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第13届北京残奥会竞争实力分析及实力预测 被引量:2
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作者 朱越彤 李强 +6 位作者 张先锋 李荣日 金宗强 李庆波 王春香 田丰 王晔 《天津体育学院学报》 CAS CSSCI 北大核心 2008年第4期292-296,共5页
通过文献资料、系统分析、经验预测法等方法,以2008年第13届残奥会所设的20大项472小项目为基准,分析参赛国在世界残疾人体育大赛(第10-12届残奥会、2006年或2007年各单项世界锦标赛)中的竞争实力,对2008年北京残奥会各项目进行竞争实... 通过文献资料、系统分析、经验预测法等方法,以2008年第13届残奥会所设的20大项472小项目为基准,分析参赛国在世界残疾人体育大赛(第10-12届残奥会、2006年或2007年各单项世界锦标赛)中的竞争实力,对2008年北京残奥会各项目进行竞争实力预测。 展开更多
关键词 残奥会 竞争实力 实力预测
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Construction Simulation and Real-Time Control for High Arch Dam 被引量:6
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作者 钟登华 任炳昱 吴康新 《Transactions of Tianjin University》 EI CAS 2008年第4期248-253,共6页
A method of combining dynamic simulation with real-time control was proposed to fit the randomness and uncertainty in the high arch dam construction process. The mathematical logic model of high arch dam construction ... A method of combining dynamic simulation with real-time control was proposed to fit the randomness and uncertainty in the high arch dam construction process. The mathematical logic model of high arch dam construction process was established. By combining dynamic construction simulation with schedule analysis, the process of construction schedule forecasting and analysis based on dynamic simulation was studied. The process of real-time schedule control was constructed and some measures for dynamic adjustment and control of construction schedule were provided. A system developed with the method is utilized in a being constructed hydroelectric project located at the Yellow River in northwest China, which can make the pouring plan of the dam in the next stage (a month, quarter or year) to guide the practical construction. The application result shows that the system provides an effective technical support for the construction and management of the dam. 展开更多
关键词 high arch dam construction dynamic simulation schedule forecasting real-time control
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Research and Application of Probability Distribution of Wind Power Fluctuation Characteristics
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作者 Huang Tong 《International Journal of Technology Management》 2014年第4期28-32,共5页
The fluctuation characteristics is the inherent property of wind power.Through analysis of a large number of wind t'anns based on measured data,we find it describes the best probability distribution of wind power flu... The fluctuation characteristics is the inherent property of wind power.Through analysis of a large number of wind t'anns based on measured data,we find it describes the best probability distribution of wind power fluctuation for the mixed Gauss distribution of two components,and try to carry out the physical interpretation of two components.Further discussion is between the probability distribution of fluctuating wind power time difference and whole relationship.It is found that the two have basic similarity.Through comparing the different time level data quantified losses the information of wind power fluctuation,quantitative determination of the degree of impact prediction.We can summarize and understand of wind power fluctuation,constructing instance from the wind farm construction and monitoring prediction two aspect recommendations to overcome the adverse effects of wind power fluctuations on the power grid operation. 展开更多
关键词 wind power fluctuation characteristics probability distribution gauss mixture distribution:
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Oil production rate predictions for steam assisted gravity drainage based on high-pressure experiments 被引量:2
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作者 GUO Jia ZAN Cheng +1 位作者 MA DeSheng SHI Lin 《Science China(Technological Sciences)》 SCIE EI CAS 2013年第2期324-334,共11页
Dual-well steam assisted gravity drainage(SAGD) has significant potential for extra-heavy oil recovery.China is conducting two dual-well SAGD pilot projects in the Fengcheng extra-heavy oil reservoir.Quick,direct pred... Dual-well steam assisted gravity drainage(SAGD) has significant potential for extra-heavy oil recovery.China is conducting two dual-well SAGD pilot projects in the Fengcheng extra-heavy oil reservoir.Quick,direct predictions of the oil production rate by algebraic models rather than complex numerical models are of great importance for designing and adjusting the SAGD operations.A low-pressure scaled physical simulation was previously used to develop two separate theoretical models corresponding to the two different growth stages observed in the SAGD steam chambers,which are the steam chamber rising stage and the steam chamber spreading stage.A high-pressure scaled model experiment is presented here for one dual-well SAGD pattern to further improve the prediction models to reasonably predict oil production rates for full production.Parameters that significantly affect the oil recovery during SAGD were scaled for the model size based on the reservoir characteristics of the Fengcheng reservoir in China.Experimental results show the relationship between the evolution of the steam chamber and the oil production rate during the entire production stage.High-pressure scaled model test was used to improve the gravity drainage models by modifying empirical factors for the rising model and the depletion model.A new division of the SAGD production regime was developed based on the relationship between the oil production rate and the evolution of steam chamber.A method was developed to couple the rising and depletion models to predict oil production rates during the SAGD production,especially during the transition period.The method was validated with experiment data and field data from the literature.The model was then used to predict the oil production rate in the Fengcheng reservoir in China and the Athabasca reservoir in Canada. 展开更多
关键词 extra-heavy oil steam assisted gravity drainage (SAGD) physical simulation theoretical model
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