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基于多元回归理论的太湖湖泛预警模型研究 被引量:1
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作者 谢卫平 洪月菊 +1 位作者 吴磊 陆勇 《环境监控与预警》 2015年第5期7-11,共5页
在太湖宜兴段藻源性湖泛高发区设立4个监测点,以湖泛发生的物质基础"藻类生物量"为研究对象,运用数据分析软件SPSS对监测点的藻类生物量、水质、气温等数据进行相关分析,建立了以藻密度为因变量的多元逐步回归模型。结合往年... 在太湖宜兴段藻源性湖泛高发区设立4个监测点,以湖泛发生的物质基础"藻类生物量"为研究对象,运用数据分析软件SPSS对监测点的藻类生物量、水质、气温等数据进行相关分析,建立了以藻密度为因变量的多元逐步回归模型。结合往年太湖藻源性湖泛发生时的气象条件等历史资料以及相关藻密度阈值的报道,构建了太湖宜兴段藻源性湖泛高发区监测预警模型系统,该模型能够基于监测点的实时水质数据和气象预报数据,对监控区域湖水在未来某时间段内发生湖泛风险的可能性进行分级预警。 展开更多
关键词 多元回归理论 太湖 湖泛 预警模型
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数控微磨床热误差的补偿方法 被引量:1
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作者 舒启林 吕玉山 李玉龙 《机床与液压》 北大核心 2013年第15期42-44,49,共4页
为消除数控微磨床热误差对加工精度的影响,提出了基于多元回归理论的数控微磨床热误差在线补偿方法。针对自行设计的数控微磨床建立热误差模型,采用TC-3型温度测试仪和激光干涉仪分别获取微磨床热敏感点的温度数据与刀具主轴变形量;根... 为消除数控微磨床热误差对加工精度的影响,提出了基于多元回归理论的数控微磨床热误差在线补偿方法。针对自行设计的数控微磨床建立热误差模型,采用TC-3型温度测试仪和激光干涉仪分别获取微磨床热敏感点的温度数据与刀具主轴变形量;根据多元回归理论,通过计算判定系数和残差平方和来选取热误差模型的最佳变量组合。实验结果表明:运用多元回归理论,以最佳变量组合来建模,能够显著提高热误差建模精度。微磨床刀具主轴的径向热误差由8μm减少至1μm以内。 展开更多
关键词 数控微磨床 多元回归理论 热误差在线补偿 最佳变量组合
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Theoretical analysis of thermoviscoelastic contact between friction lining and wire rope in mine friction hoists 被引量:2
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作者 PENG Yu-xing ZHU Zhen-cai CHEN Guo-an 《Mining Science and Technology》 EI CAS 2009年第4期518-521,共4页
Serious accidents of mine hoists caused by high-speed sliding between friction lining and wire rope are often seen in coal mines.In order to solve this problem,we analyzed the contact characteristics between friction ... Serious accidents of mine hoists caused by high-speed sliding between friction lining and wire rope are often seen in coal mines.In order to solve this problem,we analyzed the contact characteristics between friction lining and wire rope.Then we carried out a dynamic mechanical analysis(DMA) to explain the change in mechanical properties of the friction lining as function of temperature and load frequency and found that temperature has a stronger effect on the mechanical properties than the frequency.We used multiple regression analysis to obtain the thermoviscoelastic constitutive relations of the friction lining.As well we derived the analytic solution for the thermoviscoelastic contact radius and pressure by combining the theory of viscoelastic contact mechanics with thermoviscoelastic constitutive relations. 展开更多
关键词 contact mechanics THERMOVISCOELASTICITY friction lining dynamic mechanical analysis mine hoist
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Determinants of Capital Structure in the Nigerian Listed Insurance Firms 被引量:1
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作者 Shehu Usman Hassan 《Chinese Business Review》 2012年第7期672-681,共10页
The paper investigates the determinants of capital structure in Nigerian listed insurance firms using data obtained from annual report of the sampled firms for the period of 2001-2010. It used five explanatory variabl... The paper investigates the determinants of capital structure in Nigerian listed insurance firms using data obtained from annual report of the sampled firms for the period of 2001-2010. It used five explanatory variables to measure their effects on debt ratio. Multiple regression is employed as a tool of analysis. The result reveals that all the explanatory variables have statistically and significantly influenced the explained variable. The results approve the prediction of pecking order theory in the case of profitability and trade-off theory in case of tangibility variables. The growth variable supports the agency theory hypothesis whereas size variable confirms to the asymmetry of information theory. It is therefore recommended that the management of listed insurance firms in Nigeria should always consider their positions using these capital structure determinants as important inputs before embarking on debt financing decision. 展开更多
关键词 capital structure determinants leverage Nigerian insurance firms
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A fuzzy logic model to predict the out-of-seam dilution in longwall mining 被引量:2
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作者 Ali Bahri Najafi Mohammad Ali Ebrahimi Farsangi Golam Reza Saeedi 《International Journal of Mining Science and Technology》 SCIE EI CSCD 2015年第1期91-98,共8页
The longwall mining method is often affected by the out-of-seam dilution (OSD). Therefore, predicting and controlling of dilution are important factors for reducing mining costs. In this study, the fuzzy set theory ... The longwall mining method is often affected by the out-of-seam dilution (OSD). Therefore, predicting and controlling of dilution are important factors for reducing mining costs. In this study, the fuzzy set theory and multiple regression models with parameters, including variation in seam thickness, dip of seam, seam thickness, depth of seam, and hydraulic radius as inputs to the models were applied to pre- dict the OSD in the longwall coal panels. Field data obtained from Kerman and Tabas coal mines, lran were used to develop and validate the models. Three indices including coefficient of determination (R2), root mean square error (RMSE) and variance account for (VAF) were used to evaluate the perfor- mance of the models. With 10 randomly selected datasets, for the linear, polynomial, power, exponential, and fuzzy logic models, R2, RSME and VAF are equal to (0.85, 4.4, 84.4), (0.61, 7.5, 59.6), (0.84, 4.5, 72.7), (0.80, 4.1, 79.6), and (0.97, 2.1, 95.7), respectively. The obtained results indicate that the fuzzy logic model predictor with R2 = 0.97, RMSE = 2.1, and VAF = 95.7 performs better than the other models. 展开更多
关键词 Out-of-seam dilutionLongwall coal miningRegression modelingFuzzy set theoryKerman and Tabas coal mines
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Intelligent compaction theory of high roller compacted concrete dam
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作者 Liu Donghai 《Engineering Sciences》 EI 2012年第5期58-64,共7页
The concept and realization process of intelligent compaction for the construction of high roller compacted concrete dam were presented, as well as the theory of monitoring and intelligent feedback control. Based on t... The concept and realization process of intelligent compaction for the construction of high roller compacted concrete dam were presented, as well as the theory of monitoring and intelligent feedback control. Based on the real-time analysis of the compaction index, a multiple regression model of the dam compactness was established and a realime estimation method of compaction quality for the entire work area of roller compacted concrete dam was proposed finally. The adaptive adjustment of the roiling process parameters was achieved, with the speed, the exciting force, the roller pass and the compaction thickness meeting the standards during the whole construction process. As a result, the compaction quality and construction efficiency can be improved. The research provides a new way for the construction quality control of roller compacted concrete dam. 展开更多
关键词 roller compacted concrete RCC dam quality control intelligent compaction real-time monitoring real-time quality estimation
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