bulk tank milk were taken 21 times in 14 farms during one year. Basis of the method for MPAS assessment is the milk sample inactivation at the temperature 80-82 ℃ for 30 minutes followed by incubation in cultivation dishes at 30 -4- 1 ℃ for 3 days-mesophilic aerobic sporulates (MAS), and at 6.5 .4- 1 ℃ for 10 days-psychrotrophic aerobic sporulates (PAS). The total count of MPAS was within the span 2.5-340 CFU/mL (colony forming units). Average plate count of MPAS was 59.4 CFU/mL with variation coefficient 93.1%. MPAS count found in the same dishes at incubation for mesophilic and subsequently strictly psychrophilic microorganisms (MAS + SPAS) which enables to exclude overestimation of results by sporulates able to grow at both incubation temperatures was on average 56.9 CFU/mL what represents 95.8% out of the number of sums of individual dishes at two temperatures (MAS + PAS). Correlation coefficient of these two types of results r = 0.99 gives evidence of close dependence that is expressed by linear regression equation y = 0.9773x. We can consider the method using at first 30 .4- 1 ℃ and subsequently 6.5 -4-1℃ (MAS + SPAS) as more correct than the method with the opposite order of cultivation temperatures because of better regression coefficient of linear dependence and higher correlation coefficient in relation to the sum of independent incubations (MAS + PAS).
基金supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No. 2010CB630800)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 51001102)
文摘The nitride-strengthened martensitic heat resistant steel is precipitation strengthened only by nitrides.In the present work,the effect of nitride precipitation behavior on the impact toughness of an experimental steel was investigated.Nitrides could hardly be observed when the steel was tempered at 650℃.When the tempering temperature was increased to 700℃ and 750℃,a large amount of nitrides were observed in the matrix.It was surprising to reveal that the impact energy of the half-size samples greatly increased from several Joules to nearly a hundred Joules.The ductile-brittle transition temperature(DBTT) was also discovered to decrease from room temperature to 50℃ when the tempering temperature was increased from 650℃ to 750℃.The nitride precipitation with increasing tempering temperature was revealed to be responsible for the improved impact toughness.