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一种考虑季节特性的光伏电站多模型功率预测方法 被引量:13
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作者 时珉 周海 +1 位作者 韩雨彤 尹瑞 《电网与清洁能源》 2019年第7期75-82,共8页
随着并网光伏发电容量的持续增加及多能源发电协同利用的需要,光伏发电功率的高精度预测对于提高规模化光伏发电的优化调度和安全运行日益重要。为了解决单一预测模型精度低的问题,提出了一种基于季节气象特征划分的光伏发电多模型预测... 随着并网光伏发电容量的持续增加及多能源发电协同利用的需要,光伏发电功率的高精度预测对于提高规模化光伏发电的优化调度和安全运行日益重要。为了解决单一预测模型精度低的问题,提出了一种基于季节气象特征划分的光伏发电多模型预测方法。通过不同季节下光伏发电系统的电气特性和出力特性分析,说明了按照季节来划分功率预测多模型的必要性。以某光伏电站为例,利用BP神经网络建立不同季节的光伏发电预测模型,通过遗传算法优化了季节模型参数。利用实测数据对2种功率预测方法进行了比较,结果表明,该方法能有效提高光伏电站的功率预测精度。 展开更多
关键词 光伏功率预测 太阳辐照度 人工神经网络 多季节模型
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Genetic Analysis on Plant Height in Rice in Different Growing Seasons
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作者 陈小荣 陈志彬 +5 位作者 贺浩华 朱昌兰 彭小松 贺晓鹏 傅军如 欧阳林娟 《Agricultural Science & Technology》 CAS 2010年第11期114-118,共5页
[Objective] The aim was to carry out the genetic analysis on plant height of rice(Oryza sativa L.)cultivated in different seasons.[Method] Three rice parents with great difference in plant height including CB1(83.1... [Objective] The aim was to carry out the genetic analysis on plant height of rice(Oryza sativa L.)cultivated in different seasons.[Method] Three rice parents with great difference in plant height including CB1(83.1 cm),CB4(105.5 cm)and CB7(115.6 cm)were chosen to construct two parental combinations:CB1×CB4 and CB7×CB4,and the corresponding filial generations P1,F1,P2,B1,B2 and F2 were obtained.The 6 populations were planted in middle and late seasons respectively to measure their height traits.The Akaike's information criterion(AIC)of the mixed major gene and polygene model was used to indentify the existence of major genes affecting quantitative traits in B1,B2,F2 populations.When the major genes existed,the genetic effects of the major genes and polygenes and their genetic variance were estimated through segregation analysis.[Result] One additive major gene plus additive-dominance polygenes was the most fitted genetic model for the trait in all B1,B2,F2 populations in two planting seasons.The heritability values of the major genes varied from 38.63% to 78.53% and those of polygenes varied from 1.72% to 36.04%,and the total heritability values were 45.52-92.93%.The additive effect d value of the two genetic populations under two planting seasons was-4.56,-9.16,-7.19,and-9.38,respectively,as suggested that additive effect of the major genes would decrease the express of the plant height trait.[Conclusion] The heritability of plant height trait was affected by planting seasons and the combinations clearly as a whole. 展开更多
关键词 RICE Plant height Different planting seasons Major genes plus polygenes mixed inheritance model Genetic effect
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