The world,the continent and the large country at all times have similar distribution of intervals between recurrences of the great earthquakes,depending on the earthquake sequence. lt indicates that how the force sour...The world,the continent and the large country at all times have similar distribution of intervals between recurrences of the great earthquakes,depending on the earthquake sequence. lt indicates that how the force source of world scale changes with time and space.展开更多
The Yutian earthquake with M_S7.3 happened on February 12,2014. The precursor monitoring ability is weak in that area. We found tendency anomalies and middle- and short-term anomalies from metal pendulum tilt measurem...The Yutian earthquake with M_S7.3 happened on February 12,2014. The precursor monitoring ability is weak in that area. We found tendency anomalies and middle- and short-term anomalies from metal pendulum tilt measurements in Hotan seismic station before the earthquake. And we also compared the anomalies with that of the M_S7.3 Yutian earthquake on March 21,2008. The tendency anomalies measured by the metal pendulum tiltmeter appeared since 2012 as tilting eastward. While the middle- and short-term anomalies were characterized by acceleration,pause and rapid change of tilt rate in two directions. The tendency anomalies of metal pendulum tilt records are the same before the two earthquakes. They both happened in the east direction. However,there are differences in duration,characteristic and earthquake intervals for the middle- and short-term anomalies.展开更多
Since the 20 thcentury,the time intervals of M ≥6.7 strong earthquakes in the SichuanYunnan region show obvious regularity.Using the years of the strong events,a twodimensional time coordinate system is generated,bas...Since the 20 thcentury,the time intervals of M ≥6.7 strong earthquakes in the SichuanYunnan region show obvious regularity.Using the years of the strong events,a twodimensional time coordinate system is generated,based on which,the time prediction model is constructed for strong earthquakes in the Sichuan-Yunnan region.Prediction analysis shows that there is risk of generating four earthquakes with M ≥ 6.7 in the Sichuan-Yunnan region in the future 16 years,and there are strong signals for M ≥6.7earthquakes for periods 2012-2021 and 2025-2029.The strong earthquakes may occur around 2014-2015,2019 and 2027.展开更多
The seismic waveform of the Yutian Ms7. 3 earthquake, Xinjiang on February 12, 2014 was recorded clearly and completely by the Digital Seismic Networks of Xinjiang, Qinghai, Tibet, and Xinjiang Hotan array, so the met...The seismic waveform of the Yutian Ms7. 3 earthquake, Xinjiang on February 12, 2014 was recorded clearly and completely by the Digital Seismic Networks of Xinjiang, Qinghai, Tibet, and Xinjiang Hotan array, so the method of joint location by regional seismic network and seismic array can be used to accurately determine the earthquake source location. The following technologies were used in the process of location： （ 1 ） We selected seismic stations equally located around the epicenter of the Ms 7. 3 earthquake with an average interval of about 15 degrees in the initial location. （2） The recording waveforms of Yutian seismic station were rotated to the radial and tangential directions to precisely obtain the arrival time of S-waves to determine the epicentral distance. （ 3） The velocity model was used in the determination of location of the epicenter, based on the historical records of earthquakes in the area within a radius of 1.0 ° from the source as the center, and the velocity model is obtained after re-fitting and calibration. （4） Based on the waveform records of the Hotan seismic array, the method of waveform beaming was used to determine the azimuths and perform the correction of the epicenter location with these azimuths. （5） The deterministic method was used to measure the source depth. Finally, it is concluded that the Yutian Ms 7. 3 main shock hypocenter location is 36. 197°N, 82. 467°E, focal depth 12km and original time 17：19：48. 2 μm. February 12, 2014.展开更多
文摘The world,the continent and the large country at all times have similar distribution of intervals between recurrences of the great earthquakes,depending on the earthquake sequence. lt indicates that how the force source of world scale changes with time and space.
基金sponsored by the Earthquake Science Foundation of Xinjiang,China(201302)
文摘The Yutian earthquake with M_S7.3 happened on February 12,2014. The precursor monitoring ability is weak in that area. We found tendency anomalies and middle- and short-term anomalies from metal pendulum tilt measurements in Hotan seismic station before the earthquake. And we also compared the anomalies with that of the M_S7.3 Yutian earthquake on March 21,2008. The tendency anomalies measured by the metal pendulum tiltmeter appeared since 2012 as tilting eastward. While the middle- and short-term anomalies were characterized by acceleration,pause and rapid change of tilt rate in two directions. The tendency anomalies of metal pendulum tilt records are the same before the two earthquakes. They both happened in the east direction. However,there are differences in duration,characteristic and earthquake intervals for the middle- and short-term anomalies.
文摘Since the 20 thcentury,the time intervals of M ≥6.7 strong earthquakes in the SichuanYunnan region show obvious regularity.Using the years of the strong events,a twodimensional time coordinate system is generated,based on which,the time prediction model is constructed for strong earthquakes in the Sichuan-Yunnan region.Prediction analysis shows that there is risk of generating four earthquakes with M ≥ 6.7 in the Sichuan-Yunnan region in the future 16 years,and there are strong signals for M ≥6.7earthquakes for periods 2012-2021 and 2025-2029.The strong earthquakes may occur around 2014-2015,2019 and 2027.
基金funded by the Special Project of the Department of Earthquake Monitoring and Prediction,China Earthquake Administration(1309010)Seismic Network Youth Special Project,China Earthquake Administration(20140330,20130201)
文摘The seismic waveform of the Yutian Ms7. 3 earthquake, Xinjiang on February 12, 2014 was recorded clearly and completely by the Digital Seismic Networks of Xinjiang, Qinghai, Tibet, and Xinjiang Hotan array, so the method of joint location by regional seismic network and seismic array can be used to accurately determine the earthquake source location. The following technologies were used in the process of location： （ 1 ） We selected seismic stations equally located around the epicenter of the Ms 7. 3 earthquake with an average interval of about 15 degrees in the initial location. （2） The recording waveforms of Yutian seismic station were rotated to the radial and tangential directions to precisely obtain the arrival time of S-waves to determine the epicentral distance. （ 3） The velocity model was used in the determination of location of the epicenter, based on the historical records of earthquakes in the area within a radius of 1.0 ° from the source as the center, and the velocity model is obtained after re-fitting and calibration. （4） Based on the waveform records of the Hotan seismic array, the method of waveform beaming was used to determine the azimuths and perform the correction of the epicenter location with these azimuths. （5） The deterministic method was used to measure the source depth. Finally, it is concluded that the Yutian Ms 7. 3 main shock hypocenter location is 36. 197°N, 82. 467°E, focal depth 12km and original time 17：19：48. 2 μm. February 12, 2014.
