In order to grasp the evolution of flight conflict amount accurately and to forecast the amount, chaos in flight conflicts is studied. Firstly, a fault tree of flight conflicts is established based on the man-machine-...In order to grasp the evolution of flight conflict amount accurately and to forecast the amount, chaos in flight conflicts is studied. Firstly, a fault tree of flight conflicts is established based on the man-machine-environ- ment system engineering theory. The chaotic characteristics of flight conflict are analyzed from the qualitative point of view. Secondly, an improved chaotic algorithm for the largest Lyapunov exponent is proposed based on the small-data method and the wavelet de-noising theory. Chaos in flight conflict time series is identified by the improved chaotic algorithm from the quantitative point of view. Finally, a case study by the chaos forecasting al- gorithm is performed and the results are evaluated by the gray error checking : Correlative value of posterior error is 0. 220 9〈0. 35, and micro-error probability is 0. 985 3〉0.95. Such results show the chaos forecasting algo- rithm is effective, thus it is feasible to analyze and forecast flight conflict by chaotic theory.展开更多
Lifelines, such as pipeline, transportation, communication, electric transmission and medical rescue systems, are complicated networks that always distribute spatially over large geological and geographic units. The q...Lifelines, such as pipeline, transportation, communication, electric transmission and medical rescue systems, are complicated networks that always distribute spatially over large geological and geographic units. The quantification of their reliability under an earthquake occurrence should be highly regarded, because the performance of these systems during a destructive earthquake is vital in order to estimate direct and indirect economic losses from lifeline failures, and is also related to laying out a rescue plan. The research in this paper aims to develop a new earthquake reliability calculation methodology for lifeline systems. The methodology of the network reliability for lifeline systems is based on fault tree analysis (FTA) and geological information system (GIS). The interactions existing in a lifeline system ale considered herein. The lifeline systems are idealized as equivalent networks, consisting of nodes and links, and are described by network analysis in GIS. Firstly, the node is divided into two types: simple node and complicated node, where the reliability of the complicated node is calculated by FTA and interaction is regarded as one factor to affect performance of the nodes. The reliability of simple node and link is evaluated by code. Then, the reliability of the entilre network is assessed based on GIS and FTA. Lastly, an illustration is given to show the methodology.展开更多
Fault diagnosis plays an important role in complicated industrial process.It is a challenging task to detect,identify and locate faults quickly and accurately for large-scale process system.To solve the problem,a nove...Fault diagnosis plays an important role in complicated industrial process.It is a challenging task to detect,identify and locate faults quickly and accurately for large-scale process system.To solve the problem,a novel Multi Boost-based integrated ENN(extension neural network) fault diagnosis method is proposed.Fault data of complicated chemical process have some difficult-to-handle characteristics,such as high-dimension,non-linear and non-Gaussian distribution,so we use margin discriminant projection(MDP) algorithm to reduce dimensions and extract main features.Then,the affinity propagation(AP) clustering method is used to select core data and boundary data as training samples to reduce memory consumption and shorten learning time.Afterwards,an integrated ENN classifier based on Multi Boost strategy is constructed to identify fault types.The artificial data sets are tested to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method and make a detailed sensitivity analysis for the key parameters.Finally,a real industrial system—Tennessee Eastman(TE) process is employed to evaluate the performance of the proposed method.And the results show that the proposed method is efficient and capable to diagnose various types of faults in complicated chemical process.展开更多
Fault degradation prognostic, which estimates the time before a failure occurs and process breakdowns, has been recognized as a key component in maintenance strategies nowadays. Fault degradation processes are, in gen...Fault degradation prognostic, which estimates the time before a failure occurs and process breakdowns, has been recognized as a key component in maintenance strategies nowadays. Fault degradation processes are, in general,slowly varying and can be modeled by autoregressive models. However, industrial processes always show typical nonstationary nature, which may bring two challenges: how to capture fault degradation information and how to model nonstationary processes. To address the critical issues, a novel fault degradation modeling and online fault prognostic strategy is developed in this paper. First, a fault degradation-oriented slow feature analysis(FDSFA) algorithm is proposed to extract fault degradation directions along which candidate fault degradation features are extracted. The trend ability assessment is then applied to select major fault degradation features. Second, a key fault degradation factor(KFDF) is calculated to characterize the fault degradation tendency by combining major fault degradation features and their stability weighting factors. After that, a time-varying regression model with temporal smoothness regularization is established considering nonstationary characteristics. On the basis of updating strategy, an online fault prognostic model is further developed by analyzing and modeling the prediction errors. The performance of the proposed method is illustrated with a real industrial process.展开更多
