考虑环境熟悉度的行人疏散模型研究

为研究不同环境熟悉度下行人疏散时的特性,将熟悉度参数引入到传统地场模型中,修正模型的转移概率,并将模型中原有动态场改进为基于距离选择的动态场,建立扩展的行人疏散模型。以无障碍物建筑物及教室为例,分析熟悉度不变、可变时各参数对行人疏散的影响。数值模拟结果表明,扩展模型在给定静态参数条件下,疏散时间随熟悉程度的增加而减少;熟悉度较低时,陌生概率下的跟随移动策略优于其他策略;同时模型能够避免自身及后方行人的干扰。该模型可为建筑物设计、疏散性能评估和突发事件下的疏散引导等提供一定指导。

On simulation of precise orbit determination of HY-2 with centimeter precision based on satellite-borne GPS technique

The HY-2 satellite carrying a satellite-borne GPS receiver is the first Chinese radar altimeter satellite, whose radial orbit determination precision must reach the centimeter level. Now HY-2 is in the test phase so that the observations are not openly released. In order to study the precise orbit determination precision and procedure for HY-2 based on the satellite- borne GPS technique, the satellite-borne GPS data are simulated in this paper. The HY-2 satellite-borne GPS antenna can receive at least seven GPS satellites each epoch, which can validate the GPS receiver and antenna design. What＇s more, the precise orbit determination processing flow is given and precise orbit determination experiments are conducted using the HY-2-borne GPS data with both the reduced-dynamic method and the kinematic geometry method. With the 1 and 3 mm phase data random errors, the radial orbit determination precision can achieve the centimeter level using these two methods and the kinematic orbit accuracy is slightly lower than that of the reduced-dynamic orbit. The earth gravity field model is an important factor which seriously affects the precise orbit determination of altimeter satellites. The reduced-dynamic orbit determination experiments are made with different earth gravity field models, such as EIGEN2, EGM96, TEG4, and GEMT3. Using a large number of high precision satellite-bome GPS data, the HY-2 precise orbit determination can reach the centimeter level with commonly used earth gravity field models up to above 50 degrees and orders.

RANDOM TERRAIN MODEL

In order to slove a realistic test problem of TF/TA algorithm, it is necessary to make a discrete terrain model. The model has adjustable roughness parameters so as to test the optimization procedure for different types of terrain. In this paper, an algorithm to generate random terrain data is given.

Field analysis of metallogenic information and its application

Focusing on the issue to deal with inadequate extraction of metallogenic information especially geological information,a new method of extracting metallogenic information based on field model,i.e.the field analysis method of metallogenic information,was proposed.In addition,a case study by using the method of the extraction of metallogenic information from the west Guangxi and southeast Yunnan district as an example was performed.The representation method for the field models of metallogenic information,including the metallogenic influence field model and the metallogenic distance field model,was discussed by introducing the concept of the field theory,based on the characteristic analysis of the distance gradualness and the influence superposition of metallogenic information.According to the field theory superposition principle and the spatial distance analysis method,the mathematical models for the metallogenic influence field and the metallogenic distance field of point,line and area geological bodies were derived out by using parameter equation and calculus.Based on the metallogenic background analysis,the metallogenic information field models of synsedimentary faults and manganese sedimentary basins were built.The relationship between the metallogenic information fields and the manganese mineralization distribution was also investigated by using the method of metallogenic information field analysis.The instance study indicates that the proposed method of metallogenic information field analysis is valid and useful for extracting the ore-controlling information of synsedimentary faults and manganese sedimentary basins in the study area,with which the extraction results are significant both statistically and geologically.

Numerical Simulation of Air Distribution for Tianjin Subway Station

In rebuilding Tianjin Metro, numerical simulations are performed to evaluate the original design of the ventilation system of Southwest Station and a new system is given to optimize the velocity and temperature fields at the station. Field measurements are conducted to validate the turbulence model and acquire boundary conditions. The simulation result tallies with testing data on the sport that is found that two-equation turbulence model is acceptable in simulating complex flow at the station. A method of simplifying the simulation of the transient flow at the station into steady flow is used and the validation criterion for this simulation is also given.

