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基于网络集成的太阳全辐射超短期混合预测方法 被引量:2
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作者 过奕任 张梦叶 +2 位作者 朱婷婷 王聪 倪超 《工业控制计算机》 2020年第9期35-36,39,共3页
针对引起光伏发电量波动和突变的太阳全辐射,提出了一种基于网络集成的太阳全辐射超短期混合预测模型。首先,根据太阳全辐射在不同天气情况下的变化特性,构建混合模型的初级子模型,分别为针对变化平缓的多元线性回归模型和针对剧烈变化... 针对引起光伏发电量波动和突变的太阳全辐射,提出了一种基于网络集成的太阳全辐射超短期混合预测模型。首先,根据太阳全辐射在不同天气情况下的变化特性,构建混合模型的初级子模型,分别为针对变化平缓的多元线性回归模型和针对剧烈变化的非线性支持向量回归模型和神经网络模型;然后,设计一个含有两个隐层的四层感知器模型,融合三个初级子模型的预测结果,实现对未来15分钟太阳全辐射量的预测。采用网上公开数据库数据测试提出的混合预测模型性能,实验结果为所提出的混合模型预测值和真实测量值的相关系数高达0.945、预测平均误差约为0.9Wm-2,表明该混合模型的有效性。 展开更多
关键词 太阳全辐射 超短期预测 混合模型
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FNP-2型太阳净全辐射表的安装维护及常见故障处理 被引量:1
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作者 董海英 刘桂英 乔玉新 《气象水文海洋仪器》 2015年第2期107-109,共3页
净全辐射量是研究地球热量收支状况的重要参数,因此净辐射表的安装使用和日常维护就尤为重要。为了确保净辐射表的可靠运行和观测数据的准确性,文章在介绍了NP-2型太阳净全辐射表的工作原理和技术参数的基础上,详细阐述了其日常维护方... 净全辐射量是研究地球热量收支状况的重要参数,因此净辐射表的安装使用和日常维护就尤为重要。为了确保净辐射表的可靠运行和观测数据的准确性,文章在介绍了NP-2型太阳净全辐射表的工作原理和技术参数的基础上,详细阐述了其日常维护方法和技巧,对其常见故障进行了归纳总结,并给出了相应的处理方法。 展开更多
关键词 FNP-2型太阳辐射 安装维护 故障处理
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Evaluation of multiple surface irradiance-based clear sky detection methods at Xianghe—A heavy polluted site on the North China Plain 被引量:1
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作者 Mengqi Liu Jinqiang Zhang Xiangao Xia 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 CSCD 2021年第2期7-12,共6页
Surface irradiance measurements with high temporal resolution can be used to detect clear skies,which is a critical step for further study,such as aerosol and cloud radiative effects.Twenty-one clear-sky detection(CSD... Surface irradiance measurements with high temporal resolution can be used to detect clear skies,which is a critical step for further study,such as aerosol and cloud radiative effects.Twenty-one clear-sky detection(CSD)methods are assessed based on five years of 1-min surface irradiance data at Xianghe—a heavily polluted station on the North China Plain.Total-sky imager(TSI)discrimination results corrected by manual checks are used as the benchmark for the evaluation.The performance heavily relies on the criteria adopted by the CSD methods.Those with higher cloudy-sky detection accuracy rates produce lower clear-sky accuracy rates,and vice versa.A general tendency in common among all CSD methods is the detection accuracy deteriorates when aerosol loading increases.Nearly all criteria adopted in CSD methods are too strict to detect clear skies under polluted conditions,which is more severe if clear-sky irradiance is not properly estimated.The mean true positive rate(CSD method correctly detects clear sky)decreases from 45%for aerosol optical depth(AOD)≤0.2%to 6%for AOD>0.5.The results clearly indicate that CSD methods in a highly polluted region still need further improvements. 展开更多
关键词 Clear-sky detection methods Surface irradiance POLLUTION Total-sky imager
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Advances in the Study of Black Carbon Effects on Climate 被引量:1
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作者 Hua Zhang Zhili Wang 《Advances in Climate Change Research》 SCIE 2011年第1期23-30,共8页
Black carbon (BC) aerosols can strongly absorb solar radiation in very broad spectral wavebands, from the visible to the infrared. As a potential factor contributing to global warming, BC aerosols not only directly ... Black carbon (BC) aerosols can strongly absorb solar radiation in very broad spectral wavebands, from the visible to the infrared. As a potential factor contributing to global warming, BC aerosols not only directly change the radiation balance of the earth-atmosphere system, but also indirectly affect global or regional climate by acting as cloud conden- sation nuclei or ice nuclei to alter cloud mierophysical properties. Here, recent progresses in the studies of radiative forcing due to BC and its climate effects are reviewed. The uncertainties in current researches are discussed and some suggestions are provided for future investigations. 展开更多
关键词 black carbon radiative forcing climate effects
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