大气模式中表面水热通量计算的一些问题

对现有的大气模式中计算海面和大气间水、热通量的通量-廓线关系式进行了评论，提出一个理论上较完整的通量-廓线关系式。其中考虑了水汽对M－O参数的影响，并引进相应于虚位温的标量粗糙度。MoanaWave的实测资料表明，由于该资料相应于温度的粗糙度zoh和湿度粗糙度zoq相差不大，使现有的公式计算结果与文中提出的公式差别不大。当zoh，zoq差别大时，两种公式结果有一定的差别。而文中公式理论上更为合理。还将不稳定状态下计算通量的简化方法推广到海面。

青藏高原气温的年际变率与大气环状波动模

基于1961年3月至2002年2月间青藏高原地区64个台站的地面气温观测资料和ERA40再分析数据集,研究了青藏高原上空气温的年际变率及其与大尺度环流的关系。结果表明除夏季外,高原地面气温与整个北半球副热带、极地对流层的温度和位势高度有显著的同位相变化关系,而与中高纬度对流层有显著的反位相变化关系。其中北半球副热带还有5个分别位于青藏高原、西太平洋、北美西部、大西洋中部、北非到阿拉伯半岛的活动中心。这3条环状活动带和5个副热带活动中心共同组成了一种北半球大气环状波动模,其纬向特征为异常偏强的中纬度西风气流以及热带和高纬度东风气流,并伴有中纬度大气长波槽脊的减弱;经向基本特征为异常偏强的Hadley和Ferrel环流以及副热带下沉气流和中纬度上升气流,垂直方向呈相当正压结构。当这种环状波动模处于正位相时,异常增强的绝热下沉增温效应和减弱的冷空气活动共同使得高原上空对流层中、低层气温异常偏暖。

GPS精密定位数据分析和大气建模回顾与展望

归纳了用于GPS数据分析的大气建模方法。由于大气分布不均和不断的变化,尤其是大气中的水汽影响,使建立无线电信号路径延迟的精确模型在GPS高精度定位中非常必要。目前的路径延迟模型是参数估计及外部修正法。建议应用数值天气预报及其分析模型,以及空间探测仪器取代映射函数直接完成静水力学路径延迟修正。Raman激光雷达可用在各种天气条件下,作更精确的湿路径延迟的外部修正,其校准可用混合GPS数据分析法解决。

铁路BDS地基增强带状空间误差建模方法

铁路北斗地基增强网络是铁路精密工程重要基础设施,为线路周边区域提供全天候高精度时空基准与位置服务。铁路北斗地基增强观测网络常为带状分布,与区域面状地基增强网络存在显著的空间分布特征差异。为了实现带状网络场景下最优的位置服务性能,本文分析了铁路带状场景下距离相干模型(DIM)、线性内插模型(LIM)和最小二乘配置模型(LSC)3种空间相关误差修正数生成模型的误差传递规律,并结合实际铁路北斗地基增强网络进行高精度定位试验。结果表明:在铁路地基增强网络中,LSC网络边缘与外围位置均表现出良好的位置服务性能,平面和高程的实时定位精度优于2 cm,且随服务位置变化精度波动较小;LIM仅在网络边缘与其沿线方向处表现良好,精度可达2 cm,远离地基增强网络时,定位精度下降明显;DIM的定位精度与可靠性均较差。与区域面状地基增强网络不同,铁路带状网络场景下LSC的位置服务性能优于LIM和DIM。

用自由模对1998年夏季阻塞形势的诊断分析

签于大气自由模和阻塞高压的重要性 ,首先简要介绍阻塞高压与中国夏季降水的关系及 1998年夏季 5 0 0hPa异常环流场 ;然后利用 2 1波菱形截断的谱方法求出无粘性、无强迫正压涡度方程的自由解 ,即和实际大气流场十分接近的大气自由模 ,并讨论其特征 ;最后利用大气自由模的特征诊断分析了实际大气的环流特征 ,并重点用其分析了 1998年夏季的大气环流异常形势。结果表明大气自由模能很好地反映大气环流大尺度特征 ,而略去了中、小尺度涡旋 ;大气自由模的流场和绝对涡度场之间的散点图反映了 (q ,Ψ )的函数关系是分段线性或非线性的 ,尽管实际流场与绝对涡度场之间的点阵图反映两者之间成不同斜率的线性函数关系 ,但点阵比较发散 ,不能突出某些重要系统 ;1998年夏季实际大气自由模态突出了大气环流的重要特征 ,例如 ,越赤道气流、西风急流、副热带高压、阻塞高压及两极的边界效应等 ;通过自由模态的特征可以识别出纬向流及阻塞高压的持续异常 ,利用自由模的稳定性判断阻塞高压的稳定性 ,不稳定模态可以维持一段较长的时间 ,且由于这些不稳定的模存在 ,才使 1998年 6月中旬到下旬的中高纬阻塞高压稳定维持。

