调整经济结构推动区域经济协调发展——基于Panel-data的实证分析

地区经济结构的不合理是影响本地区经济发展的一个主要障碍因素。利用Panel-data(面板数据)模型实证分析中国东、中、西部地区经济结构对各地区的经济总体规模及资本产出效率的影响,阐明地区经济结构存在的差异,指出经济结构的优化调整对推动经济发展的作用,同时说明经济结构的优化升级对强化资源的有效配置、提高资本的产出效率(资本的产出弹性)、推动区域经济的协调发展有着积极作用。

中国的地区经济结构与平衡发展

本文实证分析了中国东部、中部和西部三个经济区的经济结构对经济的影响,说明东部、中部、西部经济区存在明显的经济结构差异,文中指出东部地区要强调第三产业的发展,特别是商业和金融性的第三产业发展;而在中部地区要强调第二产业的发展,特别是工业化发展;在西部地区要强调第三产业的发展,特别是与生态环境保护、旅游、文化和科技,以及军事相关的第三产业的发展。并且这样的经济结构调整还必须配套性地从西部经济区向东部、中部经济区进行有计划或有规划的劳动力转移。

ANALYSIS ON POVERTY IN MOUNTAIN AREAS BASED ON OFF-FARM INDUSTRIES

This paper reveals that agricultural growth trend in China is strongly correlated with the growth of off-farm industries-the curve of net income from off-farm industries reflects the general characteristics of net income of households. That means the increase of net income of farm households is chiefly from off-farm industries,more than from agriculture. The authors therefore conclude that the "poverty" in mountain areas or the gap between mountain areas and plain areas lies in the underdevelopment of off-farm industries in mountain areas. Finally,the authors make suggestions of strategic adjustment of economic structure: 1) present situation of mountain areas in China should be fully considered; 2) a full industrial system is not our desire; 3) advantageous industries should be promoted to create famous products; 4) industrialization and urbanization in mountain areas should be promoted and so on.