Fault detection and identification are challenging tasks in chemical processes, the aim of which is to decide out of control samples and find fault sensors timely and effectively. This paper develops a partitioning pr...Fault detection and identification are challenging tasks in chemical processes, the aim of which is to decide out of control samples and find fault sensors timely and effectively. This paper develops a partitioning principal component analysis(PPCA) method for process monitoring. A variable reasoning strategy is proposed and applied to recognize multiple fault variables. Compared with traditional process monitoring methods, the PPCA strategy not only reflects the local behavior of process variation in each model(each direction of principal components),but also improves the monitoring performance through the combination of local monitoring results. Then, a variable reasoning strategy is introduced to locate fault variables. Unlike the contribution plot, this method locates normal and fault variables effectively, and gives initiatory judgment for ambiguous variables. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed process monitoring and fault variable identification schemes is verified through a numerical example and TE chemical process.展开更多
In view of failure phenomena with nonlinear large deformation including extensive damage,whole section destruction in short time,high rate of repair,most destruction forms occurred in the tertiary roadway of soft rock...In view of failure phenomena with nonlinear large deformation including extensive damage,whole section destruction in short time,high rate of repair,most destruction forms occurred in the tertiary roadway of soft rocks engineering in Liuhai mine,according to the methods of geological survey,theoretical analysis,numerical calculation and in-situ test,the composite failure mechanism of molecular expansion,tectonic stress,gravity stress and engineering deviatoric stress,faults and random joint in this area is analyzed deeply,then an coupling support of double-layer-truss is proposed.The research results show that the first wave of deformation energy was released by bolt-mesh-cable fixed into the roof,floor and two sides of the roadway.While the second wave of deformation energy was released through the interface function between double-layer-truss and the surrounding rock.The double-layer-truss that characterized by high strength,good integrity can absorb high deformation energy of surrounding rocks,which led to the uniform distribution of the stress.Engineering practice shows this technology has been successfully applied to control the deformation failure of the tertiary extremely soft rock roadway.展开更多
To evaluate the security of cipher algo- rithrrs with secret operations, we built a new reverse engineering analysis based on Differential Fault Analysis (DFA) to recover the secret S-boxes in Secret Private Network...To evaluate the security of cipher algo- rithrrs with secret operations, we built a new reverse engineering analysis based on Differential Fault Analysis (DFA) to recover the secret S-boxes in Secret Private Network (SPN) and Feistel structures, which are two of the most typical structures in block ciphers. This paper gives the general definitions of these two structures and proposes the reverse engineering analysis of each structure. Furthermore, we evaluate the complexity of the proposed reverse analyses and theoretically prove the effectiveness of the reverse method. For the Twoflsh-like and AES-like algorithrm, the experimental results verify the correctness and efficiency of the reverse analysis. The proposed reverse analysis can efficiently recover the secret S-boxes in the encryp'don algorithms writh SPN and Feistel structures. It can successfully recover the Twoflsh- like algorithm in 2.3 s with 256 faults and the AES- like algorithm in 0.33 s with 23 faults.展开更多
Failure depth of coal seam floors is one of the important considerations that must be kept in mind when mining is carried out above a confined aquifer. In order to study the factors that affect the failure depth of co...Failure depth of coal seam floors is one of the important considerations that must be kept in mind when mining is carried out above a confined aquifer. In order to study the factors that affect the failure depth of coal seam floors such as mining depth, coal seam pitch, mining thickness, workface length and faults, we propose a combined artificial neural networks (ANN) prediction model for failure depth of coal seam floors on the basis of existing engineering data by using genetic algorithms to train the ANN. A practical engineering application at the Taoyuan Coal Mine indicates that this method can effectively determine the network struc- ture and training parameters, with the predicted results agreeing with practical measurements. Therefore, this method can be applied to relevant engineering projects with satisfactory results.展开更多
基金Supported by the Joint Funds of National Natural Science Foundation of China(61039001)~~
文摘In order to grasp the evolution of flight conflict amount accurately and to forecast the amount, chaos in flight conflicts is studied. Firstly, a fault tree of flight conflicts is established based on the man-machine-environ- ment system engineering theory. The chaotic characteristics of flight conflict are analyzed from the qualitative point of view. Secondly, an improved chaotic algorithm for the largest Lyapunov exponent is proposed based on the small-data method and the wavelet de-noising theory. Chaos in flight conflict time series is identified by the improved chaotic algorithm from the quantitative point of view. Finally, a case study by the chaos forecasting al- gorithm is performed and the results are evaluated by the gray error checking : Correlative value of posterior error is 0. 220 9〈0. 35, and micro-error probability is 0. 985 3〉0.95. Such results show the chaos forecasting algo- rithm is effective, thus it is feasible to analyze and forecast flight conflict by chaotic theory.
