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基于宏观地震减灾能力的地震生命损失快速评估方法 被引量:2
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作者 康建红 李智 安俊峰 《防灾减灾学报》 2015年第2期80-83,共4页
搜集1999年集集M7.6级地震、2008年汶川M8.0级地震震中高烈度区各乡镇生命损失和当年人口等基础数据,得到不同地震烈度下各乡镇死亡率数据。以评估地震减灾能力的宏观模型为基础,对各乡镇的减灾能力进行评估并划分等级,得到不同等级地... 搜集1999年集集M7.6级地震、2008年汶川M8.0级地震震中高烈度区各乡镇生命损失和当年人口等基础数据,得到不同地震烈度下各乡镇死亡率数据。以评估地震减灾能力的宏观模型为基础,对各乡镇的减灾能力进行评估并划分等级,得到不同等级地震减灾能力与相对应的平均死亡率的统计关系。将此对应关系应用到2010年玉树M7.1级地震中,所得到的生命损失结果与官方公布的结果相近。表明宏观地震减灾能力评估体系可应用于单次地震损失快速评估工作中。 展开更多
关键词 地震 生命损失 地震减灾能力 快速评估
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区域防震减灾能力评估方法研究 被引量:7
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作者 李智 赵晓辉 曲乐 《防灾减灾学报》 2011年第3期1-6,共6页
本文通过对影响减灾能力的因素分析,建立了宏观地震减灾能力层次分析模型。其中目标层为生命损失;准则层为工程抗震能力、社会经济减灾能力、应急救援与恢复能力;指标层为抗震设防能力、防御次生灾害能力、居住地类型、人均GDP、三产比... 本文通过对影响减灾能力的因素分析,建立了宏观地震减灾能力层次分析模型。其中目标层为生命损失;准则层为工程抗震能力、社会经济减灾能力、应急救援与恢复能力;指标层为抗震设防能力、防御次生灾害能力、居住地类型、人均GDP、三产比例、地震预报、工程预警、救援医疗、物资储备。用层次分析法得到在遭遇第一水准烈度、第二水准烈度和第三水准烈度时各项指标减灾能力的权重值。结果表明,三种情况下抗震设防能力的权重都是最大的,因此加强建筑物的抗震能力,是减少人员伤亡的最佳解决方案。 展开更多
关键词 地震 人员伤亡 层次分析法 地震减灾能力
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Learning and Progressing Through Scientific Practices—Commemorating the 90th Anniversary of the Haiyuan Earthquake and Working to Improve the Ability of Earthquake Prediction and Seismic Hazard Reduction
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作者 Deng Qidong 《Earthquake Research in China》 2011年第3期260-272,共13页
The great Haiyuan earthquake occurred at 20:06:09 on December 16,1920 in the south of Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region.The magnitude of this earthquake is 8.5,listed as one of the three greatest earthquakes to ever occur... The great Haiyuan earthquake occurred at 20:06:09 on December 16,1920 in the south of Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region.The magnitude of this earthquake is 8.5,listed as one of the three greatest earthquakes to ever occur in Chinese continent.This devastating earthquake killed about 230,000 people according to previous reports.Recent studies show that total casualties may have reached 270,000.The study of this earthquake using modern scientific and technological methods is the first in the history of earthquake research in China.Significant breakthroughs took place in the middle of last century.The earthquake surface rupture,with 200km in length and prominent left-lateral strike-slip displacement,was discovered.The first monograph on the Haiyuan earthquake was published.In the 1980s,innovative large-scale geological mapping technology for active faults was developed during studies on the Haiyuan earthquake surface ruptures,with the publication of the first large-scale map of the Haiyuan active fault.Quantitative studies were carried out on the fine structure and geometry of the fault zone,Holocene slip rate,co-seismic displacement,paleoearthquake and recurrence intervals and future earthquake risk assessment.The innovative studies also included rupture propagation along the strike-slip fault,evolution of pull-apart basins,determination of total displacement of the strike-slip fault,transition equilibrium between strike-slip displacement along its major strand and crustal shortening at the end of the strike-slip fault,and the mechanism of deformation on Liupan Mountain.On the occasion of the 90th anniversary of the Haiyuan earthquake,careful retrospect of scientific progress achieved during the recent 20 years would be helpful in providing further direction in the study of active faults and earthquake hazard reduction.While taking this occasion to remember those lost by the Haiyuan earthquake,we aim to make greater contributions to earthquake prediction and seismic hazard reduction. 展开更多
关键词 Haiyuan earthquake Active fault PALEOEARTHQUAKE Scientific research
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