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2003年大姚6.2级地震的短临预报回顾与思考
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作者 郭 和 张启明 +1 位作者 杨丽凤 叶志宏 《四川地震》 2005年第1期34-38,共5页
通过对云南1920年以来间隔时间大于500天的8组中强震的时-空-强特征分析,发现后一地震的发震 时间、地点和震级都有很强的规律性,610±20天为发震的优势时间,地点多集中在云南省的中北部,震级则可 用关联性公式计算。详细介绍了200... 通过对云南1920年以来间隔时间大于500天的8组中强震的时-空-强特征分析,发现后一地震的发震 时间、地点和震级都有很强的规律性,610±20天为发震的优势时间,地点多集中在云南省的中北部,震级则可 用关联性公式计算。详细介绍了2003年大姚6.2级地震短临预报的主要依据和方法,并指出大姚地震短临预报 中值得思考的几个问题,讨论了地震"三要素"准确与偏差产生的可能原因。 展开更多
关键词 地震 时间间隔 地震活动窗 短监预报
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A Statistical Analysis on Recent Tidal Triggering of the Earthquake in the Tianshan Seismic Zone
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作者 Li Jin Jiang Haikun +2 位作者 Qu Junhao Huang Yu Gao Chaojun 《Earthquake Research in China》 CSCD 2015年第2期203-213,共11页
A statistical analysis is done to study the spatio-temporai features of earthquake activity in the Tianshan seismic belt triggered by tide, based on Schuster's test. The data we choose is the ML ≥2. 0 earthquakes fr... A statistical analysis is done to study the spatio-temporai features of earthquake activity in the Tianshan seismic belt triggered by tide, based on Schuster's test. The data we choose is the ML ≥2. 0 earthquakes from January 1, 2010 to August 31, 2012 in eastern Tianshan, and the calculation is on tidal body stress. The results show that the p-value based on the time window smoothing of Schuster's test corresponds better with the strong earthquakes in the Tianshan seismic belt, especially for a long time before the November 1, 2011 Nilka Ms6. 0 earthquake, when the p-value of the Schuster's test was always lower than the threshold of 0. 05 for tidal trigger of earthquake, but after the Niika Ms6. 0 earthquake, that value was quickly restored to a high level, which reflects a close relationship between the Nilka Ms6. 0 earthquake and the Earth tide. According to the p-value based on the spatial window smoothing of Schuster's test, the Nilka Ms6. 0 earthquake was at or near the tidal triggering area. Thus we can see from the spatio-temporal results that the Nilka Ms6. 0 earthquake was obviously triggered by Earth fide. 展开更多
关键词 Tianshan seismic zone Nilka earthquake Tidal triggering Schuster's test
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