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企业破产预测实证模型评述 被引量:2
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作者 王利娜 《河北经贸大学学报》 CSSCI 北大核心 2012年第3期51-54,共4页
随着计量方法的改进,对企业破产的实证预测,重新成为理论界和实务界关注的重点。40年来代表性的破产预测实证模型包括专家评分系统、分离模型、多元分离模型、Logit模型、生存分析模型、神经网络模型等。对于每种模型的假设前提、所选... 随着计量方法的改进,对企业破产的实证预测,重新成为理论界和实务界关注的重点。40年来代表性的破产预测实证模型包括专家评分系统、分离模型、多元分离模型、Logit模型、生存分析模型、神经网络模型等。对于每种模型的假设前提、所选择的解释变量、预测能力以及可能的局限性进行评述,可以得出结论:多元分离模型虽然传统,但实用性最强;分时风险模型因为改善了分离模型的静态性,预测准确率也更高,是目前应用最广泛的模型。 展开更多
关键词 破产预测 多元分离模型 分时风险模型
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Multi-scale finite element analysis of chloride diffusion in concrete incorporating paste/aggregate ITZs 被引量:5
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作者 GUO Li GUO XiaoMing MI ChangWen 《Science China(Physics,Mechanics & Astronomy)》 SCIE EI CAS 2012年第9期1696-1702,共7页
In this paper,we propose a concurrent multi-scale finite element(FE) model coupling equations of the degree of freedoms of meso-scale model of ITZs and macroscopic model of bulk pastes.The multi-scale model is subsequ... In this paper,we propose a concurrent multi-scale finite element(FE) model coupling equations of the degree of freedoms of meso-scale model of ITZs and macroscopic model of bulk pastes.The multi-scale model is subsequently implemented and integrated into ABAQUS resulting in easy application to complex concrete structures.A few benchmark numerical examples are performed to test both the accuracy and efficiency of the developed model in analyzing chloride diffusion in concrete.These examples clearly demonstrate that high diffusivity of ITZs,primarily because of its porous microstructure,tends to accelerate chloride penetration along concentration gradient.The proposed model provides new guidelines for the durability analysis of concrete structures under adverse operating conditions. 展开更多
关键词 multi-scale model ITZ concrete durability coupling equations finite element method
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