地震块体模型的共轭剪切破裂带数值模拟

对地震块体模型的应变率场的数值模拟结果表明 ,地震块体模型 ,尤其是当界面法向和切向刚度较大时 ,能产生明显的共轭剪切破裂带。地震块体模型存在老断层 ,呈现各向异性 ,因而 ,促进了某一方向上的主条带充分发展 ,与主条带共轭的次条带被抑制。存在复杂地质构造可能是地震带的间隔距离并不严格相等的原因。地震发生在剪切破裂带交叉部位的原因是这一位置剪切应变率较高。考察应变率场能揭示出地震块体模型的应变局部化特征。在构造运动作用下 ,新生构造与老构造并不重叠是可能的 ,因而 ,新生构造的交汇点就不一定出现在老断层上。地震块体模型的中心块体的尺寸越大 。

川滇藏邻区巴塘—丽江地震块体强震活动特征的初步探讨

本文根据１９８６—１９９６年川滇藏三省（区）邻界区巴塘—丽江一带频繁的强震活动的资料，结合活动构造带分布及历史强震记录，分析了该邻界区强震活动若干特征，提出了“存在川滇藏邻界区巴塘—丽江地震块体”的认识，并就其与相邻地区强震活动关系及未来强震趋势作了讨论。

我国西部大三角形地区的大震活动周期与8级左右巨震的中期预测

我国西部的板内地震是由三个古板块(太平洋板块,欧亚板块和印度洋板块)的相互碰撞和挤压所造成,形成了大三角形地震块体,M≥7.0的大震大都发生在大三角形的三个角和三条边附近。根据大震活动的时高时低的实际情况分析,大致有11年左右的高潮期(活跃期)和低潮期(相对平静期),从目前掌握的资料分析来看M≥7.7的巨震有90年的组合周期存在,因此可以作出未来8级左右巨震的中期预测,一般误差为1年。

FLAC^(3D)在岩石变形局部化数值模拟中的应用

采用FLAC3D,对试样的尺寸效应、二块体地震模型、五块体地震模型和厚壁圆筒模型进行了变形局部化数值模拟研究。 所获得的模拟结果是合理的,可以在一定程度上解释自然灾害中的变形局部化现象。

Study on the Recent Tectonic Stress Field in the Yunnan Region

In this paper, using focal mechanism solutions of moderate-strong earthquakes in Yunnan and its adjacent areas, and based on the statistical analysis of the parameters of focal mechanism solutions, we discussed in detail the earthquake fault types and the characteristics of the modern tectonic stress field in the Yunnan region. The results show that most moderate-strong earthquakes occurring in the Yunnan region are of the strike-slip type, amounting to 80% of the total. Normal faulting and normal with strike-slip and reverse and reverse with strike-slip earthquakes is almost equivalent in proportion, about 8% each. The tectonic stress field of the Yunnan region is near-horizontal, and the dips of earthquake fault planes are large. There are three main dynamic sources acting on the Yunnan region: one is the NE, NNE and NNW-directed acting force from Myanmar, Laos and Vietnam; the second is the SE-SSE directed force from the Sichuan and Sichuan-Yunnan rhombus block and the third is the NW-NNW directed force from the South China block. These three acting forces have controlled the faulting behavior of the main faults and the characteristics of strong earthquake activity of Yunnan and its adjacent regions.

Slip Rates of the Major Faults on the Mid-southern Section of the North-South Seismic Belt Calculated from the Block Theory

In this paper, using the 1999 ~ 2007 GPS velocity field data, and by choosing the optimal block model, we obtained the deformation models applicable to the boundary zones of major blocks and the slip rates of block boundary faults on the mid-southern segment of the North-South Seismic Belt. The results show that： on the Longmenshan fault zone, the tensional and compressive slip rate is small on the Baoxing-Wenchuan segment, about 0. 5 ~ 1.8mm·a^-1, and the rate is relatively significant on the segment of the Wenchuan--Maoxian, as 1.8 ~3.8mm·a^-1; on the Xianshuihe fault belt, there is a certain difference in spatial distribution between the tensional slip rag.e and strike-slip rate： the tensional slip rate （ 8. lmm^a-1） is bigger than the sinistral strike-slip rate （ 4.8mm·a^-1） at the north of the Luhuo region; the tension and compression slip rate is basically the same as the strike-slip rate at Luhuo-Dawu; the Dawu-Kangding section presents a trend of decreased strike-slip rate and increased tensional slip rate; the Kangding-ghimian segment shows a strike-slip nature; the strike-slip rate is significantly greater than the tension/compression rate on the Xiaojiang fault zone; the slip rate on the Red River fault zone shows obvious spatial segmentation, the slip rate is smaller in its northwest part, but with a certain amount of tensional/compression component, 4. 7mm·a^-1 on the Jingdong segment. The segment east of Jingdong （ western Gejiu） is mainly of strike-slip, with a slip rate of 4. 5mm·a^-1.

