基于Delphi法构建手术室围术期低体温预防管理评价指标体系

目的 构建手术室围术期低体温预防管理评价指标体系。方法 2022年2月,以结构-过程-结果三维质量评价模式为理论框架,参考相关文献拟定手术室围术期低体温预防管理评价指标体系,采用德尔菲法对来自手术室护理管理、院内感染、麻醉领域的23名专家进行2轮专家函询,采用优序图法确定指标权重系数。结果 2轮专家函询的积极系数分别为100.0%和95.7%,专家权威系数分别为0.946和0.934,各项指标变异系数(CV)均<0.25,Kendall’s W值分别为0.419和0.359(均P<0.001),最终构建了包含3项一级指标、9项二级指标、53项三级指标的手术室围术期低体温预防管理评价指标体系。结论基于Delphi法构建手术室围术期低体温预防管理评价指标体系有较好的科学性和可靠性,可为手术室护理管理者提供参考,有利于临床开展科学、规范、统一的质量评价。

放心舒心消费城市建设成效评价体系的前置研究——以四川省绵遂乐雅区域为例

放心舒心消费城市评价指标是集中反映城市在放心舒心消费环境创建中各项工作开展情况的综合性指标,建立全面科学的评价指标,对引导城市高质量发展有着指导作用。文章从实地场景评价情况、消费者感受评价、实物评价三大维度选取了20项指标构建评价体系,并在四川省绵遂乐雅区域放心舒心消费环境监测项目中实施应用,计算得出各城市消费环境水平得分。结果表明:各城市得分排名与城市经济状况及当地政府的重视程度基本一致,建议通过建立长效机制、加大宣传引导等措施促进消费升级。放心舒心消费环境综合评价指标体系是创建放心舒心消费城市建设成效评价体系的重要前置研究,为四川省乃至全国放心舒心消费城市的创建提供有益借鉴。

运用德尔菲法对脑卒中患者情绪和社会功能障碍量表适用性的调查分析

目的探讨情绪和社会功能障碍量表在评估我国脑卒中患者情绪和社会功能障碍中的适用性。方法翻译并修订中文版情绪和社会功能障碍量表，拟定问卷对16名专家进行2轮咨询，并对专家意见的积极程度、协调程度和权威程度等指标进行统计分析。结果16名专家经过2轮咨询问卷，计算得出专家积极程度较高；专家权威系数为0.89；专家协调系数分别为0.375和0.571（P〈0.01）。初步修订成6个维度共27个条目的脑卒中患者情绪和社会功能障碍量表。结论该量表具有较高的可靠性和代表性，适合作为我国脑卒中患者情绪和社会功能障碍的评估工具，可以为医务人员及家属进行有针对性的心理干预提供参考依据。

Research on the Action Mechanism of Technology Foresight in Strategic Emerging Industries----Take The Delphi Method And Technology Roadmap For Example

Developing strategic emerging industries is the major strategic initiative to accelerate the transformation of economic development while Technology Foresight is a very effective tool. This essay analyses the roles and limitations of Delphi method and Technology Roadmap in development of strategic emerging industries and offers suggestions on how to strengthen the effectiveness of Technology Foresight in it.

Research on the Action Mechanism of Technology Foresight in Strategic Emerging Industries --Take the Delphi Method and Technology Roadmap for Example

Developing strategic emerging industries is the major strategic initiative to accelerate the transformation of economic development while Technology Foresight is a very effective tool. This essay analyses the roles and limitations of Delphi method and Technology Roadmap in development of strategic emerging industries and offers suggestions on how to strengthen the effectiveness of Technology Foresight in it.

Study on Identification Methods for Ecological Technologies

In this study, we first define ecological technologies and the need for identification technology, and we then examine all the present methods of identification technology： Delphi method, Technology Road Mapping Method, Analytic Hierarchy Process, Patentometric method and the text mining method. Among these methods, the combination of Delphi ＋ Analytic Hierarchy Process incorporates ecological technologies into social and economic systems for a systematic identification, and is able to build an index system for an identification model of ecological technologies, identifying technical features, technical level and performance, and economic, social and ecological benefits. Patentometric method presents an objective perspective for identification, based on the characteristics and the internal development logic of ecological technologies. We find that the Delphi ＋ Analytic Hierarchy Process and Patentometric method are the best choices for identification of ecological technologies, because both combine the advantages of qualitative and quantitative identification.