Failure mechanism of large-diameter shield tunnels and its effects on ground surface settlements

A new technique for the analysis of the three-dimensional collapse failure mechanism and the ground surface settlements for the large-diameter shield tunnels were presented.The technique is based on a velocity field model using more different truncated solid conical blocks to clarify the multiblock failure mechanism.Furthermore,the shape of blocks between the failure surface and the tunnel face was considered as an entire circle,and the supporting pressure was assumed as non-uniform distribution on the tunnel face and increased with the tunnel embedded depth.The ground surface settlements and failure mechanism above large-diameter shield tunnels were also investigated under different supporting pressures by the finite difference method.

GOCE kinematic orbit adjustment for EGM validation and accelerometer calibration

The main principle and mathematical model of GOCE kinematic orbit adjustment for Earth gravity field model （EGM） validation and accelerometer calibration are presented. Based on 60 days GOCE kinematic orbits with 1-2 cm accuracy and accelerometer data from 2009-11-02 to 2009-12-31, the RMS-of-fit （ROF） of them using EGM2008, EIGEN-SC, ITG- GRACE2010S and GOCO01S up to 120, 150 and 180 degree and order （d/o） are evaluated and compared. The scale factors and biases of GOCE accelerometer data are calibrated and the energy balance method （EBM） is performed to test the accuracy of accelerometer calibration. The results show that GOCE orbits are also sensitive to EGM from 120 to 150 d/o. The ROFs of EGMs with 150 and 180 d/o are obviously better than those of EGMs with 120 d/o. The ROFs of GOCO01S and ITG-GRACE2010S are almost the same up to 120 and 150 d/o, which are about 3.3 cm and 1.8 cm, respectively. They are far better than those of EGM2008 and EIGEN-SC with the same d/o. The ROF of GOCO01S with 180 d/o is about 1.6 em, which is the best one among those EGMs. The accelerometer calibration accuracies （ACAs） of ITG-GRACE2010S and GOCO01S are obviously higher that those of EGM2008 and EIGEN-SC. The ACA of GOCO01S with 180 d/o is far higher than that of EGMs with 120 d/o, and a little higher than that of ITG-GRACE2010S with 150 d/o. I t is suggested that the newest released EGM such as GOCO01S or GOCO02S till at least 150 d/o should be chosen in GOCE precise orbit determination （POD） and accelerometer calibration.

The Hedonic Modelling of Rental Values of Properties in Nasarawa, Nigeria

The purpose of this study is to explore the need to adopt the CAMA （computer assisted mass appraisal） based system into the Nigerian property market with an example data from Nasarawa in Nasarawa State. Using the hedonic regression models on 312 samples, the results reveal the linear form to outperform the semi-log specification. This demonstration shows that CAMA system can be introduced into the local market of Nasarawa and indeed the whole of Nigeria for property taxes.

Simulation of droplet topography on superhydrophobic surface

We established a novel droplet model (with-gravity model) to show the gravity effect of the droplet in the contact angle experiment.By using with-gravity model, we obtained a three-dimensional topography of the droplet including the height of the droplet, the shape of the baseline and the circumference of the baseline.Comparing the with-gravity model with the ideal spherical model, our model considered the measurement error caused by gravity effect in the contact angle experiment which is a key point to influence the three-dimension topography of the droplet.From the calculation of our model, we found that there were two important points to enhance the measurement error: the size of the droplet and the contact angle.With the droplet and the contact angle became larger, measurement error was obviously increased.

Urban Configuration Analysis of Idle Land Market Based on Game Model

In recent years, the speed of urban development becomes faster and faster with expanding of land construction scale, and a lot of idle lands lead to serious land waste. This paper builds game model by carrying out a market allocation analysis and applying economic game theory to the analysis of current idle land problem; it gets six kinds of results through analyzing the game model of idle land market, and the final Nash equilibrium is(system innovation, publicly traded) through contrastive to help balance the game relationship between government and the user of idle land and raise some new scientific and rational institutions to serve as future references for effective usage of idle land.

