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科技支出对经济增长影响的面板分位数模型计算与分析——283个市级地区的检验 被引量:1
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作者 浦小松 《科技创业月刊》 2019年第11期68-73,共6页
选择283个市级地区(含4个直辖市)作样本,建立面板数据分位数模型,针对不同城市发展水平深入探析科技支出对经济增长的作用。结果显示:在任何经济发展阶段,科技支出对于经济增长都具有明显的正向作用,科技支出增加1个百分点将使GDP大约提... 选择283个市级地区(含4个直辖市)作样本,建立面板数据分位数模型,针对不同城市发展水平深入探析科技支出对经济增长的作用。结果显示:在任何经济发展阶段,科技支出对于经济增长都具有明显的正向作用,科技支出增加1个百分点将使GDP大约提高0.4%~0.44%,说明增加科技支出是促进经济增长的必要途径;当GDP规模较小时,科技支出对GDP贡献更大,这说明对处于经济发展水平较低阶段的地区来说,要更加重视对科学技术的投入,充分发挥科技提升对经济增长的巨大推动作用;相比于当年实际使用外资额、地区人口数量、固定资产投资、城镇化率,科技支出的作用弹性最大,而且非常显著,表明科技支出对GDP的贡献最高。经济基础较薄弱地区要加大科技支出力度,经济中等和偏上地区要保持科技支出稳定,经济发达地区要优化科技支出结构。 展开更多
关键词 科技支出 经济增长 市级地区 面板分位数模型
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Regional inequality, spatial spillover effects, and the factors influencing city-level energy-related carbon emissions in China 被引量:9
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作者 苏文松 刘艳艳 +3 位作者 王少剑 赵亚博 苏咏娴 李世杰 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2018年第4期495-513,共19页
Data show that carbon emissions are increasing due to human energy consumption associated with economic development. As a result, a great deal of attention has been focused on efforts to reduce this growth in carbon e... Data show that carbon emissions are increasing due to human energy consumption associated with economic development. As a result, a great deal of attention has been focused on efforts to reduce this growth in carbon emissions as well as to formulate policies to address and mitigate climate change. Although the majority of previous studies have explored the driving forces underlying Chinese carbon emissions, few have been carried out at the city-level because of the limited availability of relevant energy consumption statistics. Here, we utilize spatial autocorrelation, Markov-chain transitional matrices, a dynamic panel model, and system generalized distance estimation(Sys-GMM) to empirically evaluate the key determinants of carbon emissions at the city-level based on Chinese remote sensing data collected between 1992 and 2013. We also use these data to discuss observed spatial spillover effects taking into account spatiotemporal lag and a range of different geographical and economic weighting matrices. The results of this study suggest that regional discrepancies in city-level carbon emissions have decreased over time, which are consistent with a marked spatial spillover effect, and a ‘club' agglomeration of high-emissions. The evolution of these patterns also shows obvious path dependence, while the results of panel data analysis reveal the presence of a significant U-shaped relationship between carbon emissions and per capita GDP. Data also show that per capita carbon emissions have increased in concert with economic growth in most cities, and that a high-proportion of secondary industry and extensive investment growth have also exerted significant positive effects on city-level carbon emissions across China. In contrast, rapid population agglomeration, improvements in technology, increasing trade openness, and the accessibility and density of roads have all played a role in inhibiting carbon emissions. Thus, in order to reduce emissions, the Chinese government should legislate to inhibit the effects of factors that promote the release of carbon while at the same time acting to encourage those that mitigate this process. On the basis of the analysis presented in this study, we argue that optimizing industrial structures, streamlining extensive investment, increasing the level of technology, and improving road accessibility are all effective approaches to increase energy savings and reduce carbon emissions across China. 展开更多
关键词 carbon emissions spatial spillover effects dynamic spatial panel data model Chinese carbon emission reduction policies environmental Kuznets curve
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Export Competition in China: Evidence from Data at Provincial Level
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作者 Yan Zhi Changyuan Luo 《Fudan Journal of the Humanities and Social Sciences》 2014年第4期621-638,共18页
Through an analysis of the effects of Guangdong on exports from other provinces, this paper examines China's interregional relationships regarding exports. We utilize provincial level data from 1998 to 2008 and apply... Through an analysis of the effects of Guangdong on exports from other provinces, this paper examines China's interregional relationships regarding exports. We utilize provincial level data from 1998 to 2008 and apply the system GMM to estimate an empirical model derived from the gravity equation. The results indicate that Guangdong significantly crowds out exports from other provinces. Coastal provinces are less affected than their non-coastal counterparts. In coastal areas, the displacement effect on the Yangtze River Delta is less than that on the Pan Bohai Rim. Further research reveals that the improvements in service industries, labor productivity, capital-labor ratio, and agglomeration of manufacturing industries have significantly reduced export competition. Additionally, a province with a larger market potential or a lower degree of market disintegration is less affected by Guangdong's export competition. 展开更多
关键词 Export competition Industry agglomeration Market potential Market disintegration
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