为了深入认识同时段内发生的两场森林火灾蔓延特征以及大气、地形等对不同林火行为的影响,进而为多起林火扑灭火工作提供科学支撑,选取2022年8月17日发生在涪陵两场森林火灾,利用高分辨率地理信息、植被数据和气象数据对两场林火行为进...为了深入认识同时段内发生的两场森林火灾蔓延特征以及大气、地形等对不同林火行为的影响,进而为多起林火扑灭火工作提供科学支撑,选取2022年8月17日发生在涪陵两场森林火灾,利用高分辨率地理信息、植被数据和气象数据对两场林火行为进行分析研究,同时运用林火大气耦合WRF-Fire(Weather Research and Forecasting Model with Fire Module)模式进行数值模拟。研究发现:①受深厚高压控制,两场林火是在持续高温、干燥背景下发生的,气象干旱等级达到重旱,火险气象等级高。②模式模拟风向风速变化与实况较为一致,基本体现出火场风向和风速突变,表明WRF-Fire模式可以较准确地再现火场蔓延情况。③基于林火蔓延特征时间和空间变化可将大梁山林火发展分为6个阶段、北山坪林火分为4个阶段,造成直线距离相隔4.4 km两个火场蔓延发展程度不同的原因在于地形差异造成的局地风场差异。展开更多
<正>北半球冬季气候变化的太阳强迫--Solar forcing of winter climatevariability in the Northern Hemisphere.Nature Geoscience,2011,Vol.4,No.11.太阳辐射变化对地表气候具有重要影响。观测表明,如果冬季太阳活动较弱,西风...<正>北半球冬季气候变化的太阳强迫--Solar forcing of winter climatevariability in the Northern Hemisphere.Nature Geoscience,2011,Vol.4,No.11.太阳辐射变化对地表气候具有重要影响。观测表明,如果冬季太阳活动较弱,西风也有所减弱。展开更多
本文尝试用一个完全耦合的大气-海洋-植被模式(Atmosphere-Ocean-Vegetation General Circulation Model,AOVGCM)模拟全新世初期的地球气候.模拟结果表明,耦合模式成功地再现了全新世初期复杂气候条件下的基本特征,为研究这一时期的气...本文尝试用一个完全耦合的大气-海洋-植被模式(Atmosphere-Ocean-Vegetation General Circulation Model,AOVGCM)模拟全新世初期的地球气候.模拟结果表明,耦合模式成功地再现了全新世初期复杂气候条件下的基本特征,为研究这一时期的气候状况提供了重要的模型支持.就全球平均而言,11ka BP冬季地表气温比现代约低1.6 K,夏季比现代低约0.3 K;大气温度从低层到高层有不同的表现,高层反映了太阳辐射的重要作用,而低层气候对下垫面(如冰川、植被和海洋等)的影响比较敏感.从区域分布来看,11 ka BP冬季大部地区比现在偏干,但热带太平洋和南半球少部地区降水偏多;夏季大部地区比现在偏湿,亚洲和非洲季风偏强,主要的季风区降水偏多.展开更多
Diagnostic studies have been done of the seasonal and interdecadal variations of the coupling patterns for the air-sea interactions in the northern Pacific region, by using 500-hPa geopotential height field of the Nor...Diagnostic studies have been done of the seasonal and interdecadal variations of the coupling patterns for the air-sea interactions in the northern Pacific region, by using 500-hPa geopotential height field of the Northern Hemisphere and monthly mean SST field of northern Pacific Ocean (1951 ~ 1995) and with the aid of the Singular Value Decomposition (SVD) technique. The results show that: (1) The distribution patterns of SVD, which link with the El Ni駉 (or La Ni馻) events, are important in the interaction between the atmosphere and ocean while the atmosphere, coupling with it, varies like the PNA teleconnection does. The coupling of air-sea interactions is the highest in the winter (January), specifically linking the El Ni駉 event with the PNA pattern in the geopotential height field. Of the four seasons, summer has the poorest coupling when the 500-hPa geopotential height field corresponding to the La Ni馻 event displays patterns similar to the East Asian-Pacific one (PJ). The spring and autumn are both transitional and the coupling is less tight in the autumn than in the spring. (2) Significant changes have taken place around 1976 in the pattern of air-sea coupling, with the year抯 winter having intensified PNA pattern of 500-hPa winter geopotential height field, deepened Aleutian low that moves southeast and the summer following it having outstanding PJ pattern of 500-hPa geopotential height field, which is not so before 1976.展开更多