基金Sponsored by the Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No.50278028) the Scientific Research Foundation of Harbin Institute of Technology(Grant No.HIT200079).
文摘Lifelines, such as pipeline, transportation, communication, electric transmission and medical rescue systems, are complicated networks that always distribute spatially over large geological and geographic units. The quantification of their reliability under an earthquake occurrence should be highly regarded, because the performance of these systems during a destructive earthquake is vital in order to estimate direct and indirect economic losses from lifeline failures, and is also related to laying out a rescue plan. The research in this paper aims to develop a new earthquake reliability calculation methodology for lifeline systems. The methodology of the network reliability for lifeline systems is based on fault tree analysis (FTA) and geological information system (GIS). The interactions existing in a lifeline system ale considered herein. The lifeline systems are idealized as equivalent networks, consisting of nodes and links, and are described by network analysis in GIS. Firstly, the node is divided into two types: simple node and complicated node, where the reliability of the complicated node is calculated by FTA and interaction is regarded as one factor to affect performance of the nodes. The reliability of simple node and link is evaluated by code. Then, the reliability of the entilre network is assessed based on GIS and FTA. Lastly, an illustration is given to show the methodology.
基金Project (61203021) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject (2011216011) supported by the Key Science and Technology Program of Liaoning Province,China+1 种基金Project (2013020024) supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Liaoning Province,ChinaProject (LJQ2015061) supported by the Program for Liaoning Excellent Talents in Universities,China
文摘Fault diagnosis plays an important role in complicated industrial process.It is a challenging task to detect,identify and locate faults quickly and accurately for large-scale process system.To solve the problem,a novel Multi Boost-based integrated ENN(extension neural network) fault diagnosis method is proposed.Fault data of complicated chemical process have some difficult-to-handle characteristics,such as high-dimension,non-linear and non-Gaussian distribution,so we use margin discriminant projection(MDP) algorithm to reduce dimensions and extract main features.Then,the affinity propagation(AP) clustering method is used to select core data and boundary data as training samples to reduce memory consumption and shorten learning time.Afterwards,an integrated ENN classifier based on Multi Boost strategy is constructed to identify fault types.The artificial data sets are tested to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method and make a detailed sensitivity analysis for the key parameters.Finally,a real industrial system—Tennessee Eastman(TE) process is employed to evaluate the performance of the proposed method.And the results show that the proposed method is efficient and capable to diagnose various types of faults in complicated chemical process.
