Recent SST and atmospheric circulation anomaly data suggest that the 2015/16 El Nino event is quickly decaying. Some researchers have predicted a forthcoming La Nina event in late summer or early fall 2016. From the p...Recent SST and atmospheric circulation anomaly data suggest that the 2015/16 El Nino event is quickly decaying. Some researchers have predicted a forthcoming La Nina event in late summer or early fall 2016. From the perspective of the modulation of tropical SST by solar activity, the authors studied the evolution of the 2015/16 El Nino event, which occurred right after the 2014 solar peak year. Based on statistical and composite analysis, a significant positive correlation was found between sunspot number index and El Ni^o Modoki index, with a lag of two years. A clear evolution of El Nino Modoki events was found within 1-3 years following each solar peak year during the past 126 years, suggesting that anomalously strong solar activity during solar peak periods favors the triggering of an El Nino Modoki event. The patterns of seasonal mean SST and wind anomalies since 2014 are more like a mixture of two types of El Nino （i.e. eastern Pacific El Nino and El Nino Modoki）, which is similar to the pattern modulated by solar activity during the years following a solar peak. Therefore, the El Nino Modoki component in the 2015/16 El Nino event may be a consequence of solar activity, which probably will not decay as quickly as the eastern Pacific El Nino component. The positive SST anomaly will probably sustain in the central equatorial Pacific （around the dateline） and the northeastern Pacific along the coast of North America, with a low-intensity level, during the second half of 2016.展开更多
The present study investigates the interdecadal variability of seasonal mean surface solar radiation over Northwest China using station observations from 1961-2003. Spring and summer surface solar radiation over North...The present study investigates the interdecadal variability of seasonal mean surface solar radiation over Northwest China using station observations from 1961-2003. Spring and summer surface solar radiation over Northwest China was lower in the late 1970s through 1990s than in the 1960s through the mid-1970s, and fall and winter surface solar radiation displayed similar patterns. These results indicate that the decrease in spring and summer surface solar radiation may be associated with increased low-cloud cover over Northwest China. Rainfall anomalies were closely related to the low-cloud cover over Northwest China and with the Northern Hemisphere circumglobal teleconnection in spring, summer, and winter.展开更多
Following disastrous flooding in several river valleys over eastern China in 1755, serious flooding occurred in the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River in 1756 and 1757, a rarely seen precipitation pattern of...Following disastrous flooding in several river valleys over eastern China in 1755, serious flooding occurred in the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River in 1756 and 1757, a rarely seen precipitation pattern of north-flood and south-drought in China for two successive years. This is a serious meteorological disaster and extreme climatic event taking place under the climatic background of a warm phase of the Little Ice Age. In this paper, by means of historical literature records, the rainy and flooding situation and the weather characteristics of these years are reconstructed and the maps depicting areas of prolonged rain, flood and concomitant famine, insect pest, and pestilence are made. The results show that, in 1755, the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River and the Yangtze River, and the Huaihe River Basin experienced a prolonged rainy season with multiple torrential rain events. The continuous rainy period exceeded 40 days in the Huang-Huai Region. An early Meiyu occurred, and the duration of the Meiyu period in the lower Yangtze River Basin was 43 days, the longest in the 18th century. Particularly in Nanjing the annual rainfall of 1755 was 1,378 mm, the highest record of the 18th century. The year of 1755 is characterized by lower temperature in summer, early frost in autumn, and heavy snowfall and freezing rain in winter. These characteristics are extremely similar to those of 1823 and 1954, two typical years of extreme rainfall. And all these three years with extreme precipitation axe corresponding to the minimum phase of the solar activity cycle.展开更多
This paper presents a software for simulating the thermal performance of solar water heating systems. The implemented model computes the energy balance in the hot water storage tank in each time step along a simulatio...This paper presents a software for simulating the thermal performance of solar water heating systems. The implemented model computes the energy balance in the hot water storage tank in each time step along a simulation interval. Its input data are values from a typical meteorological year of a chosen location and the hot water load. The system components are the hot water storage tank and the solar collector. Firstly, the validation of the model is presented and then four solar water heating systems are simulated in four different cities along one year. The storage tank water hourly temperatures were obtained for a typical meteorological year and those values were compared with the values obtained by the widespread TRNSYS simulation software. The results obtained from this comparison were satisfactory.展开更多
