本文首先基于经济学原理,对 DA 和 RT 市场的三种交易模式和两部制电价进行了理论分析。在考虑电力行业独特技术经济特征的基础上,为了保证短期调度的经济效率性,并为长期发电、输电投资提供正确的经济激励。我们认为中国应该考虑放弃...本文首先基于经济学原理,对 DA 和 RT 市场的三种交易模式和两部制电价进行了理论分析。在考虑电力行业独特技术经济特征的基础上,为了保证短期调度的经济效率性,并为长期发电、输电投资提供正确的经济激励。我们认为中国应该考虑放弃发展两部制电价机制,转向发展单一市场出清价格式的完全成本库 DA 和 RT 市场交易模式。同时,考虑到中国电力改革正处于转型期,我们认为,在双边契约,电力交易所和电力库三种完全成本库交易模式中,短期内的最优选择是强制性电力交易所,而在长期内,我国应该大力促进双边交易的发展。展开更多
Price volatility in stock market brings potential profile positions to the traders. How to predict the direction of the stock market or stock price becomes the primary job for traders' trading model. We are looking f...Price volatility in stock market brings potential profile positions to the traders. How to predict the direction of the stock market or stock price becomes the primary job for traders' trading model. We are looking for the direction of the market in a given timeframe. High-frequency traders will consider the potential profile-out position in millisecond level. Long-term holder will look into month time scale. For most of average traders, the ideal timeframe will be on daily base. In this paper, for a non-news trading day, the author will introduce statistics method to predict the stock prices and bid-ask spread for day trading.展开更多
文摘本文首先基于经济学原理,对 DA 和 RT 市场的三种交易模式和两部制电价进行了理论分析。在考虑电力行业独特技术经济特征的基础上,为了保证短期调度的经济效率性,并为长期发电、输电投资提供正确的经济激励。我们认为中国应该考虑放弃发展两部制电价机制,转向发展单一市场出清价格式的完全成本库 DA 和 RT 市场交易模式。同时,考虑到中国电力改革正处于转型期,我们认为,在双边契约,电力交易所和电力库三种完全成本库交易模式中,短期内的最优选择是强制性电力交易所,而在长期内,我国应该大力促进双边交易的发展。
文摘Price volatility in stock market brings potential profile positions to the traders. How to predict the direction of the stock market or stock price becomes the primary job for traders' trading model. We are looking for the direction of the market in a given timeframe. High-frequency traders will consider the potential profile-out position in millisecond level. Long-term holder will look into month time scale. For most of average traders, the ideal timeframe will be on daily base. In this paper, for a non-news trading day, the author will introduce statistics method to predict the stock prices and bid-ask spread for day trading.