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中国地级以上城市二氧化碳排放的影响因素分析:基于扩展的STIRPAT模型 被引量:82
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作者 陈占明 吴施美 +9 位作者 马文博 刘晓曼 蔡博峰 刘婧文 贾小平 张明 陈洋 徐丽笑 赵晶 王思亓 《中国人口·资源与环境》 CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2018年第10期45-54,共10页
中国不同城市在发展阶段、经济结构、气候条件、人口结构等都存在明显的差异,不同城市二氧化碳排放的主要影响因素及其影响程度也各不相同。本文基于最新的城市尺度二氧化碳排放数据库CHRED及CHRED2.0,通过加入产业结构、城市化和气候... 中国不同城市在发展阶段、经济结构、气候条件、人口结构等都存在明显的差异,不同城市二氧化碳排放的主要影响因素及其影响程度也各不相同。本文基于最新的城市尺度二氧化碳排放数据库CHRED及CHRED2.0,通过加入产业结构、城市化和气候差异等因素,对传统STIRPAT模型进行扩展,考察了中国地级以上城市二氧化碳排放的影响因素。结果显示:人口规模、第二产业产值占比和采暖需求的增长都会显著提高一个城市的二氧化碳排放,同时部分城市二氧化碳排放会随着富裕程度的上升呈现先增加后减少的趋势,但城镇化率对二氧化碳排放的影响具有不确定性。从全国样本来看,2005年和2012年人口因素变化对碳排放影响变化较小,维持在0.7左右;气候因素的变化对碳排放的影响从2005年的0.288 1下降为2012年的0.000 2;第二产业产值比重变化的影响从2005年的0.744 2上升到2012年0.979 5;同时碳排放量与人均GDP在2005年存在倒U型关系,但到2012年这种关系不再显著。除了针对全国尺度的分析外,本研究还依据城市人口规模进行分组研究,并在此基础上进一步进行分位数回归,进而识别出不同规模城市二氧化碳排放量的影响因素差异。今后在制定城市节能减排政策对城市二氧化碳排放量进行管理的过程中,决策者需要在把握关键影响因子的前提下依据城市自身特点做到因地制宜、区别对待。 展开更多
关键词 城市二氧化碳排放 影响因素 城市规模 STIRPAT模型
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Carbon dioxide emissions from cities in China based on high resolution emission gridded data 被引量:10
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作者 Bofeng Cai Jinnan Wang +2 位作者 Shuying Yang Xianqiang Mao Libin Cao 《Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment》 2017年第1期58-70,共13页
Based on the China high resolution emission gridded data (I km spatial resolution), this article is aimed to create a Chinese city carbon dioxide (CO2) emission data set using consolidated data sources as well as ... Based on the China high resolution emission gridded data (I km spatial resolution), this article is aimed to create a Chinese city carbon dioxide (CO2) emission data set using consolidated data sources as well as normalized and standardized data processing methods. Standard methods were used to calculate city CO2 emissions, including scope I and scope 2. Cities with higher CO2 emissions are mostly in north, northeast, and eastern coastal areas. Cities with lower CO2 emissions are in the western region. Cites with higher CO2 emissions are clustered in the Jing-Jin-Ji Region (such as Beijing, Tianjin, and Tangshan), and the Yangtze River Delta region (such as Shanghai and Suzhou). The city per capita CO2 emission is larger in the north than the south. There are obvious aggregations of cities with high per capita CO2 emission in the north. Four cities among the top 10 per capita emissions (Erdos, Wuhai, Shizuishan, and Yinchuan) cluster in the main coal production areas of northern China. This indicates the significant impact of coal resources endowment on city industry and CO2 emissions. The majority (77%) of cities have annual CO2 emissions below 50 million tons. The mean annual emission, among all cities, is 37 million tons. Emissions from service-based cities, which include the smallest number of cities, are the highest. Industrial cities are the largest category and the emission distribution from these cities is close to the normal distribution. Emissions and degree of dispersion, in the other cities (excluding industrial cities and service-based cities), are in the lowest level. Per capita CO2 emissions in these cities are generally below 20 t/person (89%) with a mean value of 11 t/person. The distribution interval of per capita CO2 emission within industrial cities is the largest among the three city categories. This indicates greater differences among per capita CO2 emissions of industrial cities. The distribution interval of per capita CO2 emission of other cities is the lowest, indicating smaller differences of per capita CO2 emissions among this city category. Three policy suggestions are proposed: first, city CO2 emission inventory data in China should be increased, especially for prefecture level cities. Second, city responsibility for emission reduction, and partition- ing the national goal should be established, using a bottom-up approach based on specific CO2 emission levels and potential for emission reductions in each city. Third, comparative and bench- marking research on city CO2 emissions should be conducted, and a Top Runner system of city CO2 emission reduction should be established. 展开更多
关键词 CITY carbon dioxideemission China China highresolution emission griddeddata (CHRED)
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Planning Strategic Sustainable Development in Malaysia by Incorporating the Concept of Low Carbon Society
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作者 Janice J. Simson Ho Chin Siong +1 位作者 Yuzuru Matsuoka Kei Gomi 《Journal of Civil Engineering and Architecture》 2013年第9期1164-1176,共13页
Malaysia has undergone rapid urbanization and economic growth for past decades and is expected to continue to have an average economic grow at 5%-6% per annum in the next five years. This phenomenon of growth and purs... Malaysia has undergone rapid urbanization and economic growth for past decades and is expected to continue to have an average economic grow at 5%-6% per annum in the next five years. This phenomenon of growth and pursuit of socio-economic progress has great impact not only on the economy but also on community life style and environment. The concept of sustainable development was adopted by Malaysia government as early as mid 1990s to address some of the emerging environmental issues and more specifically on climate change issues recently. Malaysia government announced a commitment of voluntary 40% reduction in CO2 emission intensity by 2020 during the Conference of Party (COP15) meeting in Copenhagen in 2009. In parallel to this commitment of CO2 emission reduction, the concept of sustainable development in urban planning should incorporate a more comprehensive and quantitative approach in the preparation of development plan as well as in exercising the routine development control practice at the local planning authority. This paper prepares a quantitative scenario study on the establishment of low carbon society in Iskandar Malaysia. 展开更多
关键词 Sustainable development environmental planning and low carbon society Iskandar Malaysia.
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