In our trials, from 2007 to 2008, of mass production of seedlings of Hizikiafusiformis using synchronization techniques, problems of a ＂dark thalli＂ phenomenon and epiphytes contamination severely threatened the hea...In our trials, from 2007 to 2008, of mass production of seedlings of Hizikiafusiformis using synchronization techniques, problems of a ＂dark thalli＂ phenomenon and epiphytes contamination severely threatened the health of juvenile seedlings. In this investigation, we optimized conditions for improving the growth of juvenile seedlings. Seven string collectors were seeded with zygotes and a series of experiments were conducted including direct exposure to solar irradiance, co-culture with Ulva spp. and treatment with sodium hypochlorite. It was found that direct exposure to solar irradiance （maximum： 1 740 μmol photons/（m2.s）） for 2 h per day could efficiently enhance the growth of young seedlings and simultaneously inhibit the growth of epiphytic algae. In this treatment, 50-day old seedlings could reach an average of 0.44 cm in length and possess up to nine leaflets. However, a single treatment with 18-mmol/L sodium hypochlorite for 10 rain severely harmed 15-day old seedlings. In comparison, weekly treatment with 2.2-mmol/L sodium hypochlorite for 10 rain brought no apparent harm to seedlings and eliminated epiphytic algae efficiently. However, this treatment significantly increased the detachment rate of seedlings, Inoculating Ulva spp. onto the collector caused a dramatic decrease in the number of seedlings. However, the growth of the remaining seedlings appeared unhampered. All collectors except the control were daily sprayed with a high pressure water jet from the 84 day post fertilization. From the first day to 50th day, no ＂dark thallus＂ was observed on any of the seven collectors. We believe that well-timed daily exposure to solar irradiance would favor H. fusiformis in its early growing stages.展开更多
Based on the analysis of the satellite DCB data estimated by our method and the Center for Orbit Determination in Europe(CODE)from 1999 to 2011,the features of the temporal variation of differential code biases(DCB)ar...Based on the analysis of the satellite DCB data estimated by our method and the Center for Orbit Determination in Europe(CODE)from 1999 to 2011,the features of the temporal variation of differential code biases(DCB)are studied.Summarily,there are three types of variations in DCB on different time scales.The first one is the day-to-day variation that exhibits more obviously in solar maximum years.The second one is the variation with about one year periodic variation that behaves more obviously from 1999 to 2004.The last one is the monotonously descending tendency from 1999 to 2010.Considering the basic ionospheric approximation in DCB estimation method,the features of the variability of the ionospheric morphology from 1999to 2010 are also displayed based on the ionospheric characteristic parameters.It can be concluded that the day-to-day and annual variation of the estimated global positioning system(GPS).DCB is related to the ionospheric variability.The variation of DCBs on solar cycle time scale includes the real hardware DCBs and pseudo-DCBs induced by ionospheric variation.No doubt,these kinds of"pseudo"variations of DCB will affect the precision of ionospheric total electron content(TEC)derived from the GPS data.In addition,this study is helpful for evaluating the influence of ionospheric weather on TEC derivation and is also useful for developing one estimation method of DCB with more stability and precision through introducing a more practical ionospheric model.展开更多
Based on global solar radiation and related meteorological data from 57 stations in China between 1961 and 2009, we analyze the variation of surface global solar radiation (G) and its relationship to meteorological el...Based on global solar radiation and related meteorological data from 57 stations in China between 1961 and 2009, we analyze the variation of surface global solar radiation (G) and its relationship to meteorological elements using linear-trend estimation, wavelet analysis, and the Mann-Kendall test. The results show that of the 33 stations with time series longer than 45 years, G is significant at the 95% confidence level. G has a decreasing trend at many stations, but results vary across different areas. The decadal departure percentage of G increased from the 1960s to 1970s, declined gradually after the 1970s, and decreased significantly in the 1980s. In the 1990s, the trend at a few sites slightly increased. The trend of cumulative variance is of four types, i.e. rise-fall, rise-fall-slight rise, rise-fall-rise, and not obvious. For changes within a year, the most obvious decline was in winter, and the rest of the year had a slight decrease. The major cycles of annual G were 6-9, 10-13, and 29-33 a. The inflection points were mostly in the 1970s. The reasons for greater changes were complex. Relevant meteorological elements were selected and analyzed by statistical methods. Trends in climatic parameters, such as annual average percentage of sunshine, annual average wind speed, and annual average of low cloud cover, were closely related to G. Thus, this indicated the potential causes of the observed trends in G. The long-term trend for annual G in some regions was also influenced by anthro- pogenic activities. Annual average percentage of sunshine and annual average wind speed were positively correlated with annual G, respectively.展开更多
