This paper aims to estimate the effects of changing life style and consumption demands driven by income growth and urbanization on increase of energy requirements in China, and es-timate the impacts of improvement in ...This paper aims to estimate the effects of changing life style and consumption demands driven by income growth and urbanization on increase of energy requirements in China, and es-timate the impacts of improvement in household consumption on mitigating energy requirements towards 2020, based on input-out-put analysis and scenarios simulation approach. The result shows that energy requirement per capita has increased by 159% for urban residents and 147% for rural residents from 1995 to 2004. Growth in household consumption driven by income growth and urbanization may induce a successive increase in energy require-ments in future. Per capita energy requirements of urban residents will increase by 240% during 2002-2015 and 330% during 2002-2020. Urbanization might lead to 0.75 billion ton of increment of energy requirements in 2020. About 45%-48% of total energy requirements in China might be a consequence of residents' life styles and the economic activities to support consumption demands in 2020. Under low-carbon life style scenario, per capita energy requirements of urban residents may decline to 97% in 2015 and 92% in 2020 in contrast with baseline scenario. That implies that China needs to pay a great attention to developing green low-carbon life style in order to realize mitigation target towards 2020.展开更多
Using panel data from both urban and rural areas in China＇s thirty provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities （Tibet excluded） from 1995 to 2005 and applying the random effects model, we conducted a quantitat...Using panel data from both urban and rural areas in China＇s thirty provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities （Tibet excluded） from 1995 to 2005 and applying the random effects model, we conducted a quantitative analysis of factors influencing urban and rural consumer demand. The findings show the per capita disposable income of Chinese residents is highly correlated with their per capita consumption expenditure and the consumption function of urban and rural residents was relatively stable over the eleven years under study. On the basis of these findings, this paper further makes use of data in China＇s funds flow statements （physical transactions） from 1992 to 2004 to explain one of the reasons for the continuing under-consumption since 1997-1998; that is, in the course of national income distribution and redistribution the government has gained an ever increasing share of total and disposable income while the share of Chinese residents shows a continuous decline.展开更多
This study elaborates on the differences between resident disposable income in the flow of fimds table and in the household survey; between household consumption in expenditure- based GDP and in the household survey; ...This study elaborates on the differences between resident disposable income in the flow of fimds table and in the household survey; between household consumption in expenditure- based GDP and in the household survey; and between gross fixed capital formation in expenditure-based GDP and total fixed asset investment in the whole country as shown in investment statistics, from the point of view of their basic concepts and purposes, scope of specifications, data sources, calculation methods and data presentation. We show that the household survey somewhat underestimates household income and consumption, while investment statistics somewhat overestimate total investment in fixed assets. This does not, however, directly affect the accurate understanding of such major economic structures as the structure of the distribution of Chinese nationals＇ disposable income among households, enterprises and government, the structure of final demand, etc.展开更多
基金supported by Young Science Foundation of Communications University of China (Grant No. XNL1107)
文摘This paper aims to estimate the effects of changing life style and consumption demands driven by income growth and urbanization on increase of energy requirements in China, and es-timate the impacts of improvement in household consumption on mitigating energy requirements towards 2020, based on input-out-put analysis and scenarios simulation approach. The result shows that energy requirement per capita has increased by 159% for urban residents and 147% for rural residents from 1995 to 2004. Growth in household consumption driven by income growth and urbanization may induce a successive increase in energy require-ments in future. Per capita energy requirements of urban residents will increase by 240% during 2002-2015 and 330% during 2002-2020. Urbanization might lead to 0.75 billion ton of increment of energy requirements in 2020. About 45%-48% of total energy requirements in China might be a consequence of residents' life styles and the economic activities to support consumption demands in 2020. Under low-carbon life style scenario, per capita energy requirements of urban residents may decline to 97% in 2015 and 92% in 2020 in contrast with baseline scenario. That implies that China needs to pay a great attention to developing green low-carbon life style in order to realize mitigation target towards 2020.
文摘Using panel data from both urban and rural areas in China＇s thirty provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities （Tibet excluded） from 1995 to 2005 and applying the random effects model, we conducted a quantitative analysis of factors influencing urban and rural consumer demand. The findings show the per capita disposable income of Chinese residents is highly correlated with their per capita consumption expenditure and the consumption function of urban and rural residents was relatively stable over the eleven years under study. On the basis of these findings, this paper further makes use of data in China＇s funds flow statements （physical transactions） from 1992 to 2004 to explain one of the reasons for the continuing under-consumption since 1997-1998; that is, in the course of national income distribution and redistribution the government has gained an ever increasing share of total and disposable income while the share of Chinese residents shows a continuous decline.
文摘This study elaborates on the differences between resident disposable income in the flow of fimds table and in the household survey; between household consumption in expenditure- based GDP and in the household survey; and between gross fixed capital formation in expenditure-based GDP and total fixed asset investment in the whole country as shown in investment statistics, from the point of view of their basic concepts and purposes, scope of specifications, data sources, calculation methods and data presentation. We show that the household survey somewhat underestimates household income and consumption, while investment statistics somewhat overestimate total investment in fixed assets. This does not, however, directly affect the accurate understanding of such major economic structures as the structure of the distribution of Chinese nationals＇ disposable income among households, enterprises and government, the structure of final demand, etc.
