进出口与经济增长关系的总需求和总供给模型分析

本文运用宏观经济学中总需求-总供给模型,分析我国进出口与经济增长的关系,得出我国进出口与经济增长的关系与我国经济所处的运行阶段密切相关,在不同的时期有不同的关系。在需求约束条件下,出口与经济增长正相关,而在供给约束条件下,净出口与经济增长负相关,进口与经济增长正相关。

京津合并,以功能剥离实现首都环境的根本改善——关于北京城市总体规划的一个构想

北京的城市病之所以比其他城市更为严重,根本之点在于城市为维系自身的运行而实际上步入了工业化竞争的行列,而工业化又借助政治中心和文化中心的优势实现了加速发展。这个问题依靠新建卫星城是解决不了的,一条根本出路在于实行京津合并,让天津成为北京的工业园区,以经济功能的剥离实现首都城区的卸荷,从而确保政治中心和文化中心功能的充分发挥。

Co-seismic Landslide Inventory and Susceptibility Mapping in the 2008 Wenchuan Earthquake Disaster Area,China

The Ms 8.0 May 12,2008 Wenchuan earthquake triggered tens of thousands of landslides.The widespread landslides have caused serious casualties and property losses,and posed a great threat to post-earthquake reconstruction.A spatial database,inventoried 43,842 landslides with a total area of 632 km 2,was developed by interpretation of multi-resolution remote sensing images.The landslides can be classified into three categories:swallow,disrupted slides and falls;deep-seated slides and falls,and rock avalanches.The correlation between landslides distribution and the influencing parameters including distance from co-seismic fault,lithology,slope gradient,elevation,peak ground acceleration(PGA) and distance from drainage were analyzed.The distance from co-seismic fault was the most significant parameter followed by slope gradient and PGA was the least significant one.A logistic regression model combined with bivariate statistical analysis(BSA) was adopted for landslide susceptibility mapping.The study area was classified into five categories of landslide susceptibility:very low,low,medium,high and very high.92.0% of the study area belongs to low and very low categories with corresponding 9.0% of the total inventoried landslides.Medium susceptible zones make up 4.2% of the area with 17.7% of the total landslides.The rest of the area was classified into high and very high categories,which makes up 3.9% of the area with corresponding 73.3% of the total landslides.Although the susceptibility map can reveal the likelihood of future landslides and debris flows,and it is helpful for the rebuilding process and future zoning issues.

Tuo Shan Yan Dam and City Ningbo： Exploring the Historical Logic of Urban Water Management through a Big City of China

Tuo Shan Yan Dam is a small darn which was built above Yinjiang River at the Yinjiang Town, Ningbo City, Zhejiang Province of China in 833 AD, but it is greatly contributed to Ningbo City, a current big port city of China. The dam and the matched system had become a key hydro-infrastructure to the city＇s existence and development, and irrigation of the countryside nearby the city from ninth century up to 1987, a big dam was built at upper reach to control water of the river. Tuo Shan Yan Dam functioned an important role in the local water management and met a series of purposes perfectly, mainly as： （a） regulation of the river water; （b） save the flood; （c） stop the salinization; （d） urban water supply; （e） storage of flesh water; （f） irrigation; （g） ship transportation. And it is a miracle that it has been functioned for more than one thousand years. This dam also influenced the local social life and people＇s spiritual world simultaneously. The construction of the dam and its matched hydro-system is in line with the Chinese ancient logic of urban water management to manage river to meet a multi-proposes of urban development by a key project and a systemic engineering design. It is an important case for better understanding of ancient Chinese urban water management and to learn from the history for current water sustainability. Accordingly, the dam＇s design, construction and its influence on the local societies are studied in this article.

Disclosure and Disapproval in Philip Roth＇s Works

The principle objective of this paper is to research into Philip Roth＇s uncovering and opposition to American racial discrimination, foreign wars and free love. By reading Philip Roth＇s novels concerning these aspects and referring to studies done by other scholars in these fields, after a careful and logical analysis, the writer of this paper draws a reasonable conclusion about Philip Roth＇s attitudes toward these matters. In many of his works, Philip Roth exposes and condemns racial discrimination in American society, displays and criticizes the culture of free love, unfolds American people＇s calamities caused by foreign wars and expresses his protest against foreign wars.

Freudenberg pushes the limits of innovation with Evolon~? New Generation

Building on the success of the company’s unique Evolon？product,Freudenberg Performance Materials has now pushed the limits even further by developing Evolon？New Generation.This high-tech textile is made from super-microfilaments that are half the thickness and twice the density of those used in the original Evolon？.Evolon？

Logic and Trends behind Chinese Bovernment Reform

From the perspective of public administration, China＇s government re tbrm coincides with China＇s 30 years of reform and opening-up. Therefore, government reform, in particular central government reform, provides us another perspective to look at the past 30 years of reform and opening-up. Although China＇s central government has gone through six rounds of reform over the past three decades, goverument reforms still face major challenges. Approached from the relationship between the transformation of the social order and government reform, this paper tries to understand the basic logic behind China＇s government reform. By reviewing the history of institutional reform and analyzing current restrictions that confront China＇s government reform, this paper points out the trends of China＇s government reform. In this paper, the authors try to study the micro and macro motivations of China＇s governmental reform by using public choice theory, and briefly comment on the ＂super ministry system.＂ .