基金supported by the National Basic Research Program of china(973 Program)[grant number 2012c B957804]the External cooperation Program of BIc,chinese Academy of Sciences[grant number 134111KYSB20150016]
文摘Recent SST and atmospheric circulation anomaly data suggest that the 2015/16 El Nino event is quickly decaying. Some researchers have predicted a forthcoming La Nina event in late summer or early fall 2016. From the perspective of the modulation of tropical SST by solar activity, the authors studied the evolution of the 2015/16 El Nino event, which occurred right after the 2014 solar peak year. Based on statistical and composite analysis, a significant positive correlation was found between sunspot number index and El Ni^o Modoki index, with a lag of two years. A clear evolution of El Nino Modoki events was found within 1-3 years following each solar peak year during the past 126 years, suggesting that anomalously strong solar activity during solar peak periods favors the triggering of an El Nino Modoki event. The patterns of seasonal mean SST and wind anomalies since 2014 are more like a mixture of two types of El Nino （i.e. eastern Pacific El Nino and El Nino Modoki）, which is similar to the pattern modulated by solar activity during the years following a solar peak. Therefore, the El Nino Modoki component in the 2015/16 El Nino event may be a consequence of solar activity, which probably will not decay as quickly as the eastern Pacific El Nino component. The positive SST anomaly will probably sustain in the central equatorial Pacific （around the dateline） and the northeastern Pacific along the coast of North America, with a low-intensity level, during the second half of 2016.
基金supported by the Special Scientific Research Project for Public Interest(Grant No.GYHY201006021)the Knowledge Innovation Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(Grant No.KZCX2-EW-QN204)+1 种基金the National Basic Research Program of China(Grant No.2009CB421405)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.40905027 and 40730952)
文摘The present study investigates the interdecadal variability of seasonal mean surface solar radiation over Northwest China using station observations from 1961-2003. Spring and summer surface solar radiation over Northwest China was lower in the late 1970s through 1990s than in the 1960s through the mid-1970s, and fall and winter surface solar radiation displayed similar patterns. These results indicate that the decrease in spring and summer surface solar radiation may be associated with increased low-cloud cover over Northwest China. Rainfall anomalies were closely related to the low-cloud cover over Northwest China and with the Northern Hemisphere circumglobal teleconnection in spring, summer, and winter.
基金supported in part by the China Global Change Research Program(No.2010CB950103)the National Science and Technology Support Program of China(No.2007BAC29B01)
文摘Following disastrous flooding in several river valleys over eastern China in 1755, serious flooding occurred in the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River in 1756 and 1757, a rarely seen precipitation pattern of north-flood and south-drought in China for two successive years. This is a serious meteorological disaster and extreme climatic event taking place under the climatic background of a warm phase of the Little Ice Age. In this paper, by means of historical literature records, the rainy and flooding situation and the weather characteristics of these years are reconstructed and the maps depicting areas of prolonged rain, flood and concomitant famine, insect pest, and pestilence are made. The results show that, in 1755, the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River and the Yangtze River, and the Huaihe River Basin experienced a prolonged rainy season with multiple torrential rain events. The continuous rainy period exceeded 40 days in the Huang-Huai Region. An early Meiyu occurred, and the duration of the Meiyu period in the lower Yangtze River Basin was 43 days, the longest in the 18th century. Particularly in Nanjing the annual rainfall of 1755 was 1,378 mm, the highest record of the 18th century. The year of 1755 is characterized by lower temperature in summer, early frost in autumn, and heavy snowfall and freezing rain in winter. These characteristics are extremely similar to those of 1823 and 1954, two typical years of extreme rainfall. And all these three years with extreme precipitation axe corresponding to the minimum phase of the solar activity cycle.
文摘This paper presents a software for simulating the thermal performance of solar water heating systems. The implemented model computes the energy balance in the hot water storage tank in each time step along a simulation interval. Its input data are values from a typical meteorological year of a chosen location and the hot water load. The system components are the hot water storage tank and the solar collector. Firstly, the validation of the model is presented and then four solar water heating systems are simulated in four different cities along one year. The storage tank water hourly temperatures were obtained for a typical meteorological year and those values were compared with the values obtained by the widespread TRNSYS simulation software. The results obtained from this comparison were satisfactory.
