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政策实施研究模型的重构与再造:对综合模型的再综合 被引量:4
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作者 赵德余 《公共行政评论》 CSSCI 北大核心 2017年第3期120-140,共21页
第一代自上而下范式的政策实施研究与第二代自下而上范式的政策实施研究能否进行综合以及如何综合仍然是极具理论价值与实践意义的学术命题。在对已有的政策实施研究综合模型进行批评性讨论的基础上,重新构造了一个多重系统动态政策实... 第一代自上而下范式的政策实施研究与第二代自下而上范式的政策实施研究能否进行综合以及如何综合仍然是极具理论价值与实践意义的学术命题。在对已有的政策实施研究综合模型进行批评性讨论的基础上,重新构造了一个多重系统动态政策实施模型。政策实施的多重系统动态模型事实上包含了已有各个主要政策综合模型的基本特征,即不仅涵盖了各个已有综合模型所隐含的系统性,而且也突出了政策实施过程中随时间变化的动态性。论文提出的综合的分析性政策实施模型的优点是将各种影响政策实施的因素变量及其相互之间的关系具体化、类型化与结构化,在该结构化关系图景中,可以更清晰地辨别出各种类型的影响因素相互作用的逻辑次序以及对最终政策实施效果的作用路径。 展开更多
关键词 政策实施 综合模型 多重动态系统 政策产出
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Throughput Analysis of Dynamic Spectrum Anti-Jamming Multiple-Access in HF Communication Systems 被引量:2
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作者 Yichao Zhu Chao Guo Xiaoxue Wang 《China Communications》 SCIE CSCD 2018年第9期85-94,共10页
A multiple-access networking scheme based on the new dynamic spectrum anti-jamming system is proposed in this paper. The network consists of a center node and multiple user nodes. The center node detects spectrum hole... A multiple-access networking scheme based on the new dynamic spectrum anti-jamming system is proposed in this paper. The network consists of a center node and multiple user nodes. The center node detects spectrum holes in the operation band periodically according to the user performance target. Detected spectrum holes are allocated to users who request communication. Throughput of this networking scheme is analyzed over a high-frequency(HF) interference channel. The effect of error correction coding and spectrum hole information transmission error is discussed. Throughput of this scheme and conventional frequency-hopping multiple-access(FHMA) scheme are compared. Results show that user performance increase leads to throughput decrease, which can be offset by error correction coding. If spectrum hole information transmission is in error, the throughput is not affected much as long as the bit error rate is below 10-2. Furthermore, throughput of this scheme is obviously superior to the throughput of FHMA scheme. 展开更多
关键词 dynamic spectrum anti-jamming multiple-access communication THROUGHPUT spectrum hole
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A systems dynamic model of a coal-based city with multiple adaptive scenarios: A case study of Ordos, China 被引量:4
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作者 LIU XiaoQian PEI Tao +4 位作者 ZHOU ChengHu DU YunYan MA Ting XIE ChuanJie XU Jun 《Science China Earth Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2018年第3期302-316,共15页
Abstract Cities based on coal resources have increasingly important social and economic roles in China. Their strategies for sustainable development, however, urgently need to be improved, which represents a huge chal... Abstract Cities based on coal resources have increasingly important social and economic roles in China. Their strategies for sustainable development, however, urgently need to be improved, which represents a huge challenge. Most observers believe that the continued progress of these cities relies on the optimization of scientific adaptive management in which social, economic, and ecological factors are incorporated. A systems perspective that combines policies, management priorities, and long-term policy impacts needs to be applied. To date, however, such an approach has not been adopted, which means it is difficult to implement adaptive management at the regional scale. In this study, we used various situations to develop a multiple adaptive scenario system dynamics model. We then simulated a range of policy scenarios, with Ordos in the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region as a case study. Simulation results showed that the current strategy is not sustainable and predicted that the system would exceed the environmental capacity, with risks of resource exhaustion and urban decline in 2025-2035. Five critical policy variables, including the urban population carrying capacity, rates of water consumption and water recycling, and expansion of urban land cover, were identified during sensitivity analysis. We developed and compared six socio-economic scenarios. The urban area, represented by the urban population density, seemed to transition through five different stages, namely natural growth, rapid growth, stable oscillation, fading, and rebalancing. Our scenarios suggested that different policies had different roles through each stage. The water use efficiency management policy had a comprehensive far-reaching influence on the system behavior; land urbanization management functions dominated at the start, and population capacity management was a major control in the mid-term. Our results showed that the water recycling policy and the urban population carrying capacity were extremely important, and both should be reinforced and evaluated by the local governments. 展开更多
关键词 System dynamics model STELLA Resource-based city Multiple adaptive scenarios
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