The new method for determining ground-motion parameters in the Indonesian Earthquake Resistant Building Code SNI （Indonesia National Standard） 03-1726-2012 has significant changes than the previous code. The maps of...The new method for determining ground-motion parameters in the Indonesian Earthquake Resistant Building Code SNI （Indonesia National Standard） 03-1726-2012 has significant changes than the previous code. The maps of mean and modal of magnitude and distance presented here are intended to convey information about the distribution ofprobabilistic seismic sources and to provide prescriptions or suggestions for seismic sources to use in developing artificial ground motion in building design or retrofit projects. This paper presents deaggregation of Indonesia Seismic Hazard Map 2010 for Sumatra. Deaggregation for 0.2-s and 1.0-s pseudo SA （spectral acceleration） is performed for 10% PE （probability of exceedance） in 50 years （475-year mean return period） and 2% PE in 50 years （2,475-year mean return period）. The information of deaggregation analysis can and perhaps should be considered in a complex seismic-resistant design decision-making environment.展开更多
Taking the northeast seismic zone as an example and based on the magnitude-frequency distribution principles of the G-R relationship and the study on the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of the minimu...Taking the northeast seismic zone as an example and based on the magnitude-frequency distribution principles of the G-R relationship and the study on the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of the minimum magnitude of completeness M C in each time interval,this paper makes a statistical analysis on the seismicity parameters of the research area and explores the influence of the completeness of small earthquake data on the seismicity parameters and seismic hazard analysis.It shows that the completeness analysis of the regional small earthquakes data provides a possible means for obtaining more accurate seismicity parameters that can better represent the actual regional seismicity level for areas of low seismicity.The research methods of this article and its conclusion can be used as a reference for the completeness analysis of earthquake data and seismic activity research.展开更多
According to the results of estimation of the maximum potential earthquake in the project of ＂The Active Fault Detection and Seismic Risk Evaluation （Phase H） of Zhengzhou City＂, the near east-west trending Laoyac...According to the results of estimation of the maximum potential earthquake in the project of ＂The Active Fault Detection and Seismic Risk Evaluation （Phase H） of Zhengzhou City＂, the near east-west trending Laoyachen fault and Shangjie fault are developed in the urban area. The Laoyachen fault was not active in the Quaternary, but the Shangjie fault may have the potential of generating M5.0 - 5.5 earthquakes. In order to get the probability of occurrence of maximum potential earthquakes, we delineate the statistical areas and the potential source areas and calculate the seismicity parameters and the space distribution functions. Our study shows that the probability of occurrence of an earthquake with M〉 5.0 on the faults in Zhengzhou city is 6% in the next 50 years and 11% in the next 100 years.展开更多
On April 20, 2013, an Ms7.0 earthquake occurred in Ya'an-Lushan region, Sichuan Province, China, killing and injuring morethan one thousand people. Therefore, it is critical to outline the areas with potential aft...On April 20, 2013, an Ms7.0 earthquake occurred in Ya'an-Lushan region, Sichuan Province, China, killing and injuring morethan one thousand people. Therefore, it is critical to outline the areas with potential aftershocks before reconstruction andre-settlement as to avoid future disasters. Based on the elastic dislocation theory and multi-layered lithospheric model, we calculate the co-and post-seismic stress changes caused by the Wenchuan and Lushan earthquakes to discuss the relationshipbetween Mw7.9 Wenchuan earthquake and Ms7.0 Lushan earthquake, the influences on the distribution of aftershock caused bythe Lushan earthquake, and the stress changes on major faults in this region. It is shown that the Coulomb failure stress increment on the hypocenter of Lushan earthquake caused by the Wenchuan earthquake is about 0.0037-0.0113 MPa. And the possible maximum value (0.0113 MPa) is larger than the threshold of stress triggering. Therefore, the occurrence of Lushanearthquake is probably effectively promoted by the Wenchuan earthquake. The aftershock distribution is well explained by theco-seismic stress changes of Lushan earthquake. By the two ends of the rupture of Lushan earthquake with increased Coulombfailure stress, a lack of aftershock recordings indicates the high seismic hazard. The stress accumulation and correspondingseismic hazard on the Kangding-Dafu segment of the Xinshuihe fault, the Beichuan-Yingxiu fault, the Pengxian-Guanxianfault, and the Ya'an fault are further increased by the Lushan earthquake and post-seismic process of Wenchuan earthquake.展开更多
文摘The new method for determining ground-motion parameters in the Indonesian Earthquake Resistant Building Code SNI （Indonesia National Standard） 03-1726-2012 has significant changes than the previous code. The maps of mean and modal of magnitude and distance presented here are intended to convey information about the distribution ofprobabilistic seismic sources and to provide prescriptions or suggestions for seismic sources to use in developing artificial ground motion in building design or retrofit projects. This paper presents deaggregation of Indonesia Seismic Hazard Map 2010 for Sumatra. Deaggregation for 0.2-s and 1.0-s pseudo SA （spectral acceleration） is performed for 10% PE （probability of exceedance） in 50 years （475-year mean return period） and 2% PE in 50 years （2,475-year mean return period）. The information of deaggregation analysis can and perhaps should be considered in a complex seismic-resistant design decision-making environment.
