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财务危机预警模型评析 被引量:8
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作者 熊燕 《中国管理信息化》 北大核心 2008年第8期58-60,共3页
企业财务危机已成为企业利益相关者需要预测并应对的重要风险之一。企业应构建财务预警机制,及时沟通企业有关财务危机预警的信息,有效地防范和化解财务危机。本文对国内外财务危机预警模型逐一进行评析,旨在为构建符合我国实际并具有... 企业财务危机已成为企业利益相关者需要预测并应对的重要风险之一。企业应构建财务预警机制,及时沟通企业有关财务危机预警的信息,有效地防范和化解财务危机。本文对国内外财务危机预警模型逐一进行评析,旨在为构建符合我国实际并具有可操作性的财务危机预警模型提供借鉴。 展开更多
关键词 财务危机预警模型 单变量模型 多元判别分析模型 人工神经网络分析模型
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基于主成分判别分析模型的房地产上市企业财务风险研究 被引量:4
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作者 徐晓莉 陈佩佩 《经济研究导刊》 2018年第24期121-123,共3页
在构建企业财务风险评价指标体系的基础上,首先,利用SPSS20.0软件选取ST企业与非ST企业间存在显著性差异的12个指标;然后,对24家样本企业2015年的指标数据提取主成分,通过多元判别分析建立企业的财务风险评估模型;最后,利用随机选取的3... 在构建企业财务风险评价指标体系的基础上,首先,利用SPSS20.0软件选取ST企业与非ST企业间存在显著性差异的12个指标;然后,对24家样本企业2015年的指标数据提取主成分,通过多元判别分析建立企业的财务风险评估模型;最后,利用随机选取的30家房地产企业2016年的经营数据对已建模型的有效性进行实证检验,发现此模型对财务风险的预测准确率达到90%,即该模型可以有效地预测企业的财务风险。同时,该模型对其他房地产企业财务风险的预测也具有借鉴意义。 展开更多
关键词 房地产行业 财务风险评价 主成分分析 多元判别分析模型
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Establishment of water source discrimination model in coal mine by using hydrogeochemistry and statistical analysis: a case study from Renlou Coal Mine in northern Anhui Province, China 被引量:5
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作者 SUN Lin-hua GUI He-rong 《Journal of Coal Science & Engineering(China)》 2012年第4期385-389,共5页
The demand for energy consumption promotes to find more coal in deep underground up to 1 000 m and brings more serious situation of water disaster. As one of the major methods for water disaster control, hydrogeochemi... The demand for energy consumption promotes to find more coal in deep underground up to 1 000 m and brings more serious situation of water disaster. As one of the major methods for water disaster control, hydrogeochemistry attracts a series of studies related to water source discrimination. In this paper, a simple method for constructing the water source discrimination model based on major ions and multivariate statistical analysis was reported using the following procedures: (1) collection of data and interpretation, (2) analysis of controlling factors based on the chemical composition of groundwater, (3) "pure" sample chosen, and (4) discrimination model establishment. After the processes, two functions and a diagram were established for three aquifers (the Quaternary, Coal bearing, and Taiyuan Fm.) from the Renlou Coal Mine in northern Anhui Province, China. The method can be applied in almost all coal mines and can be used for evaluating the contribution ratios if the water is collected from a mixing source. 展开更多
关键词 HYDROGEOCHEMISTRY water source discrimination multivariate statistical GROUNDWATER
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Development of Three Risk Assessment Models for Deoxynivalenol and Fumonisins B1 + B2 Contents in Maize Kernel
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作者 C. Levasseur O. Surel D. Kleiber 《Journal of Agricultural Science and Technology(B)》 2011年第4期483-494,共12页
The maximal deoxynivalenol (DON) and fumonisins 131 + B2 (FUM) contents in cereals are dictated by the European regulation 1126/2007. The direct measurement of these mycotoxins is a tedious and expensive process.... The maximal deoxynivalenol (DON) and fumonisins 131 + B2 (FUM) contents in cereals are dictated by the European regulation 1126/2007. The direct measurement of these mycotoxins is a tedious and expensive process. Our study is based on an alternative tool: near infrared spectroscopy. Different models were developed on 374 maize samples to predict their DON and FUM contents. Several parameters have been determined and used in a multivariate data analysis. Three models were developed: (1) a classification model based on Discriminant Factor Analysis (DFA), (2) a linear model based on ANalysis of COVAriance (ANCOVA) and (3) a Partial Least Squares Discriminant Analysis model (PLS-DA). Firstly, the performances of the DFA model for assessing DON and FUM risk were similar: 69 and 72% of the validation samples were respectively well classified. In the second part, the performances of the ANCOVA model for DON were higher than for FUM. The r2 was worth respectively 0.85 and 0.69. In the last part, the performances of the PLS-DA models were better for FUM than for DON. These results show that an evaluation of the mycotoxin risk is possible by analyzing selected kernel parameters measurable by secondary analytical such as near-infrared spectroscopy. Further work is needed to improve the models, adding more samples and using non linear approaches. 展开更多
关键词 Maize kernel mycotoxins contents (deoxynivalenol and fumonisins) risk assessment near infrared spectroscopy.
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