In order to predict long-term flooding under extreme weather conditions in central Asia, an energy balance-based distributed snowmelt runoff model was developed and coupled with the Soil and Water Assessment Tool(SWAT...In order to predict long-term flooding under extreme weather conditions in central Asia, an energy balance-based distributed snowmelt runoff model was developed and coupled with the Soil and Water Assessment Tool(SWAT) model. The model was tested at the Juntanghu watershed on the northern slope of the Tian Shan Mountains, Xinjiang,China. We compared the performances of temperature-index method and energy balanced method in SWAT model by taking Juntanghu river basin as an application example(as the simulation experiment was conducted in Juntanghu River, we call the energy balanced method as SWAT-JTH). The results suggest that the SWAT snowmelt model had overall Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency(NSE) coefficients ranging from 0.61 to 0.85 while the physical based approach had NSE coefficients ranging from 0.58 to0.69. Overall, on monthly scale, the SWAT model provides better results than that from the SWAT-JTH model. However, results generated from both methods seem to be fairly close at a daily scale. Thestructure of the temperature-index method is simple and produces reasonable simulation results if the parameters are well within empirical ranges. Although the data requirement for the energy balance method in current observation is difficult to meet and the existence of uncertainty is associated with the experimental approaches of physical processes, the SWAT-JTH model still produced a reasonably high NSE. We conclude that using temperature-index methods to simulate the snowmelt process is sufficient, but the energy balance-based model is still a good choice to simulate extreme weather conditions especially when the required data input for the model is acquired.展开更多
An estimation approach using least squares method was presented for identificationof model parameters of pressure control in shield tunneling.The state equation ofthe pressure control system for shield tunneling was a...An estimation approach using least squares method was presented for identificationof model parameters of pressure control in shield tunneling.The state equation ofthe pressure control system for shield tunneling was analytically derived based on themass equilibrium principle that the entry mass of the pressure chamber from cutting headwas equal to excluding mass from the screw conveyor.The randomly observed noise wasnumerically simulated and mixed to simulated observation values of system responses.The numerical simulation shows that the state equation of the pressure control system forshield tunneling is reasonable and the proposed estimation approach is effective even ifthe random observation noise exists.The robustness of the controlling procedure is validatedby numerical simulation results.展开更多
基金financially supported by the Ministry of Water Resources (MWR) public sector research and special funds-the most stringent in arid zone water resources management key technologies (201301103)National Nature Science Foundation of China (NSFC) under Grant No. 41130641, 41201025+1 种基金Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Eco-Oasis Open Topic-Moisture change in Central Asia and its influence on precipitation in Xinjang Province (XJDX0201-2013-07)the Tianshan Scholar Start-up Fund provided by Xinjiang University
文摘In order to predict long-term flooding under extreme weather conditions in central Asia, an energy balance-based distributed snowmelt runoff model was developed and coupled with the Soil and Water Assessment Tool(SWAT) model. The model was tested at the Juntanghu watershed on the northern slope of the Tian Shan Mountains, Xinjiang,China. We compared the performances of temperature-index method and energy balanced method in SWAT model by taking Juntanghu river basin as an application example(as the simulation experiment was conducted in Juntanghu River, we call the energy balanced method as SWAT-JTH). The results suggest that the SWAT snowmelt model had overall Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency(NSE) coefficients ranging from 0.61 to 0.85 while the physical based approach had NSE coefficients ranging from 0.58 to0.69. Overall, on monthly scale, the SWAT model provides better results than that from the SWAT-JTH model. However, results generated from both methods seem to be fairly close at a daily scale. Thestructure of the temperature-index method is simple and produces reasonable simulation results if the parameters are well within empirical ranges. Although the data requirement for the energy balance method in current observation is difficult to meet and the existence of uncertainty is associated with the experimental approaches of physical processes, the SWAT-JTH model still produced a reasonably high NSE. We conclude that using temperature-index methods to simulate the snowmelt process is sufficient, but the energy balance-based model is still a good choice to simulate extreme weather conditions especially when the required data input for the model is acquired.
基金Supported by the National Basic Research Program of China(2007CB714006)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(90815023)
文摘An estimation approach using least squares method was presented for identificationof model parameters of pressure control in shield tunneling.The state equation ofthe pressure control system for shield tunneling was analytically derived based on themass equilibrium principle that the entry mass of the pressure chamber from cutting headwas equal to excluding mass from the screw conveyor.The randomly observed noise wasnumerically simulated and mixed to simulated observation values of system responses.The numerical simulation shows that the state equation of the pressure control system forshield tunneling is reasonable and the proposed estimation approach is effective even ifthe random observation noise exists.The robustness of the controlling procedure is validatedby numerical simulation results.