Reflections on Amendments to the Journal's Editing Standards

A 10-year-old unified editing standard was recently abolished in the field of humanities and social science journals. This is because the standard failed in showing equal respect to disciplinary differences, in keeping with Chinese culturaltraditions, and in gaining acceptance among journal editors. As such, amendment efforts to the National Standard should be undertaken patiently and in a practical manner to achieve agreement within this publishing field.

Newness has put denim back in the saddle again

Two years ago,the New York Times ran a headline,"Denim is Dead.Long Live Denim,"which explained how the casualization of dress that denim instigated had led to the even more laid-back athleisure movement.

The Environmental Democracy under Political Siege in Turkey

On June 24th, 2018, President Tayyip Erdogan, along with his pro-Islamic party, the Justice and Development Pazty, AKP, won the general election in Turkey, which will enable Mr. Erdogan to be a one-man ruler of the Republic of Turkey in the foreseeable future. Now, invested with infinite executive-presidential power, coupled with having complete control of the military, cabinet, judiciary and legislative branches, enables Mr. Erdogan to pursue his ambition to be a “nuclea3： power leader” in the Sunni Islamic world. The scientific denialism in general and environmental science, in particular, will reach a whole new level of insanity in Turkey where any conceivable environmental democracy will be abolished. The new government will further change the education establishment in every level and implement its anti-science political doctrines in which logic is an enemy and scientific truth is a menace. The last fifteen years of experience show that the AKP＇s politicians have become anti-science zealots who preach a dangerously new political cultism that is devoid of actual facts, if it does not fit their religious aberration narrative, Thus, virtually every aspect of the nuclear power program in Turkey will be a state secret under the control of one religiously motivated and driven ruler and this, should certainly sound alarm bells across the globe.

Texworld USA Winter 2018 edition will feature in-demand and on-trend fabrics

After the success of Texworld USA in July,the important global sourcing show returned to the Javits Convention Center January 22-24,2018.Texworld USA is a dynamic industry event and business platform bringing together the best apparel fabric,

The Mission and Value of Industry——Theoretical Logic of Industrial Transformation and Upgrading in China

China is currently in a critical stage of industrial transformation, the key to which is the transformation of the manufacturing industry. Research on industrial transformation is essentially an exploration of the origin of industry and the values of industrial development. Industry offers the impetus for human development and contributes to social welfare. Industrial transformation is a simultaneous representation of the innovative and revolutionary nature of industry. Currently, industrialization is far from being complete in China and most regions of China have yet to develop a strong social foundation of modern industrial civilization. China still has large gaps with the standards of developed industrial powers. In addition to the lack of a solid industrial, technological foundation, China＇s industrial transformation and upgrade are confronted by the negative inclination towards excessive ＂instrumental rationalism＂. An obsession with speed, quantity, capital appreciation, and the single-minded pursuit of profitability have constrained the real values of industry. China＇ s current industrial transformation essentially requires a readjustment of the relationship between instrumental utility and real values and calls for a release of the innovative capabilities of industry. Currently, one of the most imperative, strategic tasks for China is to continue strengthening its industry. In-depth integration between industrialization and IT application will bring China＇ s industrial civilization to a new level.

China Produces World's First Gene-Edited Dogs Using CRISPR/Cas9 System

Dogs exhibit close similarities to humans in terms of metabolic,physiological,and anatomical characteristics,and thus are ideal genetic and clinical models to study human diseases.Gene target technology is a powerful tool to create new strains of animals with favorable trails.However,gene-target dogs were not developed for a long time due to their unique species-specific reproductive characteristics which limited their applications,especially in the field of biomedical research.Recently.

Effect of Socio-Economic Variables on Fish Production of Small Farmers in Tocantins State, Brazil

Fish farming is a strategic activity for both the economy and food security of the Tocantins state. Nowadays, there are about eighty small fish farmers in the region of Divin6polis in Tocantins state. The technological level of fish farmers is low and it was found that only 30% of farmers could ever get to the point of selling fish. Therefore, the objective of this paper is to investigate which socioeconomic factors have influence on the fact of fish farmers in the region of Divin6polis and in Tocantins state reach a level of efficiency in production enough that the fish can be good for sale in the local market. To estimate this relation the logit model was chosen, with methodology based on the empirical model used in Musaba and Namukwambi. Following the production of fish farms in the Western of Tocantins state, the collect of the data, during 2012, were conduct with interviews of 30 fish farms, visiting them in their homes and applying a questionnaire. Through the use of econometric models of probability for limited dependent variables, it was found that factors such as participation in federal programs to transfer income, total area of water and production in ponds are key factors in determining the likelihood of producer to sell fish.