Study on the Flow of Rural Labor Force and the Contribution of Terrain Factor in Shaanxi,China

The flow of rural labor to urban is a significant phenomenon in China during the last 20 years.In spite of many researches focus on the driving force of economy,terrain is an important index in the rural development.There is a question that whether the flow of rural labor has some relationships with terrain.The study used the relief degree of land surface (RDLS) as terrain index,and the cost distance model and the center of gravity model to analyze the relationship between terrain and labor flows.The results indicated:(1) In the last 20 years,the rural labor force was not simply flowing to the low terrain region in Shaanxi province.And the RDLS was constantly strengthening the influence on the movement.(2) The RDLS was low in Guanzhong region,and the translation of rural labors relatively was not significant.Since North Shaanxi act as the energy industry base,the number of rural labors there increased faster than in South Shaanxi.(3) The movements of economical centers took an important role in the change of rural labor centers,and terrain factors also showed a high correlation with them.It is found that the lower of the terrain index,the higher of the land intensive degree,the more intensive of nonagriculturalization process.

Evaluation of the Earth＇s Magnetospheric Magnetic Field Models by Means of Cosmic Ray Data

At present, there are no reliable methods to evaluate uncertainty of model representation of magnetic field （MF） in the whole volume of the Earth＇s magnetosphere. Cosmic ray intensity distribution on the Earth surface contains information on the space distribution of magnetospheric MF through which charged particles propagate. Feasibility and limitations of cosmic ray data to be a tool for the validation of magnetospheric MF models have been analyzed. The authors＇ approach is based on the fact that time variations of magnetospheric cosmic ray are related to the changes in geomagnetic cutoff rigidities. The obtained cutoff rigidity changes by the trajectory tracing method in the MF model with those obtained on the base of experimental cosmic ray data have also been compared. The obtained results have shown that cosmic ray data can be successfully used for validation of models in presenting the dynamic structure of magnetospheric MF at mid latitudes.

Pointwise Convergence of a Nonparametric Estimator of Regression in a Measurable Space Used in Contingent Valuation Method

The Contingent Valuation Method is used to evaluate individual preferences for a change concerning a public non-market resource or property. The objective is to build a nonparametric forecasting model of an individual＇s Willingness To Pay according to geographical location. Within this framework, an estimator （of type Nadaraya-Watson） is proposed for the regression of the variable related to geolocation. The specific characteristics of the location variable lead us to a more general regression model than the traditional models. Results are established for convergence of our estimator.

Modeling of Earth Magnetic Field Disturbances Induced by Ferromagnetic Objects

This paper presents the methodology and results of modelling of Earth magnetic field disturbances induced by ferromagnetic objects. The modeling was carried out using the finite elements calculations, and the results were compared with the measurements. The special test stand, consisting of magnetovision scanner and Helmholtz coils, has been used. The measurement system is able to measure the distribution of planar magnetic induction vectors, and to differentiate the sources of measured disturbances.

New Books

The Geology and Landform of Hoh Xil and Its Evolution This book is edited by Li Jianghai,Wencheng,and Liu Chiheng,and narrates the geology and landform of Hoh Xil.With a large number of photos,this book provides readers with detailed information about topographical features including highland glaciers,lakes,rivers,and plains.Experts apply remote sensing technology,geophysics,and on-site investigations to study Hoh Xil’s structural makeup,model its fractured terrain,and perform a myriad of other analyses.

A random physical model of seismic ground motion field on local engineering site

This paper presents a random physical model of seismic ground motion field on a specific local engineering site.With this model,artificial ground motions which are consistent with realistic records at SMART-1 array on spatial correlation are synthesized.A two-scale modeling method of seismic random field is proposed.In large scale,the seismic ground motion field on bedrock surface is simplified to a two-dimensional spherical wave field based on the seismic point source and homogeneous isotropic media model.In small scale,the seismic ground motion field on the engineering site has a plane waveform.By introducing the physical models of seismic source,path and local site and considering the randomness of the basic physical parameters,the random model of seismic ground motion field is completed in a random functional form.This model is applied to simulation of the acceleration records at SMART-1 array by using the superposition method of wave group.

