当前经济形势与经济政策取向分析

一、怎样看待当前的经济形势? 要判断当前的经济形势,必须对刚刚过去的2002年的经济发展,有个总体分析。2002年我国经济发展的若干主要指标都取得了重大突破。2002年全年国内生产总值达102398亿元,突破10万亿元,比上年实际增长8％。前不久,联合国预测2002年全球经济增长仅为2.7％左右,对中国经济增长的评价是“一枝独秀”。可以说,

Regional Financial Development and Regional Economic Growth: An Empirical Analysis of Suzhou City, China

There are many defects in researches on the relationship of the regional financial development (FD) and economic growth of China, such as simply assuming the causality direction, not highlighting financial institution, using incomplete financial indicator, etc. This article, taking Suzhou City of Jiangsu Province, China as a case, builds a simple model to study the level of FD from three aspects of financial scale, structure and institution. Three original indicators of PRIVY (private investment/aggregate investment), DEPTH (aggregate loan/GDP) and FDIVG (FDI/GDP) are used to construct the FD economic indicator through Principal Component Analysis approach. Then we use Granger method to analyze the relationship between the FD and the economic growth of Suzhou. Empirical test results show that the FD of Suzhou is the Granger reason of economic growth, while economic growth is not the reason for FD, because the relationship between the FD and the economic growth of Suzhou is just in the ″supply-leading″ period. In terms of Suzhou experiences, the local government should strengthen the protection of private investment, improve the institutional environment, and establish the reasonable financial structure. So we can concluded that FD could play a great role in promoting economic growth at the economy takeoff stage.

The Redirection of US Foreign Strategy against the Background of Globalization

American foreign strategy has had strong continuity since World War II despite differences among successive presidents. Donald Trump's 2016 presidential campaign revealed ideas and goals for US strategy and strategy adjustment that differ significantly from those of predecessors. The decline in relative gains and rise in cost for US involvement in globalization are reasons for Trump to redirect US foreign strategy. The relative decrease of both US trade and foreign direct investment in the US, amid security threats and the identity crisis of the American people, has tremendously increased the pricetag for US involvement in globalization.

The Political Economy of the Chinese Onslaught in Africa

China＇s economic and social ties with Africa have grown sturdily since 2000 and the shifts are so marked that, by 2009, China＇s share in sub-Saharan Africa＇s total exports and imports exceeded that between China and other regions in the world. Africa has as well received year-on-year increases in foreign aid from China as compared to Latin America and Asia. This paper seeks an analysis of the increasing economic and social ties between China and Africa. Employing the political economy framework, this paper uses secondary sources of data to rake out the benefits and the threats as well as the political dynamics associated with the ties between the two regions. The paper reveals that China＇s deep-rooted relationship with Africa is translated in benefits including foreign aid, Foreign Direct Investment （FDI）, construction of physical amenities and human resource development for Africa. However, enormous threats including loss of employment, deprivation of human rights and collapse of industries, which are being entrenched by various degrees of leadership deficiencies, are apparent. The paper concludes that the ties, in terms of nature and effects, do not essentially represent change from the already existing ties between Africa and the West but only represent continuity in the dependency syndrome with a new ＂benefactor-exploiter＂. The solution for Africa, as the paper suggests, does not lie in closure of ties with China but in a knowledgeable, willing and action-oriented leadership which can consolidate the benefits and reverse the threats emerging from the ties.

State-Based Determinants of Inward FDI Stock in the U.S. Economy

This paper has empirical character and investigates locational determinants of the inward foreign direct investment （FDI） stock among 50 states of the United States. The analysis uses annual data for the period from 1997 to 2007. The study identifies several state-specific determinants of FDI and investigates the changes in their importance during the study period. Our results show that among the major determinants, the real per capita income, real per capita expenditure on education, FDI related employment, plus real research and development expenditure are found to have a significant positive impact on inward FDI. There is also evidence that manufacturing density and unionization exert a small positive impact on inward FDI. In addition, per capita state taxes, the share of scientists and engineers in the workforce, real capital expenditure, and unemployment rate exert a negative impact on FDI.

The Human Rightsin Galician Press （FaroDe Vigo and La Voz De Galicia）

Democratic society requires that press freedom is reflected through the preservation of human rights. The aim of this study was to analyse quantitatively the media discourse in the environment of Galicia to see how they deal with different aspects related to the subject. The papers used for the study were for the months from January to September Faro fie Vigo and La Voz de Galicia, in order to establish whether there is a constant in the treatment is done, especially in regard to topics, dedicated spaces, sources and so on.

China＇s Current Inflation： Characteristics, Causes and Countermeasures

China＇s current inflation differs from that of the 1980s. The Current inflation is being caused by factors from both the supply and demand sides, and should therefore be addressed from both sides as well With a new policy analysis framework, we suggest that China now needs to adopt a policy combination of ＂supply expansion and demand tightening.＂ Demand tightening should mainly rely on the policy of quantitative monetary tightening, which specifically includes further tightening of capital controls and encouragement of outbound investment. Supply expansion should mainly rely on policies of tax cuts, Renminbi appreciation, reform, improvement of administration, and technological progress.

广义IT升温

清科创业投资研究中心一季度行业调查报告显示，2004年首季度国内创业投资市场持续活跃，在接受调查的机构中共有35个中外创投机构对33家大陆及大陆相关企业进行了投资，已知投资金额2.16亿美元，相对于2003年第四季度，实现了大幅度的增长。同时，本季度投资活力指数达到了108.33。创下了2003年以来的最高值。