基金Supported by the National High Technology Research and Development Program of China (863 Program) (Nos. 2006AA10A412 2006AA10A416)+1 种基金Main Program of National Science Infrastructure Platform, a project from the Ministry of Science and Technology of China (No. 2006DKA30470-017)a non-profit program from the Ministry of Agriculture of China (No. 200903030)
文摘In our trials, from 2007 to 2008, of mass production of seedlings of Hizikiafusiformis using synchronization techniques, problems of a ＂dark thalli＂ phenomenon and epiphytes contamination severely threatened the health of juvenile seedlings. In this investigation, we optimized conditions for improving the growth of juvenile seedlings. Seven string collectors were seeded with zygotes and a series of experiments were conducted including direct exposure to solar irradiance, co-culture with Ulva spp. and treatment with sodium hypochlorite. It was found that direct exposure to solar irradiance （maximum： 1 740 μmol photons/（m2.s）） for 2 h per day could efficiently enhance the growth of young seedlings and simultaneously inhibit the growth of epiphytic algae. In this treatment, 50-day old seedlings could reach an average of 0.44 cm in length and possess up to nine leaflets. However, a single treatment with 18-mmol/L sodium hypochlorite for 10 rain severely harmed 15-day old seedlings. In comparison, weekly treatment with 2.2-mmol/L sodium hypochlorite for 10 rain brought no apparent harm to seedlings and eliminated epiphytic algae efficiently. However, this treatment significantly increased the detachment rate of seedlings, Inoculating Ulva spp. onto the collector caused a dramatic decrease in the number of seedlings. However, the growth of the remaining seedlings appeared unhampered. All collectors except the control were daily sprayed with a high pressure water jet from the 84 day post fertilization. From the first day to 50th day, no ＂dark thallus＂ was observed on any of the seven collectors. We believe that well-timed daily exposure to solar irradiance would favor H. fusiformis in its early growing stages.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41274156 and 41174134)National Important Basic Research Project of China(Grant No.2011CB811405)
文摘Based on the analysis of the satellite DCB data estimated by our method and the Center for Orbit Determination in Europe(CODE)from 1999 to 2011,the features of the temporal variation of differential code biases(DCB)are studied.Summarily,there are three types of variations in DCB on different time scales.The first one is the day-to-day variation that exhibits more obviously in solar maximum years.The second one is the variation with about one year periodic variation that behaves more obviously from 1999 to 2004.The last one is the monotonously descending tendency from 1999 to 2010.Considering the basic ionospheric approximation in DCB estimation method,the features of the variability of the ionospheric morphology from 1999to 2010 are also displayed based on the ionospheric characteristic parameters.It can be concluded that the day-to-day and annual variation of the estimated global positioning system(GPS).DCB is related to the ionospheric variability.The variation of DCBs on solar cycle time scale includes the real hardware DCBs and pseudo-DCBs induced by ionospheric variation.No doubt,these kinds of"pseudo"variations of DCB will affect the precision of ionospheric total electron content(TEC)derived from the GPS data.In addition,this study is helpful for evaluating the influence of ionospheric weather on TEC derivation and is also useful for developing one estimation method of DCB with more stability and precision through introducing a more practical ionospheric model.
基金supported by the Special Scientific Research Fund of the Meteorological Public Welfare Profession of China (Grant No.GYHY201006036)the Knowledge Innovation Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No.IAP09303)the Major State Basic Research Development Program of China (Grant No.2010CB428401)
文摘Based on global solar radiation and related meteorological data from 57 stations in China between 1961 and 2009, we analyze the variation of surface global solar radiation (G) and its relationship to meteorological elements using linear-trend estimation, wavelet analysis, and the Mann-Kendall test. The results show that of the 33 stations with time series longer than 45 years, G is significant at the 95% confidence level. G has a decreasing trend at many stations, but results vary across different areas. The decadal departure percentage of G increased from the 1960s to 1970s, declined gradually after the 1970s, and decreased significantly in the 1980s. In the 1990s, the trend at a few sites slightly increased. The trend of cumulative variance is of four types, i.e. rise-fall, rise-fall-slight rise, rise-fall-rise, and not obvious. For changes within a year, the most obvious decline was in winter, and the rest of the year had a slight decrease. The major cycles of annual G were 6-9, 10-13, and 29-33 a. The inflection points were mostly in the 1970s. The reasons for greater changes were complex. Relevant meteorological elements were selected and analyzed by statistical methods. Trends in climatic parameters, such as annual average percentage of sunshine, annual average wind speed, and annual average of low cloud cover, were closely related to G. Thus, this indicated the potential causes of the observed trends in G. The long-term trend for annual G in some regions was also influenced by anthro- pogenic activities. Annual average percentage of sunshine and annual average wind speed were positively correlated with annual G, respectively.
