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中国经济周期波动特征变化与宏观经济稳定政策 被引量:15
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作者 贾俊雪 郭庆旺 《经济理论与经济管理》 CSSCI 北大核心 2008年第7期5-12,共8页
改革开放以来,尤其是20世纪90年代中期以来,我国经济周期波动特征发生了明显的变化,波动明显趋缓,非线性特征明显减弱,其原因可以归结为改革开放以来我国宏观经济稳定政策的出现以及财政和金融体制改革不断深化所带来的宏观经济稳定政... 改革开放以来,尤其是20世纪90年代中期以来,我国经济周期波动特征发生了明显的变化,波动明显趋缓,非线性特征明显减弱,其原因可以归结为改革开放以来我国宏观经济稳定政策的出现以及财政和金融体制改革不断深化所带来的宏观经济稳定政策的制度基础、作用机制和作用工具的逐步完善。为了更好地应对未来可能出现的经济波动,确保经济平稳快速增长,就需要继续深化经济体制改革,消除制约我国宏观经济稳定政策效能发挥的制度障碍,并尽快构建适合我国国情的宏观经济稳定政策的完整理论体系。 展开更多
关键词 经济周期 宏观经济稳定政策 经济体制改革
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Estimation of Money Demand Function of South Korea Considering Regime Switching
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作者 Byung Woo Kim 《Chinese Business Review》 2014年第12期740-756,共17页
The stability of money demand function is an important issue in macroeconomic policy implementation. Money demand of Korean economy was estimated. Cointegration test with time dummy variables results show that there i... The stability of money demand function is an important issue in macroeconomic policy implementation. Money demand of Korean economy was estimated. Cointegration test with time dummy variables results show that there is not only long-run equilibrium relationship between money demand and macroeconomic variables, but also structural breaks in this equilibrium relationships. Least squares, state-space, and Marcov switching methods show that there also has been instability (or regime shifts) of parameters in money demand, especially over 1997 crisis and the early 2000s. This fact implies that monetary policy for stabilization might encounter big problems due to change (instability) of money demand. 展开更多
关键词 money demand function COINTEGRATION Marcov switching
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