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全球变暖背景下江苏气候局地响应的基本特征 被引量:6
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作者 袁昌洪 汤剑平 《南京大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2007年第6期655-669,共15页
在全球变暖背景下,通过对1961—2000年江苏地区13个国家基本基准站地面资料的分析发现,江苏地区气候的响应存在两个基本特征.其一表现为该区域气候年代际变异存在着明显的3个阶段,1968年左右前的降温期,伴随着总云量(低云量)的增加、总... 在全球变暖背景下,通过对1961—2000年江苏地区13个国家基本基准站地面资料的分析发现,江苏地区气候的响应存在两个基本特征.其一表现为该区域气候年代际变异存在着明显的3个阶段,1968年左右前的降温期,伴随着总云量(低云量)的增加、总辐射减少和大气水汽表征量的减少;在1968—1986年左右的转型耦合期,气候变异不明显;1986年以及其后的增温期,伴随着总云量(低云量)的减少、总辐射增加以及大气水汽表征量的增加.第二个基本特征则为,在上述降温—减湿/增温—增湿期,明显对应着降水减少/增加时期,从理论上论证了这种对应关系是由于湿热涡旋效应增强所致. 展开更多
关键词 全球变暖 气候变化 局地响应 湿热涡旋增强
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江西地区低云辐射气温变化特征的初步分析 被引量:5
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作者 喻迎春 王元 《气象科学》 CSCD 北大核心 2006年第6期612-619,共8页
通过分析近45a江西地区山丘、平地和环湖站点低云、辐射、气温之间的气候变化关系,发现,1959-1971年,江西地区低云量减少时,气温下降;1971~2003年,低云量增加时,气温上升,同时太阳总辐射减少。江西地区低云、辐射、气温三者的... 通过分析近45a江西地区山丘、平地和环湖站点低云、辐射、气温之间的气候变化关系,发现,1959-1971年,江西地区低云量减少时,气温下降;1971~2003年,低云量增加时,气温上升,同时太阳总辐射减少。江西地区低云、辐射、气温三者的统计关系表明,低云-辐射-气温变化的基本特征为三者的净效应使得该地区在20世纪70年代之后,特别是90年代气温明显上升,其中,低云在增温过程中起到了显著的温室效应增效器的作用,这里的温室效应主要是指温室气体量增加的增胶作用。这种温室效应增效器作用主要体现在低云增加伴随有地面大气能见度降低,将导致太阳总辐射减少,最终引起有效长波逆辐射增加和净增温效应。 展开更多
关键词 气候变化 局地响应 江西地区 低云-辐射-气温关系
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江苏省1960—2014年降水及气温变化特征 被引量:5
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作者 傅帅 陈舒慧 +1 位作者 张小泉 徐士琦 《环保科技》 2017年第2期26-33,共8页
采用国家气象信息中心提供的1960-2014年江苏省逐日降水及气温观测资料,对该地区降水和温度的月际、季节及年际变化特征进行讨论;同时,为了反映极端事件发生的特点,还统计了近55年中该省出现的暴雨及极端气温事件。结果表明:强降水、高... 采用国家气象信息中心提供的1960-2014年江苏省逐日降水及气温观测资料,对该地区降水和温度的月际、季节及年际变化特征进行讨论;同时,为了反映极端事件发生的特点,还统计了近55年中该省出现的暴雨及极端气温事件。结果表明:强降水、高温主要出现在夏季(7月)。春、秋、冬季降水量呈自南向北减少趋势,而夏季则自南向北增加。该省降水量年际波动较大,变化趋势不明显。就气温而言,平均气温、最高气温、最低气温均呈显著增暖趋势,变暖幅度分别为0.265、0.175、0.04℃/10a。对极端事件的研究发现:该省暴雨量及暴雨次数呈自南向北增加的趋势,年际变化趋势也不明显。极端气温事件中,暖指数呈显著增加趋势,冷指数呈显著减少趋势。暖日、暖夜增加幅度分别为1.2、2.4d/10a,冷日、冷夜减少的幅度分别为1.5、3.2d/10a。 展开更多
关键词 江苏省 降水 气温 百分位阈值法 局地响应
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Slope Seismic Response Monitoring on the Aftershocks of the Wenchuan Earthquake in the Mianzhu Section 被引量:6
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作者 WANG Yunsheng LUO Yonghong +4 位作者 WANG Fuhai WANG Dong MA Xiao LI Shun DENG Xi 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2012年第4期523-528,共6页
Previous investigations have shown that the seismic response of slopes during the Wenchuan earthquake was highly variable. The present study tries to give an answer to the question: Which are the main factors affecti... Previous investigations have shown that the seismic response of slopes during the Wenchuan earthquake was highly variable. The present study tries to give an answer to the question: Which are the main factors affecting the seismic response degree of slopes? With the support of the China Geological Survey Bureau, we set 3 monitoring sections in Jiulong slope, Mianzhu city, China with the aim to record the site response of the slope during the affershoeks of the Wenehuan earthquake. After the Wenchuan earthquake, which happened on 12 May 2008, 30 aftershocks have been recorded in these monitoring points. We analyzed 11 records, with magnitudes ranging from ML = 4.6 to ML = 3.1. The amplification factors of the horizontal compound PGA and 3D compound PGA have been determined for the 3 points at different elevations on the slope. Results showed that the dynamic response of the slope on the earthquake was controlled by factors such as topography and the thickness of the Quaternary overburden. 展开更多
关键词 Seismic response SLOPE MONITORING Longmen Mountains AFTERSHOCKS Wenchuanearthquake
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Asymmetrical response of summer rainfall in East Asia to CO_(2)forcing 被引量:3
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作者 Se-Yong Song Sang-Wook Yeh +4 位作者 Soon-Il An Jong-Seong Kug Seung-Ki Min Seok-Woo Son Jongsoo Shin 《Science Bulletin》 SCIE EI CSCD 2022年第2期213-222,M0004,共11页
Understanding the regional hydrological response to varying CO_(2)concentration is critical for cost-benefit analysis of mitigation and adaptation polices in the near future. To characterize summer monsoon rainfall ch... Understanding the regional hydrological response to varying CO_(2)concentration is critical for cost-benefit analysis of mitigation and adaptation polices in the near future. To characterize summer monsoon rainfall change in East Asia in a changing CO_(2)pathway, we used the Community Earth System Model(CESM) with28 ensemble members in which the CO_(2)concentration increases at a rate of 1% per year until its quadrupling peak, i.e., 1468 ppm(ramp-up period), followed by a decrease of 1% per year until the present-day climate conditions, i.e., 367 ppm(ramp-down period). Although the CO_(2)concentration change is symmetric in time, the amount of summer rainfall anomaly in East Asia is increased 42% during a rampdown period than that during a ramp-up period when the two periods of the same CO_(2)concentration are compared. This asymmetrical rainfall response is mainly due to an enhanced El Ni?o-like warming pattern as well as its associated increase in the sea surface temperature in the western North Pacific during a ramp-down period. These sea surface temperature patterns enhance the atmospheric teleconnections and the local meridional circulations around East Asia, resulting in more rainfall over East Asia during a ramp-down period. This result implies that the removal of CO_(2)does not guarantee the return of regional rainfall to the previous climate state with the same CO_(2)concentration. 展开更多
关键词 CO_(2)concentration East Asian summer monsoon Asymmetric rainfall El Ni?o-like warming
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