基金Fund for the research was granted from Institute of Crustal Dynamics,China Earthquake Administration(No.ZDJ2013-05)and(No.ZDJ2010-20)
文摘Taking the northeast seismic zone as an example and based on the magnitude-frequency distribution principles of the G-R relationship and the study on the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of the minimum magnitude of completeness M C in each time interval,this paper makes a statistical analysis on the seismicity parameters of the research area and explores the influence of the completeness of small earthquake data on the seismicity parameters and seismic hazard analysis.It shows that the completeness analysis of the regional small earthquakes data provides a possible means for obtaining more accurate seismicity parameters that can better represent the actual regional seismicity level for areas of low seismicity.The research methods of this article and its conclusion can be used as a reference for the completeness analysis of earthquake data and seismic activity research.
基金sponsored by the Seismic Risk Assessment of Active Fault in Key Monitoring Prevention Area of China
文摘According to the results of estimation of the maximum potential earthquake in the project of ＂The Active Fault Detection and Seismic Risk Evaluation （Phase H） of Zhengzhou City＂, the near east-west trending Laoyachen fault and Shangjie fault are developed in the urban area. The Laoyachen fault was not active in the Quaternary, but the Shangjie fault may have the potential of generating M5.0 - 5.5 earthquakes. In order to get the probability of occurrence of maximum potential earthquakes, we delineate the statistical areas and the potential source areas and calculate the seismicity parameters and the space distribution functions. Our study shows that the probability of occurrence of an earthquake with M〉 5.0 on the faults in Zhengzhou city is 6% in the next 50 years and 11% in the next 100 years.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos.41074052,41204067,41174086 and 41021003)Special Project Seismic Commonwealth Research (Grant No.201308013)Key Development Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No.KZZD-EW-TZ-05)
文摘On April 20, 2013, an Ms7.0 earthquake occurred in Ya'an-Lushan region, Sichuan Province, China, killing and injuring morethan one thousand people. Therefore, it is critical to outline the areas with potential aftershocks before reconstruction andre-settlement as to avoid future disasters. Based on the elastic dislocation theory and multi-layered lithospheric model, we calculate the co-and post-seismic stress changes caused by the Wenchuan and Lushan earthquakes to discuss the relationshipbetween Mw7.9 Wenchuan earthquake and Ms7.0 Lushan earthquake, the influences on the distribution of aftershock caused bythe Lushan earthquake, and the stress changes on major faults in this region. It is shown that the Coulomb failure stress increment on the hypocenter of Lushan earthquake caused by the Wenchuan earthquake is about 0.0037-0.0113 MPa. And the possible maximum value (0.0113 MPa) is larger than the threshold of stress triggering. Therefore, the occurrence of Lushanearthquake is probably effectively promoted by the Wenchuan earthquake. The aftershock distribution is well explained by theco-seismic stress changes of Lushan earthquake. By the two ends of the rupture of Lushan earthquake with increased Coulombfailure stress, a lack of aftershock recordings indicates the high seismic hazard. The stress accumulation and correspondingseismic hazard on the Kangding-Dafu segment of the Xinshuihe fault, the Beichuan-Yingxiu fault, the Pengxian-Guanxianfault, and the Ya'an fault are further increased by the Lushan earthquake and post-seismic process of Wenchuan earthquake.