融合机理与数据的灰箱系统建模方法研究

建模和仿真的方法逐渐已经可以解决复杂系统问题。对于符合牛顿物理定律的工程系统,通常采用机理建模的方式建立白箱模型,而对于系统内部结构和特性不明确时采用黑箱建模的方式,用基于数据和统计的建模方法来解决问题。讨论了白箱和黑箱建模方法存在的缺陷;提出一种融合机理和数据的灰箱建模方法,以大气污染物扩散建模为例,从白箱到灰箱和从黑箱到灰箱两个角度阐述如何解决实际问题。通过案例论证了灰箱建模方法的可行性和有效性,并展望未来工作。

Gated Neural Network-Based Unsteady Aerodynamic Modeling for Large Angles of Attack

Modeling of unsteady aerodynamic loads at high angles of attack using a small amount of experimental or simulation data to construct predictive models for unknown states can greatly improve the efficiency of aircraft unsteady aerodynamic design and flight dynamics analysis.In this paper,aiming at the problems of poor generalization of traditional aerodynamic models and intelligent models,an intelligent aerodynamic modeling method based on gated neural units is proposed.The time memory characteristics of the gated neural unit is fully utilized,thus the nonlinear flow field characterization ability of the learning and training process is enhanced,and the generalization ability of the whole prediction model is improved.The prediction and verification of the model are carried out under the maneuvering flight condition of NACA0015 airfoil.The results show that the model has good adaptability.In the interpolation prediction,the maximum prediction error of the lift and drag coefficients and the moment coefficient does not exceed 10%,which can basically represent the variation characteristics of the entire flow field.In the construction of extrapolation models,the training model based on the strong nonlinear data has good accuracy for weak nonlinear prediction.Furthermore,the error is larger,even exceeding 20%,which indicates that the extrapolation and generalization capabilities need to be further optimized by integrating physical models.Compared with the conventional state space equation model,the proposed method can improve the extrapolation accuracy and efficiency by 78%and 60%,respectively,which demonstrates the applied potential of this method in aerodynamic modeling.

Design and Verification for Dual⁃mode CDFS and High⁃Load Compressor with a Large Flow Regulation Range

This paper presents the design and verification of the dual-mode core driven fan stage(CDFS)and high-load compressor with a large flow regulation range.In view of the characteristics of large flow regulation range of the two modes and high average stage load coefficient,this paper investigates the design technology of the dual-mode high-efficiency compressor with a large flow regulation range and high-load compressor with an average stage load coefficient of 0.504.Building upon this research,the design of the dual-mode CDFS and four-stage compressor is completed,and three-dimensional numerical simulation of the two modes is carried out.Finally,performance experiment is conducted to verify the result of three-dimensional numerical simulation.The experiment results show that the compressor performance is improved for the whole working conditions by using the new design method,which realizes the complete fusion design of the CDFS and high-pressure compressor(HPC).The matching mechanism of stage characteristics of single and double bypass modes and the variation rule of different adjustment angles on performance are studied comprehensively.Furthermore,it effectively reduces the length and weight of compressor,and breaks through the key technologies such as high-load compressor with the average load factor of 0.504.These findings provide valuable data and a methodological foundation for the development of the next generation aeroengine.

Modified Malkmus band model for clear-sky atmospheric transmittance calculation

The Malkmus band model has been widely used in remote sensing and climate studies. However, its accuracy is not high. To solve this problem, a modified Malkmus band model was proposed by introducing a correction item. The HITRAN (High-resolution TRANsmission) 2008 database and the atmospheric models provided by the Air Force Geophysics Laboratory (AFGL) were used to calculate the molecular transmittances. By fitting the calculated transmittances to those by MODTRAN (MODerate resolution atmospheric TRANsmission) package with the least-squares method, the fitting coefficients of the correction item were obtained under different atmosphere models. The experimental results show that the root mean square errors (RMSE) of the modified model are significantly less than that of the traditional Malkmus band model by 1-2 orders of magnitude. In addition, the modified method is suitable for different atmospheric models and molecules.

