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基于韦伯分布的地震潜源强震危险性分析方法 被引量:1
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作者 林慧卿 黎己余 +2 位作者 郭宝任 陈美梅 任鲁川 《科学技术创新》 2018年第26期15-19,共5页
本文在假设地震发震时间间隔序列服从二参量韦伯分布的研究成果基础上,引入最短地震发震时间间隔参量,假设发震时间间隔服从三参量韦伯分布,分别计算二参量和三参量韦伯分布的地震潜源区的强震危险性。本文将马尼拉海沟作为案例区域研究... 本文在假设地震发震时间间隔序列服从二参量韦伯分布的研究成果基础上,引入最短地震发震时间间隔参量,假设发震时间间隔服从三参量韦伯分布,分别计算二参量和三参量韦伯分布的地震潜源区的强震危险性。本文将马尼拉海沟作为案例区域研究,通过比较两种方法的差别和优劣性,发现三参量韦伯分布相对二参量韦伯分布对未来地震的预测更加精确。 展开更多
关键词 韦伯分布 地震潜在源区 强震危险性
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Focal Mechanism Analysis for Determination of Potential Source Zones in South China and Its Adjacent Regions
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作者 Zheng Yuejun Zhang Shimin Cui Xiaofeng Huang Zhongxian 《Earthquake Research in China》 2006年第4期385-395,共11页
Based on the results of focal mechanism solutions in southeastern areas of China (south of 34°N and east of 105° E), this article analyzes the correlation of focal mechanism solutions with seismogenic stru... Based on the results of focal mechanism solutions in southeastern areas of China (south of 34°N and east of 105° E), this article analyzes the correlation of focal mechanism solutions with seismogenic structures of moderate strong earthquakes and the direction of potential source zones. The data show that the nodal planes of focal mechanism solutions and the principle stresses in southern China are of predominantly similar directions, most of the solutions for M ≥4.0 earthquakes correspond to the main structure directions as well as the directions of potential source zones. The statistical results of multiple small earthquakes concerning nodal planes and main stress axes are also reliable for determining the direction of potential source zones. According to the analysis of focal mechanism solutions, long-axis direction of isoseismals distribution of aftershocks, geologic structures, and seismic activity in two areas of the Ms6.1 earthquake in the south Yellow Sea in 1996 and the MsS.2 earthquake in Fujian in 1997, the potential source zone division is discussed. 展开更多
关键词 Focal mechanism Southern areas of China Direction of potential source zone
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Discussion on the Relationship between “Anti-great Earthquakes” and Ground Motion with a Low Probability of Exceedance
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作者 Chen Kun Gao Mengtan Li Wansheng 《Earthquake Research in China》 2013年第4期440-446,共7页
In this paper we discuss the differences and relationship between"great earthquakes",rare ground motion,and very rare ground motion.Taking the Beichuan-Yingxiu potential seismic source zone in Longmenshan se... In this paper we discuss the differences and relationship between"great earthquakes",rare ground motion,and very rare ground motion.Taking the Beichuan-Yingxiu potential seismic source zone in Longmenshan seismic belt as an example,we revealed the relationship between the effects of"great earthquakes"and rare ground and very rare ground motion.After pointing out scientific and technical problems in the current seismic fortification system,we suggest that very rare ground motion should be considered if we want to deduce the potential hazard of great earthquakes in the future. 展开更多
关键词 Great earthquake Rare ground motion Very rare ground motion Probability of exceedance
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Seismotectonic Zonation of the Longmengshan and Chengdu Region
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作者 Kong Jun Shi Bingxin +1 位作者 Zhou Rongjun Wang Shiyuan 《Earthquake Research in China》 CSCD 2016年第4期566-577,共12页
The principle of three-level delineation is adopted in determination of a potential seismic source for the new National Seismic Ground Motion Parameters Zoning Map of China,to embody the inhomogeneity of the spatial d... The principle of three-level delineation is adopted in determination of a potential seismic source for the new National Seismic Ground Motion Parameters Zoning Map of China,to embody the inhomogeneity of the spatial distribution of background seismic activity and induct a uniform seismotectonic model for each seismotectonic region. Based on achievements of determining potential seismic sources in southwestern China,this paper introduces the basic characteristics, historical earthquakes magnitude and frequency distribution,identification of deformation mechanism of main active tectonic structures for the Longmenshan and Chengdu seismotectonic region in the Longmenshan seismic region,establishes the seismogenic model for each seismotectonic region,and identifies the upper limit of background earthquakes. A simple method is also put forward for calculating the spatial distribution function of a background seismic source. 展开更多
关键词 Potential seismic source Seismotectonic region Spatial distribution function
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