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太湖流域典型区50年代以来极值水位时空变化 被引量:24
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作者 尹义星 许有鹏 陈莹 《地理研究》 CSCD 北大核心 2011年第6期1077-1088,共12页
以武澄锡虞区和阳澄淀泖区为代表,研究太湖流域典型区河网极值水位的时空变化。采用改进的MK检验和均一性检验方法检测最高和最低水位的趋势,并识别突变点;应用克里金插值技术、半变异函数方法,探讨水位变化的空间特征。研究认为:时间... 以武澄锡虞区和阳澄淀泖区为代表,研究太湖流域典型区河网极值水位的时空变化。采用改进的MK检验和均一性检验方法检测最高和最低水位的趋势,并识别突变点;应用克里金插值技术、半变异函数方法,探讨水位变化的空间特征。研究认为:时间变化上,1950年代以来研究区各站点极值水位存在一致的上升趋势,且以最低水位上升更为显著;最高、最低水位在1980年代左右普遍性地经历一次突变。另外,历年最高水位的年际变异大于最低水位。空间变化上,突变后最高与最低水位增幅较大的站点位于阳澄淀泖区,最高与最低水位变差系数的等值线梯度均增大,即空间变异加大;半变异函数分析结果表明,突变后极值水位的空间自相关性减弱,这与流域高强度的人类活动干扰有关。分析认为,研究区河网极值水位与历年降水的变化之间存在差异,而人类活动影响在水位变化过程中发挥着越来越重要的作用。 展开更多
关键词 极值水位 时空变化 太湖流域典型区 降水 人类活动
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Relationship Between Changes of River-lake Networks and Water Levels in Typical Regions of Taihu Lake Basin,China 被引量:6
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作者 YIN Yixing XU Youpeng CHEN Ying 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2012年第6期673-682,共10页
The typical regions of the Taihu Lake Basin,China,were selected to analyze the variation characteristics of river-lake networks under intensive human activities.The characteristics of the fractal dimension of river ne... The typical regions of the Taihu Lake Basin,China,were selected to analyze the variation characteristics of river-lake networks under intensive human activities.The characteristics of the fractal dimension of river networks and lakes for different periods were investigated and the influences of river system evolution on water level changes were further explored through the comparison of their fractal characters.The results are as follows:1) River network development of the study area is becoming more monotonous and more simple;the number of lakes is reducing significantly,and the water surface ratio has dropped significantly since the 1980s.2) The box dimension of the river networks in all the cities of the study area decreased slowly from the 1960s to the 1980s,while the decrease was significant from the 1980s to the 2000s.The variations of lake correlation dimension are similar to those of the river network box dimensions.This is unfavorable for the storage capacity of the river networks and lakes.3) The Hurst exponents of water levels were all between 0.5 and 1.0 from the 1960s to the 1980s,while decreased in the 2000s,indicating the decline in persistence and increase in the complexity of water level series.The paper draws a conclusion that the relationship between the fractal dimension of river-lake networks and the Hurst exponents of the water level series can reveal the impacts of river system changes on flood disasters to some extent:the disappearance of river networks and lakes will increase the possibility of flood occurrence. 展开更多
关键词 river network LAKE water level changes FRACTAL Taihu Lake Basin
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