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基于LS-SVM的变压器最优维护周期研究 被引量:17
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作者 刘剑 刘开培 +1 位作者 周仕杰 郭玮 《中国电机工程学报》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2012年第22期94-103,13,共10页
优化变压器维护周期可提高变电站可靠性,降低变电站运行维护成本。基于最小二乘支持向量机(least squaressupport vector machines,LS-SVM)算法,结合成本–效益分析法对变压器维护周期优化进行研究。首先利用统计数据构建变压器缺陷树,... 优化变压器维护周期可提高变电站可靠性,降低变电站运行维护成本。基于最小二乘支持向量机(least squaressupport vector machines,LS-SVM)算法,结合成本–效益分析法对变压器维护周期优化进行研究。首先利用统计数据构建变压器缺陷树,并将缺陷数据、停电时间及缺陷权重专家数据等综合起来作为基础,在采用两层动态自适应优化法确定LS-SVM参数后,利用LS-SVM算法对变更维护计划后的缺陷数进行预测,将维护变更的成本(效益比较结果)作为量化约束条件,确定变压器的最优维护周期。采用该算法对某供电公司变压器进行评估,对变压器年度维护计划进行修正并实用,取得了较好的效果。 展开更多
关键词 最小二乘支持向量机 成本–效益分析法 两层动态自适应优化 变压器 维护周期
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Cost effectiveness analysis of population-based serology screening and ^(13)C-Urea breath test for Helicobacter pylori to prevent gastric cancer:A markov model 被引量:4
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作者 Feng Xie Nan Luo Hin-Peng Lee 《World Journal of Gastroenterology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2008年第19期3021-3027,共7页
AIM:To compare the costs and effectiveness of no screening and no eradication therapy, the population- based Helicobacter pylori (H pylori) serology screening with eradication therapy and 13C-Urea breath test (UBT) wi... AIM:To compare the costs and effectiveness of no screening and no eradication therapy, the population- based Helicobacter pylori (H pylori) serology screening with eradication therapy and 13C-Urea breath test (UBT) with eradication therapy. METHODS:A Markov model simulation was carried out in all 237 900 Chinese males with age between 35 and 44 from the perspective of the public healthcare provider in Singapore. The main outcome measures were the costs, number of gastric cancer cases prevented, life years saved, and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained from screening age to death. The uncertainty surrounding the cost-effectiveness ratio was addressed by one-way sensitivity analyses. RESULTS:Compared to no screening, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was $16 166 per life year saved or $13 571 per QALY gained for the serology screening, and $38 792 per life year saved and $32 525 per QALY gained for the UBT. The ICER was $477 079 per life year saved or $390 337 per QALY gained for the UBT compared to the serology screening. The cost- effectiveness of serology screening over the UBT was robust to most parameters in the model. CONCLUSION:The population-based serologyscreening for H pylori was more cost-effective than the UBT in prevention of gastric cancer in Singapore Chinese males. 展开更多
关键词 Cost-effectiveness analysis Gastric cancer He/icobacterpy/ori 13C-Urea breath test SEROLOGY
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Faster Focus Group Interviews--CurroCus Groups--An Improved Faster Approach to Collect Consumer Data
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作者 Kai Victor Hansen Hilde Kraggerud 《Sociology Study》 2011年第7期484-490,共7页
There is a need for cost-efficient methods in consumer research. Existing qualitative methods are expensive to conduct. This paper aims to improve the focus group method. The objective was to improve focus groups with... There is a need for cost-efficient methods in consumer research. Existing qualitative methods are expensive to conduct. This paper aims to improve the focus group method. The objective was to improve focus groups with different aims: shorter time conducting interviews, interview greater number of respondents, deliver results faster than traditionally analysis of data, and lower total cost. CurroCus groups of 15-45 minutes duration were tested in five different experiments, including 70 to 160 respondents in groups of 7-11 respondents. The name of the new method is formed from the word "Curro" in Latin that means speed in English, and "Cus" that is the last syllable of the word "focus", thereby forming a new word: CurroCus~ on the method. The results from testing of the CurroCus~ group method at different cases showed that trained moderators and observers could collect relevant responses in a given time for each group. It was possible to process a number of 6 to 10 respondents for each group. By conducting several successive groups, saturation of information was reached after an adequate number of CurroCus~ groups. Therefore, the total number of respondents can be optimized and results can be more precise, with reduced risk of inaccuracy. At the same time, the cost for each case can be lowered substantially, in our cases to approximately 1/10 of a traditional focus group cost. The role (skills) of the moderator is important. A disadvantage is the risk that some of the respondents are not able to express their thoughts in due time when time is limited. There is a need for more research on all parts of the CurroCus group process. 展开更多
关键词 CONSUMER CurroCus group FOCUS method development speed
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