The New Normal from the Perspective of Macro History and Grand Logic of China's Economic Development

This paper attempts to explain the "new normal" of China's economic development put forward by XI Jinping, the General Secretary of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, from three perspectives. First, as the new normal is a natural phase of long-term development in the country's renaissance, recognition of it helps policy-making to hold a historical perspective and maintain a patience in the face of growth slowdown. Second, the new normal as the logic of China's economic development underlines the necessity and urgency of transforming growth patterns and growth drivers. Third, different from the "new mediocre" of the world economy, the new normal reveals great potentials of sustainable growth of the Chinese economy that must be tapped through structural reforms.

Multidimensional Utopia： Chinese Logic of the Future Imagination of the Three-body Problem

The greatest charm of science fiction is not the artistic imagination, but the scientific imagination.Liu Cixin＇s the Three-body Problem as a Chinese science fiction novel, reflected Chinese writer how to think science and technology and its possible future of mankind＇s imagination. This novel contained ＂Deconstruction＂ Utopia, ＂Transcendence＂ dystopia and ＂Composited＂ Heterotopias, Which fully demonstrated singularity politics＇s great ideological tension between post modernity thinking of in this or that and typical Chinese style doctrine and dialectics.

《刘申叔遗书补遗》评

《刘申叔遗书补遗》(下简称《补遗》),万仕国辑校,广陵书社2008年12月出版,精装二册。这是作者'在编写《刘师培年谱》的过程中','先后发现不少《刘申叔先生遗书》未收的文章',从而辑校成书的。钱玄同等搜编,南桂馨出资于1936年编成的《刘申叔先生遗书》74种,素为学界重视,且先后为国内以及台湾地区影印。由于当时条件所限,未能搜集齐全,特别是报刊所载《补遗》从国家图书馆、北京图书馆、上海图书馆。

Preface

The past decade has witnessed the significantly increasing impact of the Chinese chemical community worldwide and the Chinese chemists are playing an irreplaceable important role.This is reflected by not only the increased number but also the improved quality of scientific publications.Some top level original works have opened new fields

The Logic of Contingency in China＇s Insistence on the Non-interference Principle

China＇s insistence on the non-interference principle has been increasingly inconsistent. While China＇s concern with sovereignty, regime security, and legitimacy, as well as its developing country identity, have pushed it to continue its insistence on the principle of non-interference, China＇s further adaptation to the international system, increasing engagement in intemational institutions, and new identity as a responsible power have led China to drag its feet on the same principle. To reconcile these competing forces, China has to make concessions, namely, setting preconditions to legitimize intervention, designing a sovereignty-first solution, and/or complementing the non-interference principle with alternative principles. China＇s application of the non-interference principle has thus been made contingent. It is more inflexible at one end of a spectrum and more flexible at the other end, with China＇s foreign policies shifting back and forth between them.

Urban Expansion and Spatiotemporal Relationships with Driving Factors Revealed by Geographically Weighted Logistic Regression

Urbanization improves our lives but also threatens human health and sustainable development. Revealing the spatiotemporal pattern of urban expansion and spatiotemporal relationships with driving forces, especially in terms of the ubiquitous and fast growing small city, is a crucial prerequisite to solving these problems and realizing sustainable development. Kunshan, China was used as a case study here. Eleven variables from four aspects covering physical, socioeconomic, accessibility and neighborhood were selected, and logistic regression and geographically weighted logistic regression modeling were employed to explore spatiotemporal relationships from 1991-2014. Results reveal that urban expansion in Kunshan shows an accelerating tendency with annual expansion from 2000-2014 four times higher than for 1991-2000. More importantly, the annual expansion rate of Kunshan of 28.42% in 2000-2014 is higher than that of a large city. Urban expansion and related factors have spatiotemporal varying relationships. From a global perspective, the closer to a city, town, main road and the higher the GDP, the more likely a region will undergo urbanization. Interestingly, the effect of population on urban expansion is decreasing, especially in developed areas, and the effect of distance to lake is enhanced. From a local perspective, the magnitude and even the sign of the coefficients vary across the study area. However, the range of the coefficient of GWLR is around that of the corresponding variable in LR, and the sign of most variables in GWLR is consistent with that of corresponding variables in LR. GWLR surpasses LR with the same explanatory variables in revealing regional differences and improving model reliability. Based on these findings, more attention should be given to small cities in China. Promoting the connotation of city culture and public services to realize New-type Urbanization and regional diversity policy in order to manage urban expansion scientifically are also recommended.