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电网山火灾害特征及风险预警技术 被引量:12
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作者 周恩泽 胡思雨 +3 位作者 张录军 魏瑞增 王华曌 杨凡 《电力工程技术》 2020年第3期58-64,共7页
为了有效预报山火发生导致的大面积电网线路跳闸停电事故,文中利用2008—2017年广东电网山火点数、过火面积和主网跳闸频次数据,研究了该省电网山火灾害年际变化趋势并提出了一种基于偏最小二乘(PLS)法的电网山火风险预警模型。研究发... 为了有效预报山火发生导致的大面积电网线路跳闸停电事故,文中利用2008—2017年广东电网山火点数、过火面积和主网跳闸频次数据,研究了该省电网山火灾害年际变化趋势并提出了一种基于偏最小二乘(PLS)法的电网山火风险预警模型。研究发现粤东和粤北地区为山火敏感易发地带,且其架空线路覆盖区内山火发生有明显增加趋势。另外,文中基于历史气象数据、植被数据和地形数据,采用PLS挑选主要的山火预报影响因子,结合应用统计学原理建立了一种优化的电网山火风险预警模型。通过广东电网实际运行山火跳闸案例测试,验证了文中所提方法预测电网山火发生时间和地点的准确性。 展开更多
关键词 广东电网 山火热点 线路跳闸 山火预警 偏最小二乘法(PLS)
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The first meteorological observations at a tropical high elevation site:Antisana,1846 被引量:1
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作者 Aria Ma M.FARRONA Fernando DOMINGUEZ-CASTRO +1 位作者 Ma Cruz GALLEGO Jose M.VAQUERO 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2016年第6期1047-1055,共9页
Antisana is a stratovolcano with an associated glacier located in the Ecuadorian Andes. Dr Aguirre made meteorological readings every day, at every hour from sunrise to sunset, from December 1845 to December 1846, at ... Antisana is a stratovolcano with an associated glacier located in the Ecuadorian Andes. Dr Aguirre made meteorological readings every day, at every hour from sunrise to sunset, from December 1845 to December 1846, at Antisana using a meteorological station at 4060 mamsl (meters above mean sea level). Unfortunately, only the monthly average data have been preserved. These meteorological data are here studied and compared with the closest modern stations for monthly values of temperature, rainfall, and pressure. According to these comparisons, the year 1846 was rainy and cold in comparison with the current climate. Moreover, these observations have been useful to help resolve a debate about a possible E1Nifio event in 1846 with the high precipitation in Antisana and Quito in 1846 discarding the occurrence of an E1 Nifio event. The probable occurrence of a La Nifia event is discussed. These data are the earliest known systematic instrumental meteorological observations taken at above 4000 mamsl. 展开更多
关键词 Early instrumental records GLACIER Pastclimate conditions
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