文章对Web of knowledge最近十年有关技术预见的研究文献,利用Clementine的text mining模块进行文本挖掘,通过频率分析、共现分析、环比分析、主题群分析等数据处理方式,对国际技术预见研究的热点及动向进行挖掘;并结合对高引用率文献...文章对Web of knowledge最近十年有关技术预见的研究文献,利用Clementine的text mining模块进行文本挖掘,通过频率分析、共现分析、环比分析、主题群分析等数据处理方式,对国际技术预见研究的热点及动向进行挖掘;并结合对高引用率文献的解读,对技术预见的未来研究方向进行了展望。文章的结论是:①预见方法的研究是国际技术预见研究的一个持续热点,并且还在不断升温;②许多文献开始对传统预见方法的局限性进行反思,对新预见方法的研究与探索开始增多;③技术预见研究急需在预见方法方面有突破性的进展,以满足庞大的以企业为主体的预见需求;④可以独立运行的体制化的与平台化的预见方法将成为主要的研究方向。展开更多
In the process of designing self-elevating drilling unit, it is important, yet complicated, to use comparison and filtering to select the optimum scheme from the feasible ones. In this research, an index system and me...In the process of designing self-elevating drilling unit, it is important, yet complicated, to use comparison and filtering to select the optimum scheme from the feasible ones. In this research, an index system and methodology for the evaluation of self-elevating drilling unit was proposed. Based on this, a multi-objective combinatorial optimization model was developed, using the improved grey relation Analysis （GRA）, in which the analytic hierarchy process （AHP） was used to determine the weights of the evaluating indices. It considered the connections within the indices, reflecting the objective nature of things, and also considered the subjective interests of ship owners and the needs of designers. The evaluation index system and evaluation method can be used in the selection of an optimal scheme and advanced assessment. A case study shows the index system and evaluation method are scientific, reasonable, and easy to put into practice. At the same time, such an evaluation index system and evaluation method will be helpful for making decisions for other mobile platforms.展开更多
文摘文章对Web of knowledge最近十年有关技术预见的研究文献,利用Clementine的text mining模块进行文本挖掘,通过频率分析、共现分析、环比分析、主题群分析等数据处理方式,对国际技术预见研究的热点及动向进行挖掘;并结合对高引用率文献的解读,对技术预见的未来研究方向进行了展望。文章的结论是:①预见方法的研究是国际技术预见研究的一个持续热点,并且还在不断升温;②许多文献开始对传统预见方法的局限性进行反思,对新预见方法的研究与探索开始增多;③技术预见研究急需在预见方法方面有突破性的进展,以满足庞大的以企业为主体的预见需求;④可以独立运行的体制化的与平台化的预见方法将成为主要的研究方向。
基金Supported by the National 863 Plan Foundation under Grant No.2003AA414060
文摘In the process of designing self-elevating drilling unit, it is important, yet complicated, to use comparison and filtering to select the optimum scheme from the feasible ones. In this research, an index system and methodology for the evaluation of self-elevating drilling unit was proposed. Based on this, a multi-objective combinatorial optimization model was developed, using the improved grey relation Analysis （GRA）, in which the analytic hierarchy process （AHP） was used to determine the weights of the evaluating indices. It considered the connections within the indices, reflecting the objective nature of things, and also considered the subjective interests of ship owners and the needs of designers. The evaluation index system and evaluation method can be used in the selection of an optimal scheme and advanced assessment. A case study shows the index system and evaluation method are scientific, reasonable, and easy to put into practice. At the same time, such an evaluation index system and evaluation method will be helpful for making decisions for other mobile platforms.
