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地震危险性分析不确定性的复合概率模型(Ⅱ)——潜在震源的不确定性 被引量:1
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作者 周克森 王东霞 吴鹏 《地震工程与工程振动》 CSCD 北大核心 1992年第3期41-47,共7页
为了进一步考察潜在震源区勾画的不确定性,本文提出了“复合潜源”的概念。通过复合潜源参与系数的引入,最终导出的多维复合离散概率的表达式,在前文(Ⅰ)的基础上得到了自然的拓广。适当选取复合潜源的源权、叶权与置信度,可以使潜在震... 为了进一步考察潜在震源区勾画的不确定性,本文提出了“复合潜源”的概念。通过复合潜源参与系数的引入,最终导出的多维复合离散概率的表达式,在前文(Ⅰ)的基础上得到了自然的拓广。适当选取复合潜源的源权、叶权与置信度,可以使潜在震源的物理与几何参数二者作为整体的不确定性,在统一的概率模型中一次处理。 最后,本文给出了两个典型算例。分析表明,潜在震源不确定性的复合概率贡献,与假想的确定潜源结果之间,具有良好的一致性。 展开更多
关键词 地震 危险性 震源 复合概率模型
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基于区域复合概率的行人候选框生成
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作者 覃剑 肖婷 《电子学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2018年第7期1719-1725,共7页
行人检测在汽车驾驶辅助系统和智能视频监控等领域有广泛的应用,而行人候选框的生成是行人识别、定位及跟踪的一项重要前期工作.本文提出一种基于区域复合概率(Local Mixture Probability,LMP)模型的在线生成行人候选框的方法.该方法根... 行人检测在汽车驾驶辅助系统和智能视频监控等领域有广泛的应用,而行人候选框的生成是行人识别、定位及跟踪的一项重要前期工作.本文提出一种基于区域复合概率(Local Mixture Probability,LMP)模型的在线生成行人候选框的方法.该方法根据区域相似性将监控场景划分为多个子区域,随之对各区域内行人的位置和尺度分别建立泊松模型和高斯模型.通过模型的学习与更新可以获取目标出现的概率信息以及目标尺度的分布情况,从而为候选框的生成提供依据,避免遍历搜索的盲目性.实验结果表明,该算法能够在生成较少数目候选框的情况下获得较高的覆盖率. 展开更多
关键词 机器视觉 行人检测 区域复合概率模型 生成候选框
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Uniform asymptotics for finite-time ruin probability in some dependent compound risk models with constant interest rate 被引量:1
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作者 杨洋 刘伟 +1 位作者 林金官 张玉林 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2014年第1期118-121,共4页
Consider two dependent renewal risk models with constant interest rate. By using some methods in the risk theory, uniform asymptotics for finite-time ruin probability is derived in a non-compound risk model, where cla... Consider two dependent renewal risk models with constant interest rate. By using some methods in the risk theory, uniform asymptotics for finite-time ruin probability is derived in a non-compound risk model, where claim sizes are upper tail asymptotically independent random variables with dominatedly varying tails, claim inter-arrival times follow the widely lower orthant dependent structure, and the total amount of premiums is a nonnegative stochastic process. Based on the obtained result, using the method of analysis for the tail probability of random sums, a similar result in a more complex and reasonable compound risk model is also obtained, where individual claim sizes are specialized to be extended negatively dependent and accident inter-arrival times are still widely lower orthant dependent, and both the claim sizes and the claim number have dominatedly varying tails. 展开更多
关键词 compound and non-compound risk models finite-time ruin probability dominatedly varying tail uniformasymptotics random sums dependence structure
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The Survival Probability in Generalized Poisson Risk Model 被引量:6
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作者 GONG Ri-zhao( Institute of Mathematics and Software, Xiangtan Polytechnic University, Xiangtan 411201, China) 《Chinese Quarterly Journal of Mathematics》 CSCD 2003年第2期134-139,共6页
In this paper we generalize the aggregated premium income process from a constant rate process to a poisson process for the classical compound Poinsson risk model,then for the generalized model and the classical compo... In this paper we generalize the aggregated premium income process from a constant rate process to a poisson process for the classical compound Poinsson risk model,then for the generalized model and the classical compound poisson risk model ,we respectively get its survival probability in finite time period in case of exponential claim amounts. 展开更多
关键词 risk model conditional expectation survival probability
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