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软件失效时序数据的灰色拟合及多步预测算法 被引量:1
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作者 黄雄波 《智能计算机与应用》 2017年第6期9-13,16,共6页
对于软件系统的可靠性模型而言,其主要功能就是要求能准确地预测出后续的软件失效的发生时间,研究了软件失效时序数据的灰色拟合问题,并提出了相应的多步预测改进算法。首先,基于某一拟合精度的条件下,应用灰色理论的GM(1,1)模型为软件... 对于软件系统的可靠性模型而言,其主要功能就是要求能准确地预测出后续的软件失效的发生时间,研究了软件失效时序数据的灰色拟合问题,并提出了相应的多步预测改进算法。首先,基于某一拟合精度的条件下,应用灰色理论的GM(1,1)模型为软件失效时序数据建立相应的分段拟合模型;然后,以正交多项式函数估算出末段子序列的拟合残差,并用该估计值对末段子序列的灰色预测模型进行修正和补偿;最后,基于补偿后的组合预测模型对软件失效的发生时间进行多步预测。实验验证了算法的正确性和有效性。 展开更多
关键词 软件失效时序数据 灰色拟合 GM(1 1)模型 多步预测
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航空发动机附件机匣轴承失效故障复现试验 被引量:1
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作者 于庆杰 张大鹏 +2 位作者 刘新宇 刁庆 闫国斌 《航空发动机》 北大核心 2021年第S01期120-123,共4页
针对航空发动机在飞行时附件机匣的深沟球轴承发生铆钉断裂、沟道剥落2种失效故障,为了定位故障原因,开展了2套轴承外圈沟道预损伤及4套轴承铆钉断裂的轴承失效故障复现试验。结果表明:轴承故障失效时序为外圈沟道由于表面损伤先产生表... 针对航空发动机在飞行时附件机匣的深沟球轴承发生铆钉断裂、沟道剥落2种失效故障,为了定位故障原因,开展了2套轴承外圈沟道预损伤及4套轴承铆钉断裂的轴承失效故障复现试验。结果表明:轴承故障失效时序为外圈沟道由于表面损伤先产生表面疲劳剥落,然后引发铆钉断裂;结合轴承的原材料、设计、工艺、质量及其在机匣上安装使用情况等的复查结果与轴承拆卸试验结果,确定轴承拆卸工艺不当是产生外沟道表面损伤的主要原因。采用轴承内圈拆卸工艺后可有效避免拆卸过程中的轴承沟道损伤,从而预防此类故障的发生。 展开更多
关键词 附件机匣 轴承失效 故障复现 沟道剥落 铆钉断裂 失效时序 拆卸工艺 航空发动机
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Characteristics of acoustic emission temporal sequences during the failure of a concrete structure under loading
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作者 包太 LIU +1 位作者 Xinrong 《Journal of Chongqing University》 CAS 2002年第2期42-45,共4页
The characteristics of acoustic emission (AE) signals given off in the course of the failure of a concrete structure is explored based on the laboratory experiments with concrete specimens. It is observed that the fai... The characteristics of acoustic emission (AE) signals given off in the course of the failure of a concrete structure is explored based on the laboratory experiments with concrete specimens. It is observed that the failure of a concrete structure experiences three stages divided by two inflexion points on the AE event curve, which are sequentially no damage, damage initiation and propagation, and major failure stages. In the first stage, existing micro cracks and defects are compacted by loading, but no damage propagated, hence few AE signals are detected, and it appears that there exists a nearly linear relationship between the relative stress and relative strain. In the second stage, the AE event frequency increases, implying that micro cracks begin to emerge inside the concrete structure, which is consistent with the damage mechanics. When the load is over 80 % of that breaks the structure, i.e. the maximum load, there is a vertical jump on the AE event count curve, which suggests that the failure propagation speeds up. After the second inflexion point, the AE event density increases faster than before, and there is another jump just before breaking, which indicates a quick propagation stage. These findings are valuable for evaluating the damage situations, and for studying and monitoring the dynamic process of the failure behaviors of a concrete structure. 展开更多
关键词 acoustic emission CONCRETE temporal sequences
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