文摘为了深入认识同时段内发生的两场森林火灾蔓延特征以及大气、地形等对不同林火行为的影响,进而为多起林火扑灭火工作提供科学支撑,选取2022年8月17日发生在涪陵两场森林火灾,利用高分辨率地理信息、植被数据和气象数据对两场林火行为进行分析研究,同时运用林火大气耦合WRF-Fire(Weather Research and Forecasting Model with Fire Module)模式进行数值模拟。研究发现:①受深厚高压控制,两场林火是在持续高温、干燥背景下发生的,气象干旱等级达到重旱,火险气象等级高。②模式模拟风向风速变化与实况较为一致,基本体现出火场风向和风速突变,表明WRF-Fire模式可以较准确地再现火场蔓延情况。③基于林火蔓延特征时间和空间变化可将大梁山林火发展分为6个阶段、北山坪林火分为4个阶段,造成直线距离相隔4.4 km两个火场蔓延发展程度不同的原因在于地形差异造成的局地风场差异。
文摘<正>北半球冬季气候变化的太阳强迫--Solar forcing of winter climatevariability in the Northern Hemisphere.Nature Geoscience,2011,Vol.4,No.11.太阳辐射变化对地表气候具有重要影响。观测表明,如果冬季太阳活动较弱,西风也有所减弱。
基金中国气象局气候变化专项基金(CCSF-2005-2-QH14)教育部留学回国人员科研启动基金+1 种基金科技部"十五"国际科技合作计划(2005DFA20940)德国Max-Plank Institute for Biogeochemistry博士后研究基金资助
文摘本文尝试用一个完全耦合的大气-海洋-植被模式(Atmosphere-Ocean-Vegetation General Circulation Model,AOVGCM)模拟全新世初期的地球气候.模拟结果表明,耦合模式成功地再现了全新世初期复杂气候条件下的基本特征,为研究这一时期的气候状况提供了重要的模型支持.就全球平均而言,11ka BP冬季地表气温比现代约低1.6 K,夏季比现代低约0.3 K;大气温度从低层到高层有不同的表现,高层反映了太阳辐射的重要作用,而低层气候对下垫面(如冰川、植被和海洋等)的影响比较敏感.从区域分布来看,11 ka BP冬季大部地区比现在偏干,但热带太平洋和南半球少部地区降水偏多;夏季大部地区比现在偏湿,亚洲和非洲季风偏强,主要的季风区降水偏多.
基金Research on the formation mechanism and prediction theories of major climatic calamities in China a first initiated project in the Development Plan for National Key Fundamental Research Natural Science Foundation of China (49575261) Natural Science Fo
文摘Diagnostic studies have been done of the seasonal and interdecadal variations of the coupling patterns for the air-sea interactions in the northern Pacific region, by using 500-hPa geopotential height field of the Northern Hemisphere and monthly mean SST field of northern Pacific Ocean (1951 ~ 1995) and with the aid of the Singular Value Decomposition (SVD) technique. The results show that: (1) The distribution patterns of SVD, which link with the El Ni駉 (or La Ni馻) events, are important in the interaction between the atmosphere and ocean while the atmosphere, coupling with it, varies like the PNA teleconnection does. The coupling of air-sea interactions is the highest in the winter (January), specifically linking the El Ni駉 event with the PNA pattern in the geopotential height field. Of the four seasons, summer has the poorest coupling when the 500-hPa geopotential height field corresponding to the La Ni馻 event displays patterns similar to the East Asian-Pacific one (PJ). The spring and autumn are both transitional and the coupling is less tight in the autumn than in the spring. (2) Significant changes have taken place around 1976 in the pattern of air-sea coupling, with the year抯 winter having intensified PNA pattern of 500-hPa winter geopotential height field, deepened Aleutian low that moves southeast and the summer following it having outstanding PJ pattern of 500-hPa geopotential height field, which is not so before 1976.
