Relationships between large-scale zonal wind anomalies and annual frequency of NW Pacific tropical cyclones and possible mechanisms are investigated with the methods of correlation and composition. It is indicated tha...Relationships between large-scale zonal wind anomalies and annual frequency of NW Pacific tropical cyclones and possible mechanisms are investigated with the methods of correlation and composition. It is indicated that when A U2oo- A U850 〉0 in the eastern tropical Pacific and A U2oo- A U850 〈0 in western tropical Pacific, the Walker cell is stronger in the Pacific tropical region and the annual frequency of NW Pacific tropical cyclone are above normal. In the years with zonal wind anomalies, the circulation of high and low troposphere and the vertical motions in the troposphere have significant characteristics. In the time scale of short-range climate prediction, zonal wind anomalies in high and low troposphere are useful as a preliminary signal of the annual frequency prediction of NW Pacific tropical cyclones.展开更多
In this study,the authors focus on the cut-off low pressure systems（COLs）lingering over East Asia in late spring and early summer and quantify the two-way stratosphere–troposphere exchange（STE）by 3D trajectory in...In this study,the authors focus on the cut-off low pressure systems（COLs）lingering over East Asia in late spring and early summer and quantify the two-way stratosphere–troposphere exchange（STE）by 3D trajectory integrations,achieved using a revised version of the UK Universities Global Atmospheric Modelling Programme Offline Trajectory Code（Version 3）.By selecting 10 typical COLs and calculating the cross-tropopause air mass fluxes,it is found that stratosphere-to-troposphere transport（STT）fluxes exist in the center of COLs;and in the periphery of the COL center,troposphereto-stratosphere transport（TST）fluxes and STT fluxes are distributed alternately.Net transport fluxes in COLs are from stratosphere to troposphere,and the magnitude is about 10-4 kg m-2 s-1.The ratio between the area-averaged STT and TST fluxes increases with increasing strength of the COLs.By adopting appropriate residence time,the spurious transports are effectively excluded.Finally,the authors compare the results with previous studies,and find that the cross-tropopause fluxes（CTFs）induced by COLs are about one to two orders of magnitude larger than global CTFs.COLs play a significant role in local,rapid air mass exchanges,although they may only be responsible for a fraction of the total STE.展开更多
基金Research on predictive signals and methods for short-short climate of annual frequency oftyphoons, a project from the research fund on typhoons of 2003 – 2004 at Shanghai Typhoon Institute
文摘Relationships between large-scale zonal wind anomalies and annual frequency of NW Pacific tropical cyclones and possible mechanisms are investigated with the methods of correlation and composition. It is indicated that when A U2oo- A U850 〉0 in the eastern tropical Pacific and A U2oo- A U850 〈0 in western tropical Pacific, the Walker cell is stronger in the Pacific tropical region and the annual frequency of NW Pacific tropical cyclone are above normal. In the years with zonal wind anomalies, the circulation of high and low troposphere and the vertical motions in the troposphere have significant characteristics. In the time scale of short-range climate prediction, zonal wind anomalies in high and low troposphere are useful as a preliminary signal of the annual frequency prediction of NW Pacific tropical cyclones.
基金supported by the Special Fund for Strategic Pilot Technology,Chinese Academy of Sciences[grant number XDA05040300]
文摘In this study,the authors focus on the cut-off low pressure systems（COLs）lingering over East Asia in late spring and early summer and quantify the two-way stratosphere–troposphere exchange（STE）by 3D trajectory integrations,achieved using a revised version of the UK Universities Global Atmospheric Modelling Programme Offline Trajectory Code（Version 3）.By selecting 10 typical COLs and calculating the cross-tropopause air mass fluxes,it is found that stratosphere-to-troposphere transport（STT）fluxes exist in the center of COLs;and in the periphery of the COL center,troposphereto-stratosphere transport（TST）fluxes and STT fluxes are distributed alternately.Net transport fluxes in COLs are from stratosphere to troposphere,and the magnitude is about 10-4 kg m-2 s-1.The ratio between the area-averaged STT and TST fluxes increases with increasing strength of the COLs.By adopting appropriate residence time,the spurious transports are effectively excluded.Finally,the authors compare the results with previous studies,and find that the cross-tropopause fluxes（CTFs）induced by COLs are about one to two orders of magnitude larger than global CTFs.COLs play a significant role in local,rapid air mass exchanges,although they may only be responsible for a fraction of the total STE.