Precursors Revealed by the Multifractal Dimension Around Ordos Block,North China

Seismicity around the Ordos Block in the northern part of China has been studied by the multifractal dimensions with the help of complete data set of earthquakes with M≥2.5 since 1977. Seven regions around this block have been examined where the eight large earthquakes with M≥6.0 for the complete data occurred. In order to display the temporal distribution of the correlation dimension D 2, a moving window of fixed number of events is used in every of the seven regions. Except for two regions with less seismic activity, all other five regions have obviously been found to display sudden changes of the correlation dimension for the events with M≥4.5.

Effects of the February 12,2014 M_S 7.3 Yutian Earthquake on Seismicity of the Northeastern Edge of Qinghai-Tibetan Block

First of all,using the GPS velocity field from campaign GPS measurements implemented by CMONC( C hina Crustal Movement Observation) a nd TEONC( C hina Tectonic Environment Observation Networks) u p to 2013, w e analyzed the background of regional crustal horizontal movement and deformation before the M S7. 3 Yutian,Xinjiang earthquake on February 12,2014. Then,by comparing this to the vertical movement from leveling measurements,we studied the crustal movement deformation and the state of strain accumulation on the northeastern edge of Qinghai-Tibetan block.Finally,we investigated the possible effects on the earthquake activity of the northeastern edge of Tibet from the M S7. 3 Yutian earthquake. The result indicates that,the M S7. 3Yutian earthquake occurred against the background of strong tectonic movement and intensive intracontinental crustal differential movement on the edges of tectonic blocks in western China,and also that it happened in the period of the strong tectonic stress field in Qinghai-Tibetan block and its edges. The sinistral strike-slip and stress transfer of the Yutian M S7. 3 earthquake may accelerate the rupture of fault segments with high strain accumulation at the northeastern edge of Qinghai-Tibetan block( especially in Qilian Mountain fault zone,and border area of Gansu,Qinghai and Sichuan provinces on the south of western Qinling).

Characteristics of strong earthquake evolution around the eastern boundary faults of the Sichuan-Yunnan rhombic block

Based on the existing materials of fault segmentation,characteristic earthquakes,and their empirical relationships,we calculated the parameters of the fault segments,such as length,width,magnitudes of characteristic earthquakes,etc.Constrained by GPS velocity field,the slip rates of these fault segments in depth were inversed using the 3-D half-space elastic dislocation model.As not all of the recurrence periods and co-seismic displacements of characteristic earthquakes are known,we selected the fault segments with these two parameters known and calculated the accumulation rate of average co-seismic displacement,which shows the faults' slip rate in seismogenic layer.Then,the slip rate in depth was compared with that in seismogenic layer,the relationship between them was obtained,and this relationship was used to get the recurrence periods and co-seismic displacements of all fault segments.After the studies above,we calculated the co-seismic deformation field of all the earthquakes larger than M s 6.8 from AD 1700 one by one and inversed the potential displacement in the co-seismic deformation field.Then,we divided the potential displacement by the slip rate from GPS inversion to get the influences of these fault segments,added the influences into the elapsed time of the characteristic earthquakes,and obtained the earthquake hazard degree of all the segments we studied in the form of the ratio of elapsed time to recurrence period;so,we name the ratio as the Impending Earthquake Risk (IER).Historical earthquake cases show that the fault segment is in safety when the IER is less than 1 but in danger after the IER becomes larger than 1.In 2009,the IER is larger than 1 on the following segments,1.35 on the Tagong segment of Xianshuihe fault,1 on the Menggu-Dongchuan segment,1.04 on the Dongchuan-Xundian segment,and 1.09 on the Yiliang-Chengjiang segment of Xiaojiang fault.