基金Project(U1709211) supported by NSFC-Zhejiang Joint Fund for the Integration of Industrialization and Informatization,ChinaProject(ICT2021A15) supported by the State Key Laboratory of Industrial Control Technology,Zhejiang University,ChinaProject(TPL2019C03) supported by Open Fund of Science and Technology on Thermal Energy and Power Laboratory,China。
文摘Fault degradation prognostic, which estimates the time before a failure occurs and process breakdowns, has been recognized as a key component in maintenance strategies nowadays. Fault degradation processes are, in general,slowly varying and can be modeled by autoregressive models. However, industrial processes always show typical nonstationary nature, which may bring two challenges: how to capture fault degradation information and how to model nonstationary processes. To address the critical issues, a novel fault degradation modeling and online fault prognostic strategy is developed in this paper. First, a fault degradation-oriented slow feature analysis(FDSFA) algorithm is proposed to extract fault degradation directions along which candidate fault degradation features are extracted. The trend ability assessment is then applied to select major fault degradation features. Second, a key fault degradation factor(KFDF) is calculated to characterize the fault degradation tendency by combining major fault degradation features and their stability weighting factors. After that, a time-varying regression model with temporal smoothness regularization is established considering nonstationary characteristics. On the basis of updating strategy, an online fault prognostic model is further developed by analyzing and modeling the prediction errors. The performance of the proposed method is illustrated with a real industrial process.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(61374137,61490701,61174119)the State Key Laboratory of Integrated Automation of Process Industry Technology and Research Center of National Metallurgical Automation Fundamental Research Funds(2013ZCX02-03)
文摘Fault detection and identification are challenging tasks in chemical processes, the aim of which is to decide out of control samples and find fault sensors timely and effectively. This paper develops a partitioning principal component analysis(PPCA) method for process monitoring. A variable reasoning strategy is proposed and applied to recognize multiple fault variables. Compared with traditional process monitoring methods, the PPCA strategy not only reflects the local behavior of process variation in each model(each direction of principal components),but also improves the monitoring performance through the combination of local monitoring results. Then, a variable reasoning strategy is introduced to locate fault variables. Unlike the contribution plot, this method locates normal and fault variables effectively, and gives initiatory judgment for ambiguous variables. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed process monitoring and fault variable identification schemes is verified through a numerical example and TE chemical process.
基金supported by program for the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.51304210)the Specialized Research Foundation for the Doctoral Program of Higher Education by the Ministry of Education (No.20120023120014)
文摘In view of failure phenomena with nonlinear large deformation including extensive damage,whole section destruction in short time,high rate of repair,most destruction forms occurred in the tertiary roadway of soft rocks engineering in Liuhai mine,according to the methods of geological survey,theoretical analysis,numerical calculation and in-situ test,the composite failure mechanism of molecular expansion,tectonic stress,gravity stress and engineering deviatoric stress,faults and random joint in this area is analyzed deeply,then an coupling support of double-layer-truss is proposed.The research results show that the first wave of deformation energy was released by bolt-mesh-cable fixed into the roof,floor and two sides of the roadway.While the second wave of deformation energy was released through the interface function between double-layer-truss and the surrounding rock.The double-layer-truss that characterized by high strength,good integrity can absorb high deformation energy of surrounding rocks,which led to the uniform distribution of the stress.Engineering practice shows this technology has been successfully applied to control the deformation failure of the tertiary extremely soft rock roadway.
基金This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Cxants No.60970116, No. 60970115, No. 61202386, No. 61003267.
文摘To evaluate the security of cipher algo- rithrrs with secret operations, we built a new reverse engineering analysis based on Differential Fault Analysis (DFA) to recover the secret S-boxes in Secret Private Network (SPN) and Feistel structures, which are two of the most typical structures in block ciphers. This paper gives the general definitions of these two structures and proposes the reverse engineering analysis of each structure. Furthermore, we evaluate the complexity of the proposed reverse analyses and theoretically prove the effectiveness of the reverse method. For the Twoflsh-like and AES-like algorithrm, the experimental results verify the correctness and efficiency of the reverse analysis. The proposed reverse analysis can efficiently recover the secret S-boxes in the encryp'don algorithms writh SPN and Feistel structures. It can successfully recover the Twoflsh- like algorithm in 2.3 s with 256 faults and the AES- like algorithm in 0.33 s with 23 faults.
基金Projects 50874103 supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China2006CB202210 by the National Basic Research Program of China+1 种基金BK2008135 by the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Provincethe Qing-lan Project of Jiangsu Province
文摘Failure depth of coal seam floors is one of the important considerations that must be kept in mind when mining is carried out above a confined aquifer. In order to study the factors that affect the failure depth of coal seam floors such as mining depth, coal seam pitch, mining thickness, workface length and faults, we propose a combined artificial neural networks (ANN) prediction model for failure depth of coal seam floors on the basis of existing engineering data by using genetic algorithms to train the ANN. A practical engineering application at the Taoyuan Coal Mine indicates that this method can effectively determine the network struc- ture and training parameters, with the predicted results agreeing with practical measurements. Therefore, this method can be applied to relevant engineering projects with satisfactory results.