Smoke distribution in naturally ventilated urban transportation tunnels with multiple shafts

The smoke spreading law of urban transportation tunnels with multiple shafts under natural ventilation is studied.A full-scale burning experiment is conducted in an actual tunnel.The study shows that smoke temperatures below the tunnel ceiling reduce rapidly along the longitudinal towards the tunnel exits. A noticeable temperature stratification is observed near the fire source.Most fire smoke is exhausted out of the shafts while the number of the smoke shafts in the downstream is more than that in the upstream.Large eddy simulation LES based on computational fluid dynamics CFD is carried out using the fire dynamics simulator FDS software with parallel processing in which the grid size of the fire-domain is set to be 0.083 m.The simulation results of temperatures under the ceiling the smoke fronts and the shafts＇smoke exhaust or air supply agree reasonably with the experimental data. Further simulations indicate that the decreasing ambient temperature or shaft spacing might reduce smoke temperatures under the tunnel ceiling and increase mass flow rates out of the shafts.This study provides technical scientific evidence and supports for the design and construction of such kinds of tunnels.

An Optimal Algorithm for the Retrieval of Chlorophyll,Suspended Sediments and Gelbstoff of Case Ⅱ Waters in the Pearl River Estuary

An optimal algorithm for the retrieval of chlorophyll, suspended sediments and gelbstoff of case Ⅱ waters in the Pearl River estuary was established with the optical parameters derived from the in-situ data obtained in Jan. 2003 in the same area. And then, the chlorophyll, suspended sediments and gelbstoff of the SeaWiFS pixels on Jan. 29, 2003 corresponding to the in-situ sites of Jan. 25 and 26, 2003 were synchronously retrieved, with average relative errors of 14.9%, 12.1% and 13.6% for chlorophyll, suspended sediments and gelbstoff, respectively. The research results indicated that the optimal retrieval algorithm established here was relatively fit for the retrieval of the chlorophyll, suspended sediments and gelbstoff of case Ⅱ waters in the Pearl River estuary, and had quite good retrieval accuracy.

A Smog Chamber Facility for Qualitative and Quantitative Study on Atmospheric Chemistry and Secondary Organic Aerosol

In order to investigate the atmospheric oxidation processes and the formation of secondary organic aerosol （SOA）, an indoor environmental reaction smog chamber are constructed and characterized. The system consists of the collapsible ～830 L FEP Teflon film main reactor, in which the atmospheric chemical reactions take place and the formation of SOA occurs under the simulated atmospheric conditions, and the diverse on-line gas- and particle-phase instrumentation, such as the proton transfer reaction mass spectrometer, the synchrotron radiation photoionization mass spectrometer, the aerosol laser time-of-flight mass spectrometer, and other traditional commercial instruments. The initial characterization experiments are described, concerning the temperature and ultraviolet light intensity, the reactivity of the pure air, the wall loss rates of gaseous compounds and particulate matter. And the initial evaluation experiments for SOA yields from the ozonolysis of α-pinene and for mass spectra of the products resulting from the photooxidation of OH initiated isoprene are also presented, which indicate the applicability of this facility on the studies of gas-phase chemical mechanisms as well as the formation of SOA expected in the atmosphere.

Computational Performance of the High-Resolution Atmospheric Model FAMIL

This paper describes the model speed and model In/Out （I/O） efficiency of the high-resolution atmospheric general circulation model FAMIL （Finite- volume Atmospheric Model of IAP/LASG） at the National Supercomputer Center in Tianjin, China, on its Tianhe-lA supercomputer platform. A series of three- model-day simulations were carried out with standard Aqua Planet Experiment （APE） designed within FAMIL to obtain the time stamp for the calculation of model speed, simulation cost, and model 1/O efficiency. The results of the simulation demonstrate that FAMIL has remarkable scalability below 3456 and 6144 cores, and the lowest simulation costs are 1536 and 3456 cores for 12.5 km and 6.25 krn resolutions, respectively. Furthermore, FAMIL has excellent I/O scalability and an efficiency of more than 80% on 6 I/Os and more than 99% on 1536 I/Os.