SH-wavefield simulation for a laterally heterogeneous whole-Earth model using the pseudospectral method

We present a scheme to simulate SH-wave propagation in a whole-Earth model with arbitrary lateral heterogeneities employing the Fourier pseudospectral method. Wave equations are defined in two-dimensional cylindrical coordinates and the model is taken through a great circle of the Earth. Spatial derivatives in the wave equations are calculated in the wavenumber domain by multiplication, and the transformation between spatial and wavenumber domains is performed via fast Fourier transformation. Because of the high accuracy and high speed of the Fourier pseudospectral method, the scheme enables us to calculate a short-wavelength global SH-wavefield with accurate waveforms and arrival times for models with heterogeneities that can be approximated as azimuthally symmetric. Comparing with two-dimensional simulation methods based on an axisymmetric model, implementing the seismic source in the present scheme is more convenient. We calculated the global SH-wavefield for the preliminary reference Earth model to identify the generation, reflection and refraction of various seismic phases propagating in the Earth. Applications to a heterogeneous global model with low-velocity perturbation above the core-mantle boundary were conducted to analyze the effect of lateral heterogeneity on global SH-wave propagation.

Global modeling 2^(nd)-order ionospheric delay and its effects on GNSS precise positioning

Ionospheric delay is one of the major error sources in GNSS navigation and positioning.Nowadays,the dual-frequency technique is the most widely used in ionospheric refraction correction.However,dual-frequency measurements can only eliminate the first-order term of ionospheric delay,while the effect of the second-order term on GNSS observations may be several centimeters.In this paper,two models,the International Reference Ionosphere (IRI) 2007 and International Geomagnetic Reference Field (IGRF) 11 are used to estimate the second-order term through the integral calculation method.Besides,the simplified single layer ionosphere model in a dipole moment approximation for the earth magnetic field is used.Since the traditional integral calculation method requires large calculation load and takes much time,it is not convenient for practical use.Additionally,although the simplified single layer ionosphere model is simple to implement,it results in larger errors.In this study,second-order term ionospheric correction formula proposed by Hoque (2007) is improved for estimating the second-order term at a global scale.Thus,it is more practicable to estimate the second-order term.More importantly,its results have a higher precision of the sub-millimeter level for a global scale in normal conditions.Compared with Hoque's original regional correction model,which calculates coefficients through polynomial fitting of elevation and latitudes,this study proposes a piece-wise look-up table and interpolation technique to modify Hoque model.Through utilizing a table file,the modified Hoque model can be conveniently implemented in an engineering software package,like as PANDA in this study.Through applying the proposed scheme for the second-order ionospheric correction into GNSS precise positioning in both PPP daily and epoch solutions,the results have shown south-shift characteristics in daily solution at a global scale and periodic change with VTEC daily variation in epoch positioning solution.

The Social Welfare Housing Project and Its Effects in China

It was planned to build 36 million units of social welfare housing during the twelve-five2011-2015 in China.This paper introduces the estimation of owner occupied dwelling sector and develops a dynamic computable general equilibrium model for China's real estate and macro-economy,to simulate the policy effects.The simulation results show that this policy can meet the increased requirements of housing demand due to fast urbanization and improvement of living conditions,therefore it will effectively cool down the price boom of housing market.Meanwhile,although the investment on social welfare housing will reduce the investment on other sectors,it will still stimulate GDP growth.

Regional gravity field modeling based on rectangular harmonic analysis

Regional gravity field modeling with high-precision and high-resolution is one of the most important scientific objectives in geodesy, and can provide fundamental information for geophysics, geodynamics, seismology, and mineral exploration. Rectangular harmonic analysis （RHA） is proposed for regional gravity field modeling in this paper. By solving the Laplace＇s equation of gravitational potential in local Cartesian coordinate system, the rectangular harmonic expansions of disturbing potential, gravity anomaly, gravity disturbance, geoid undulation and deflection of the vertical are derived, and so are the formula for signal degree variance and error degree variance of the rectangular harmonic coefficients （RHC）. We also present the mathematical model and detailed algorithm for the solution of RHC using RHA from gravity observations. In order to reduce the edge effects caused by periodic continuation in RHA, we propose the strategy of extending the size of computation domain. The RHA-based modeling method is validated by conducting numerical experiments based on simulated ground and airborne gravity data that are generated from geopotential model EGM2008 and contaminated by Gauss white noise with standard deviation of 2 mGal. The accuracy of the 2.5＇×2.5＇ geoid undulations computed from ground and airborne gravity data is 1 and 1.4 cm, respectively. The standard error of the gravity disturbances that downward continued from the flight height of 4 km to the geoid is only 3.1 reGal. Numerical results confirm that RHA is able to provide a reliable and accurate regional gravity field model, which may be a new option for the representation of the fine structure of regional gravity field.