共因失效普遍存在于现实的工程系统中。如果忽略共因失效对系统的影响,按照传统假设其部件独立的方法进行可靠性分析会得出过于乐观的结论,并且作出认为系统符合可靠性需求的错误判断。在考虑系统由部件选择性失效传播引起的共因失效的...共因失效普遍存在于现实的工程系统中。如果忽略共因失效对系统的影响,按照传统假设其部件独立的方法进行可靠性分析会得出过于乐观的结论,并且作出认为系统符合可靠性需求的错误判断。在考虑系统由部件选择性失效传播引起的共因失效的同时,提出了一种面向复杂系统的基于蒙特卡罗模拟(Monte Carlo simulation,MCS)与元胞自动机(cellular automata,CA)集成的可靠性评估算法。传统方法只能解决可以转化为串、并联结构的简单系统的可靠性评估问题,而所提出的算法打破了这种限制,使得其应用范围更加广泛。展开更多
Since most of the available component-based software reliability models consume high computational cost and suffer from the evaluating complexity for the software system with complex structures,a component-based back-...Since most of the available component-based software reliability models consume high computational cost and suffer from the evaluating complexity for the software system with complex structures,a component-based back-propagation reliability model(CBPRM)with low complexity for the complex software system reliability evaluation is presented in this paper.The proposed model is based on the artificial neural networks and the component reliability sensitivity analyses.These analyses are performed dynamically and assigned to the neurons to optimize the reliability evaluation.CBPRM has a linear increasing complexity and outperforms the state-based and the path-based reliability models.Another advantage of CBPRM over others is its robustness.CBPRM depends on the component reliabilities and the correlative sensitivities,which are independent from the software system structure.Based on the theory analysis and experiment results,it shows that the complexity of CBPRM is evidently lower than the contrast models and the reliability evaluating accuracy is acceptable when the software system structure is complex.展开更多
This study builds a simulation of Chinese carbon sequestration market(CSM) based on the Swarm platform and complex adaptive system(CAS) theory.The simulation results represent that the total assets and profits of the ...This study builds a simulation of Chinese carbon sequestration market(CSM) based on the Swarm platform and complex adaptive system(CAS) theory.The simulation results represent that the total assets and profits of the carbon sequestration project(CSP) buyer and seller are steadily on the increase in the carbon trading maxket.The market regulatory efficiency is determined by the market investment and the improvement of regulation policy.Furthermore,the real sample simulation of Sichuan Daduhe Forest CSP demonstrates that the profit of CSP traded in the CSM is higher than the profit from the transactions of outside exchange.It implies that establishing CSM is an effective way to improve the CSP business for investors and a positive action to response to global warming as well.Finally,this study applies an Analytic Hierarchy Process-Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation(AHPFCE) approach to evaluate the reliability of CSM simulation.It concludes that the CSM simulation is "more creditable",which indicates that the CSM simulation results can be used as a proxy to observe the market uncertainties.展开更多
文摘共因失效普遍存在于现实的工程系统中。如果忽略共因失效对系统的影响,按照传统假设其部件独立的方法进行可靠性分析会得出过于乐观的结论,并且作出认为系统符合可靠性需求的错误判断。在考虑系统由部件选择性失效传播引起的共因失效的同时,提出了一种面向复杂系统的基于蒙特卡罗模拟(Monte Carlo simulation,MCS)与元胞自动机(cellular automata,CA)集成的可靠性评估算法。传统方法只能解决可以转化为串、并联结构的简单系统的可靠性评估问题,而所提出的算法打破了这种限制,使得其应用范围更加广泛。
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.60973118,60873075)
文摘Since most of the available component-based software reliability models consume high computational cost and suffer from the evaluating complexity for the software system with complex structures,a component-based back-propagation reliability model(CBPRM)with low complexity for the complex software system reliability evaluation is presented in this paper.The proposed model is based on the artificial neural networks and the component reliability sensitivity analyses.These analyses are performed dynamically and assigned to the neurons to optimize the reliability evaluation.CBPRM has a linear increasing complexity and outperforms the state-based and the path-based reliability models.Another advantage of CBPRM over others is its robustness.CBPRM depends on the component reliabilities and the correlative sensitivities,which are independent from the software system structure.Based on the theory analysis and experiment results,it shows that the complexity of CBPRM is evidently lower than the contrast models and the reliability evaluating accuracy is acceptable when the software system structure is complex.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.71173175
文摘This study builds a simulation of Chinese carbon sequestration market(CSM) based on the Swarm platform and complex adaptive system(CAS) theory.The simulation results represent that the total assets and profits of the carbon sequestration project(CSP) buyer and seller are steadily on the increase in the carbon trading maxket.The market regulatory efficiency is determined by the market investment and the improvement of regulation policy.Furthermore,the real sample simulation of Sichuan Daduhe Forest CSP demonstrates that the profit of CSP traded in the CSM is higher than the profit from the transactions of outside exchange.It implies that establishing CSM is an effective way to improve the CSP business for investors and a positive action to response to global warming as well.Finally,this study applies an Analytic Hierarchy Process-Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation(AHPFCE) approach to evaluate the reliability of CSM simulation.It concludes that the CSM simulation is "more creditable",which indicates that the CSM simulation results can be used as a proxy to observe the market uncertainties.