Evaluation of Surface Air Temperature Change over China and the Globe during the Twentieth Century in IAP AGCM4.0

Based on time series and linear trend analysis, the authors evaluated the performance of the fourth gen- eration atmospheric general circulation model developed at the Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences （IAP AGCM4.0）, in simulating surface air temperature （SAT） during the twentieth century over China and the globe. The numerical experiment is con- ducted by driving the model with the observed sea surface temperature and sea ice. It is shown that IAP AGCM4.0 can simulate the warming trend of the global SAT, with the major wanning regions in the high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere and the mid-latitudes of the South- ern Hemisphere. While the simulated trend over the whole globe is close to the observation, the model trader- estimates the observed trend over the continents. More- over, the model simulates the spatial distribution of SAT in China, with a bias of approximately -2℃ in eastern China, but with a more serious bias in western China. Compared with the global mean, however, the correlation coefficient between the simulation and observation in China is significantly lower, indicating that there is large uncertainty in simulating regional climate change.

Statistically Downscaled Summer Rainfall over the Middle-Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River

The summer rainfall over the middle-lower reaches of the Yangtze River valley (YRSR) has been estimated with a multi-linear regression model using principal atmospheric modes derived from a 500 hPa geopotential height and a 700 hPa zonal vapor flux over the domain of East Asia and the West Pacific.The model was developed using data from 1958 92 and validated with an independent prediction from 1993 2008.The independent prediction was efficient in predicting the YRSR with a correlation coefficient of 0.72 and a relative root mean square error of 18%.The downscaling model was applied to two general circulation models (GCMs) of Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System Model (FGOALS) and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory coupled climate model version 2.1 (GFDL-CM2.1) to project rainfall for present and future climate under B1 and A1B emission scenarios.The downscaled results pro-vided a closer representation of the observation compared to the raw models in the present climate.In addition,compared to the inconsistent prediction directly from dif-ferent GCMs,the downscaled results provided a consistent projection for this half-century,which indicated a clear increase in the YRSR.Under the B1 emission scenario,the rainfall could increase by an average of 11.9% until 2011 25 and 17.2% until 2036 50 from the current state;under the A1B emission scenario,rainfall could increase by an average of 15.5% until 2011 25 and 25.3% until 2036 50 from the current state.Moreover,the increased rate was faster in the following decade (2011 25) than the latter of this half-century (2036 50) under both emissions.

Spatial and seasonal patterns of atmospheric nitrogen deposition in North China

As one of the regions with intensive agriculture and rapid economic development in China,North China also has a high nitrogen(N)deposition.This study characterized the spatial pattern of N deposition in North China,combining the tropospheric columns from satellite measurements and the simulated profiles from an atmospheric chemistry transport model.The total N deposition fluxes ranged from 16.3 to 106.5 kg N ha−1 yr−1,with an average of 54.5±17.2 kg N ha−1 yr−1.The high values were concentrated in urban and farmland areas,while low values were found in forests and grasslands with less human activities.Of the total N deposition,36%was deposited via precipitation,12%was deposited through dry particulate deposition,and the remaining 52%was comprised of dry gaseous deposition.For the seasonal variation of dry deposition,gaseous HNO3 and particulate NO3−were higher in winter and autumn,but lower in spring and summer.In contrast,gaseous NH3 and particulate NH4+were higher in spring and summer,but lower in winter and autumn.This is possibly caused by the seasonal differences in emission intensity between NOx and NH3 emission sources.The gaseous NO2 deposition did not show strong seasonal variation.The wet deposition was mainly affected by precipitation,with high values in summer and low values in winter.This research provides an objective spatial perspective and insight into the total N deposition in North China.

Numerical Simulation of CO_2 Concentrations in East Asia with RAMS-CMAQ

The regional air quality modeling system RAMS-CMAQ(Regional Atmospheric Modeling System and Models-3 Community Multi-scale Air Quality) was developed by incorporating a vegetation photosynthesis and respiration module(VPRM) and used to simulate temporal-spatial variations in atmospheric CO2 concentrations in East Asia,with prescribed surface CO2 fluxes(i.e.,fossil fuel emission,biomass burning,sea-air CO2 exchange,and terrestrial biosphere CO2 flux).Comparison of modeled CO2 mixing ratios with eight ground-based in-situ measurements demonstrated that the model was able to capture most observed CO2 temporal-spatial features.Simulated CO2 concentrations were generally in good agreement with observed concentrations.Results indicated that the accumulated impacts of anthropogenic emissions contributed more to increased CO2 concentrations in urban regions relative to remote locations.Moreover,RAMS-CMAQ analysis demonstrates that surface CO2 concentrations in East Asia are strongly influenced by terrestrial ecosystems.

