A rational evaluation on an investment project forms the basis of a right investment decision making. The discounted cash flow (DCF for short) method is usually used as a traditional evaluation method for a project in...A rational evaluation on an investment project forms the basis of a right investment decision making. The discounted cash flow (DCF for short) method is usually used as a traditional evaluation method for a project investment. However, as the mining investment is influenced by many uncertainties, DCF method cannot take into account these uncertainties and often underestimates the value of an investment project. Based on the option pricing theory of the modern financial assets, the characteristics of a real project investment are discussed, and the management option of mine managers and its pricing method are described.展开更多
The random forest model is universal and easy to understand, which is often used for classification and prediction. However, it uses non-selective integration and the majority rule to judge the final result, thus the ...The random forest model is universal and easy to understand, which is often used for classification and prediction. However, it uses non-selective integration and the majority rule to judge the final result, thus the difference between the decision trees in the model is ignored and the prediction accuracy of the model is reduced. Taking into consideration these defects, an improved random forest model based on confusion matrix (CM-RF)is proposed. The decision tree cluster is selectively constructed by the similarity measure in the process of constructing the model, and the result is output by using the dynamic weighted voting fusion method in the final voting session. Experiments show that the proposed CM-RF can reduce the impact of low-performance decision trees on the output result, thus improving the accuracy and generalization ability of random forest model.展开更多
文摘A rational evaluation on an investment project forms the basis of a right investment decision making. The discounted cash flow (DCF for short) method is usually used as a traditional evaluation method for a project investment. However, as the mining investment is influenced by many uncertainties, DCF method cannot take into account these uncertainties and often underestimates the value of an investment project. Based on the option pricing theory of the modern financial assets, the characteristics of a real project investment are discussed, and the management option of mine managers and its pricing method are described.
基金Science Research Project of Gansu Provincial Transportation Department(No.2017-012)
文摘The random forest model is universal and easy to understand, which is often used for classification and prediction. However, it uses non-selective integration and the majority rule to judge the final result, thus the difference between the decision trees in the model is ignored and the prediction accuracy of the model is reduced. Taking into consideration these defects, an improved random forest model based on confusion matrix (CM-RF)is proposed. The decision tree cluster is selectively constructed by the similarity measure in the process of constructing the model, and the result is output by using the dynamic weighted voting fusion method in the final voting session. Experiments show that the proposed CM-RF can reduce the impact of low-performance decision trees on the output result, thus improving the accuracy and generalization ability of random forest model.
