During the development of the intellectual multi-agent investment management information system （designed for the formation of investor＇s investment decisions）, it was established that there is a lack of both neces...During the development of the intellectual multi-agent investment management information system （designed for the formation of investor＇s investment decisions）, it was established that there is a lack of both necessary comprehensive researches and analysis to invoke more than one decision-making aspect （argument） for the making of investment decision, and recommendations to combine these diverse parameters. It is possible to find a lot of articles and researches in which investment decisions or investment tactics are decided on the ground of either technical or fundamental analysis, or modeling and on the ground of intellectual calculating technique （for example, fuzzy logic, neural net, genetic programming）, whereas the issues of the coordination of different techniques are not decided at all. To fill this niche, the article offers the decision applied in multi-agent investment management information system which allows to provide rationale for investment decision taking into account four aspects （arguments）, i.e., to form the recommendation to purchase/hold/sell a security paper having evaluated the following four aspects （arguments）： （a） fundamental analysis, （b） technical analysis, （c） experts and analysts＇ recommendations and （d） risk assessment. These aspects （arguments） are chosen taking into account the real most commonly occurring process of investor＇s investment decision-making. The article gives the implementation of aspects （arguments） assessment by four corresponding software agents whose decisions are implemented with a help of fuzzy logic. Besides, the article offers the technique of the unification of these aspects （arguments）. The offered intellectual multi-agent investment management information system can be tested on the internet： www.sprendimutechnologijos.lt/webapp （MADSYS project）.展开更多
文摘During the development of the intellectual multi-agent investment management information system （designed for the formation of investor＇s investment decisions）, it was established that there is a lack of both necessary comprehensive researches and analysis to invoke more than one decision-making aspect （argument） for the making of investment decision, and recommendations to combine these diverse parameters. It is possible to find a lot of articles and researches in which investment decisions or investment tactics are decided on the ground of either technical or fundamental analysis, or modeling and on the ground of intellectual calculating technique （for example, fuzzy logic, neural net, genetic programming）, whereas the issues of the coordination of different techniques are not decided at all. To fill this niche, the article offers the decision applied in multi-agent investment management information system which allows to provide rationale for investment decision taking into account four aspects （arguments）, i.e., to form the recommendation to purchase/hold/sell a security paper having evaluated the following four aspects （arguments）： （a） fundamental analysis, （b） technical analysis, （c） experts and analysts＇ recommendations and （d） risk assessment. These aspects （arguments） are chosen taking into account the real most commonly occurring process of investor＇s investment decision-making. The article gives the implementation of aspects （arguments） assessment by four corresponding software agents whose decisions are implemented with a help of fuzzy logic. Besides, the article offers the technique of the unification of these aspects （arguments）. The offered intellectual multi-agent investment management information system can be tested on the internet： www.sprendimutechnologijos.lt/webapp （MADSYS project）.