A spectral mixture model analysis of the Kuroshio variability and the water exchange between the Kuroshio and the East China Sea

For understanding more about the water exchange between the Kuroshio and the East China Sea,We studied the variability of the Kuroshio in the East China Sea(ECS) in the period of 1991 to 2008 using a three-dimensional circulation model,and calculated Kuroshio onshore volume transport in the ECS at the minimum of 0.48 Sv(1 Sv ;106 m3/s) in summer and the maximum of 1.69 Sv in winter.Based on the data of WOA05 and NCEP,The modeled result indicates that the Kuroshio transport east of Taiwan Island decreased since 2000.Lateral movements tended to be stronger at two ends of the Kuroshio in the ECS than that of the middle segment.In addition,we applied a spectral mixture model(SMM) to determine the exchange zone between the Kuroshio and the shelf water of the ECS.The result reveals a significantly negative correlation(coefficient of-0.78) between the area of exchange zone and the Kuroshio onshore transport at 200 m isobath in the ECS.This conclusion brings a new view for the water exchange between the Kuroshio and the East China Sea.Additional to annual and semi-annual signals,intra-seasonal signal of probably the Pacific origin may trigger the events of Kuroshio intrusion and exchange in the ECS.

Simulated seasonal variations in nitrogen wet deposition over East Asia

The regional air quality modeling system Regional Atmospheric Modeling System–Community Multiscale Air Quality was applied to estimate the spatial distribution and seasonal variation in nitrogen wet deposition over East Asia in 2010. The simulated results were evaluated by comparing modeled precipitation rates and ion concentrations, such as ammonium（NH_4~＋）, nitrate（NO_3^-）, and sulfate, in rainwater, against observations obtained from Acid Deposition Monitoring Network in East Asia and meteorological stations in China. Comparison of simulated and observed precipitation showed that the modeling system can reproduce seasonal precipitation patterns reasonably well. For major ion species, the simulated results in most cases were in good agreement with those observed. Analysis of the modeled wet deposition distributions indicated that China experiences noticeable variation in wet deposition patterns throughout the year. Nitrogen wet deposition（NH_4~＋ ＋ NO_3^-） during summer and spring accounted for 71% of the annual total（3.9 Tg N yr^（-1））, including 42.7% in summer. Precipitation plays a larger role in the seasonal variation of wet deposition; whereas, aerosol concentrations affect its distribution patterns. In China, the amount of annual nitrogen wet deposition ranged from 1 to 18 kg N ha^（-1）. Nitrogen in wet deposition was mainly in the form of NH_4~＋, accounting for 65.76% of the total amount, and the molar ratio of NH_4~＋∕NO_3^- was mostly more than 1, indicating a relatively larger effect from agricultural activities.

THE IMPACT OF INITIAL FORCED WIND ON THE PREDICTABILITY OF THE ZEBIAK-CANE COUPLED OCEAN-ATMOSPHERE MODEL

With simultaneous observed sea surface temperature anomaly （SSTA）, the difference between NCEP/NCAR 925hPa reanalysis wind stress anomaly （NCEPWSA） and FSU wind stress anomaly （FSUWSA） is analyzed, and the prediction abilities of Zebiak-Cane coupled ocean-atmosphere model （ZC coupled model） with NCEPWSA and FSUWSA serving respectively as initialization wind are compared. The results are as follows. The distribution feature of NCEPWSA matches better with that of the observed SSTA than counterpart of FSUWSA both in 1980s and in 1990s; The ZC ocean model has a better skill under the forcing of NCEPWSA than that of FSUWSA, especially in 1990s. Meanwhile, the forecast abilities of the ZC coupled model in 1990s as well as in 1980s have been improved employing NCEPWSA as initialization wind instead of FSUWSA. Particularly, it succeeded in predicting 1997/1998 E1 Nino 6 to 8 months ahead, further analysis shows that on the antecedent and onset stages of the 1997/1998 E1 Nino event, the horizontal cold and warm distribution characteristics of the simulated SSTA from ZC ocean model, with NCEPWSA forcing compared to FSUWSA forcing, match better with counterparts of the corresponding observed SSTA, whereby providing better predication initialization conditions for ZC coupled model, which, in turn, is favorable to improve the forecast ability of the coupled model.