After more than 30 years of rapid growth, the Chinese economy has entered the "new normal" of moderately high growth. Due to the effects of multiple factors, the international oil price has remained consiste...After more than 30 years of rapid growth, the Chinese economy has entered the "new normal" of moderately high growth. Due to the effects of multiple factors, the international oil price has remained consistently low. The low oil price has exerted critical effects on international natural gas investment. At the same time, the market-oriented price mechanism of natural gas in China is gradually taking shape; the concept of low carbon development is widely advocated; and the use of natural gas gains popularity in the city. Such factors provide great opportunities for investment in the natural gas market of China, including boiler coal-to-gas transformation, natural gas distributed energy and natural gas vehicles. However, risks also exist, such as the lower competitiveness of natural gas, its excess production capacity and dwindling consumption in some gas consumption industries, an insufficient driving force for facilitating the coal-to-gas transformation of industrial fuel users, reverse substitution of "coal in place of gas" in some enterprises, nontransparent costs of the downstream link of the natural gas price chain, and mismatches and nonsynchronous adjustments in natural gas prices and electricity prices.展开更多
Using the GARCH model to describe the risky asset's return process so thatits time-varying moments and conditional heteroskedasticity can be properly reflected,general multiperiod optimal investment and consumptio...Using the GARCH model to describe the risky asset's return process so thatits time-varying moments and conditional heteroskedasticity can be properly reflected,general multiperiod optimal investment and consumption problems with both fixed andproportional transactions costs are investigated in this paper. We model this kind ofdifficult problems as a dynamic stochastic optimization problem, which can cope withdifferent utility functions and any number of time periods. The procedure to solve theresulting complex nonlinear stochastic optimization problem is discussed in detail and abranch-decomposition algorithm is devised.展开更多
基金Fund project:"Development Research Center of Oil and Gas,Sichuan"(NO.SKY17-04)
文摘After more than 30 years of rapid growth, the Chinese economy has entered the "new normal" of moderately high growth. Due to the effects of multiple factors, the international oil price has remained consistently low. The low oil price has exerted critical effects on international natural gas investment. At the same time, the market-oriented price mechanism of natural gas in China is gradually taking shape; the concept of low carbon development is widely advocated; and the use of natural gas gains popularity in the city. Such factors provide great opportunities for investment in the natural gas market of China, including boiler coal-to-gas transformation, natural gas distributed energy and natural gas vehicles. However, risks also exist, such as the lower competitiveness of natural gas, its excess production capacity and dwindling consumption in some gas consumption industries, an insufficient driving force for facilitating the coal-to-gas transformation of industrial fuel users, reverse substitution of "coal in place of gas" in some enterprises, nontransparent costs of the downstream link of the natural gas price chain, and mismatches and nonsynchronous adjustments in natural gas prices and electricity prices.
基金This research is partially supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Shaanxi Province,China(2001SL09)
文摘Using the GARCH model to describe the risky asset's return process so thatits time-varying moments and conditional heteroskedasticity can be properly reflected,general multiperiod optimal investment and consumption problems with both fixed andproportional transactions costs are investigated in this paper. We model this kind ofdifficult problems as a dynamic stochastic optimization problem, which can cope withdifferent utility functions and any number of time periods. The procedure to solve theresulting complex nonlinear stochastic optimization problem is discussed in detail and abranch-decomposition algorithm is devised.
