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美国制造业定性调查数据有效性实证研究
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作者 曾淑桂 蒋冬雪 《中国物价》 2022年第9期47-50,共4页
制造业官方统计数据的发布往往相对滞后,美国等发达国家采取的预期调研方法对政策制定者及时调整政策具有重要意义。基于五大联储制造业定性调查数据和定性转定量分析技术,本文综合运用相关性分析、OLS模型和误差修正模型等方法来考察... 制造业官方统计数据的发布往往相对滞后,美国等发达国家采取的预期调研方法对政策制定者及时调整政策具有重要意义。基于五大联储制造业定性调查数据和定性转定量分析技术,本文综合运用相关性分析、OLS模型和误差修正模型等方法来考察美国制造业企业预期的性质及其对未来趋势的预测能力。结果发现:(1)扩散指数的当期序列与预期序列之间存在明显的正相关关系;(2)尽管绝大部分平稳扩散指数的预测具有一定合理性,但里奇蒙联储的周均工作时长、最终品存货等指标预测能力较差;(3)非平稳扩散指数中,只有达拉斯联储资本支出扩散指数的当期序列和预期序列存在长期关系。本文研究表明,美国制造企业关于未来生产运营情况的预测具有一定的能力,但不具备理性预期性质。因此,在现实研究中不能完全依赖上述调查数据来推断美国制造业未来的状态。 展开更多
关键词 美国制造业 定性调查数据 定性转定量分析 宏观经济预测 VECM模型
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Analyzing the Impacts of Minimum Wage Standards on Reducing the Working Poor in China
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作者 Yongjian Hu 《Sociology Study》 2014年第7期573-580,共8页
During the past decades, the transformation of the labor market has significantly impacted on workers' wage structures and their employment in China. Along with the widening wage gaps and the growing income inequalit... During the past decades, the transformation of the labor market has significantly impacted on workers' wage structures and their employment in China. Along with the widening wage gaps and the growing income inequalities, the size of non-standard jobs expanded rapidly in China's urban labor market. As a result of this, the concept of working poor has become increasingly applicable to social and labor market realities in China, Based on the household survey data and by using quantitative analysis, this paper attempts to examine the interaction between the compulsory minimum wage standards and the working poor in the period of China's economic transition. The results show that for those whose monthly wages higher than the compulsory minimum wage standards were less likely to work poor and that workers with wages lower than the minimum wage floor were vulnerable to working poor, which supported the expectation that the implementation of compulsory minimum wages would help to reduce the risk of being a member among the working poor in China's urban labor market. 展开更多
关键词 Working poor minimum wage standards wage gaps logit model
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The Power of Social Capital in Massive Multiplayer Online Games" Cooperation and Cronyism in World of Warcraft
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作者 Mark C. Meachem 《Journalism and Mass Communication》 2012年第4期539-550,共12页
The number of people playing Massive Multiplayer Online Games (MMOGs) is growing steadily, yet there are limited studies on the social impact that this online activity has. This research, using both quantitative and... The number of people playing Massive Multiplayer Online Games (MMOGs) is growing steadily, yet there are limited studies on the social impact that this online activity has. This research, using both quantitative and qualitative data, focused on whether users of the most popular MMOG, World of Warcraft (WOW), exhibited behaviors of social capital in their online gaming activity and whether there was any correlation to offiine social capital. The findings indicated that cooperation provided the best indicator to make a correlation about a gamer's offiine social capital behaviors. One conclusion, stemming from this is that, in virtual worlds, the added social capital can lead to cronyism and help those in power maintain the status quo. 展开更多
关键词 Massive Multiplayer Online Games (MMOGs) social capital World of Warcraft (WOW) online games
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The Body in Old Age and Dependency: A Territory of Threat and Uncertainty
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作者 Maria Concepcion Arroyo 《Sociology Study》 2015年第7期562-576,共15页
This paper explores the image of the body in physically dependent elderly men and women and the way in which this image reconfigures their identity creating new meanings. In old age, the body becomes related with illn... This paper explores the image of the body in physically dependent elderly men and women and the way in which this image reconfigures their identity creating new meanings. In old age, the body becomes related with illness, with disablement and with its own material finiteness. Representations of the body are thus constructed around pain, deficiency, and fragility. The research was carried out from a qualitative perspective, performing in-depth interviews, with participant observation and a subject ID card as data collecting techniques. The identity of the interviewees who consented to be recorded was protected. The data were analyzed constructing concepts and theoretical and empirical categories with the support of the Etnograph V.5 software for qualitative data. The findings reflect discourses on the body that turn on its deterioration and limitations that prevent old people from functioning adequately in life. Metaphors were identified telling of a sense of"deteriorated identity"; most participants saw themselves as "a burden". They also showed symptoms of annoyance and shame regarding their sick or fragile bodies, as well as a constant memory of the healthy or "ideal" body of the past, which is hegemonic in our culture. 展开更多
关键词 BODY old age DEPENDENCY IDENTITY
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