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病险水库运行风险的复合不确定性分析 被引量:2
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作者 胡德秀 杨杰 周孝德 《西北农林科技大学学报(自然科学版)》 CSCD 北大核心 2009年第3期230-234,共5页
【目的】针对病险水库运行风险的量化问题,进行灰色-随机风险计算的复合不确定性分析方法研究。【方法】将病险水库运行中的复杂不确定性影响关系,简化处理为仅由灰色和随机不确定性构成,由此建立了病险水库运行风险的灰色-随机风险率... 【目的】针对病险水库运行风险的量化问题,进行灰色-随机风险计算的复合不确定性分析方法研究。【方法】将病险水库运行中的复杂不确定性影响关系,简化处理为仅由灰色和随机不确定性构成,由此建立了病险水库运行风险的灰色-随机风险率计算方法,并通过对功能函数的确定,将灰色-随机风险概率转换成一般随机风险率,最后应用改进一次二阶矩法,实现对病险水库运行风险的复合不确定性分析与计算。【结果】所求得的风险值为一灰色区间,客观地反映了水库运行风险的不确定性。【结论】工程实例表明,所提出的复合不确定性分析,能较好地评价病险水库的运行风险。 展开更多
关键词 病险水库 运行风险 复合不确定性 灰色-随机风险概率
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一种自适应模糊控制器及其在电解铝过程控制中的应用 被引量:13
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作者 王迎春 耿长福 吴宏鑫 《航天控制》 CSCD 北大核心 2001年第4期22-28,共7页
针对一类被控变量不能直接连续测量的复杂系统 ,提出一种自适应模糊控制方法。它能够根据控制效果 ,自校正控制参数 ,优化控制规则。这一方法已成功应用到电解铝过程的氧化铝浓度控制中。实际运行结果表明 ,这种控制方法能满足控制要求 。
关键词 自适应模糊控制 电解 浓度控制 不确定性复合控制系统
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Uncertain Modal Analysis of Unmanned Aircraft Composite Landing Gear 被引量:1
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作者 CHEN Xiao ZHANG Xin +1 位作者 LI Chunping LI Darang 《Transactions of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics》 EI CSCD 2020年第5期694-701,共8页
Through taking uncertain mechanical parameters of composites into consideration,this paper carries out uncertain modal analysis for an unmanned aircraft landing gear.By describing correlated multi-dimensional mechanic... Through taking uncertain mechanical parameters of composites into consideration,this paper carries out uncertain modal analysis for an unmanned aircraft landing gear.By describing correlated multi-dimensional mechanical parameters as a convex polyhedral model,the modal analysis problem of a composite landing gear is transferred into a linear fractional programming(LFR)eigenvalue solution problem.As a consequent,the extreme-point algorithm is proposed to estimate lower and upper bounds of eigenvalues,namely the exact results of eigenvalues can be easily obtained at the extreme-point locations of the convex polyhedral model.The simulation results show that the proposed model and algorithm can play an important role in the eigenvalue solution problem and possess valuable engineering significance.It will be a powerful and effective tool for further vibration analysis for the landing gear. 展开更多
关键词 landing gear COMPOSITE UNCERTAIN convex polyhedral model modal analysis
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3D Simulation of Storm Surge Disaster Based on Scenario Analysis
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作者 王晓玲 孙小沛 +3 位作者 张胜利 孙蕊蕊 李瑞金 朱泽彪 《Transactions of Tianjin University》 EI CAS 2016年第2期110-120,共11页
The occurrence of storm surge disaster is often accompanied with floodplain, overflow, dike breach and other complex phenomena, while current studies on storm surge flooding are more concentrated on the 1D/2D numerica... The occurrence of storm surge disaster is often accompanied with floodplain, overflow, dike breach and other complex phenomena, while current studies on storm surge flooding are more concentrated on the 1D/2D numerical simulation of single disaster scenario(floodplain, overflow or dike breach), ignoring the composite effects of various phenomena. Therefore, considering the uncertainty in the disaster process of storm surge, scenario analysis was firstly proposed to identify the composite disaster scenario including multiple phenomena by analyzing key driving forces, building scenario matrix and deducing situation logic. Secondly, by combining the advantages of k-ω and k-ε models in the wall treatment, a shear stress transmission k-ω model coupled with VOF was proposed to simulate the 3D flood routing for storm surge disaster. Thirdly, risk degree was introduced to make the risk analysis of storm surge disaster. Finally, based on the scenario analysis, four scenarios with different storm surge intensity(100-year and 200-year frequency) were identified in Tianjin Binhai New Area. Then, 3D numerical simulation and risk map were made for the case. 展开更多
关键词 SIMULATION storm surge disaster scenario analysis risk degree 3D SST k-ω turbulence model composite scenario
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On multistage flexible comprehensive evaluation of complicated system
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作者 XU Ke LI Wei-bao XTAO De-yun 《Chinese Business Review》 2010年第12期53-59,共7页
The paper analyzed characters of complicated system and discussed the reason of comprehensive evaluation, realization of flexible comprehensive evaluation was researched from prospect of dynamic measure selection of e... The paper analyzed characters of complicated system and discussed the reason of comprehensive evaluation, realization of flexible comprehensive evaluation was researched from prospect of dynamic measure selection of evaluation, balance of functionality and harmony, uncertainty factor. In the end, multistage flexible comprehensive evaluation of complicated system was applied to performance evaluation of firm. 展开更多
关键词 complicated system MULTISTAGE flexible comprehensive evaluation.
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