In the numerical prediction of weather or climate events,the uncertainty of the initial values and/or prediction models can bring the forecast result’s uncertainty.Due to the absence of true states,studies on this pr...In the numerical prediction of weather or climate events,the uncertainty of the initial values and/or prediction models can bring the forecast result’s uncertainty.Due to the absence of true states,studies on this problem mainly focus on the three subproblems of predictability,i.e.,the lower bound of the maximum predictable time,the upper bound of the prediction error,and the lower bound of the maximum allowable initial error.Aimed at the problem of the lower bound estimation of the maximum allowable initial error,this study first illustrates the shortcoming of the existing estimation,and then presents a new estimation based on the initial observation precision and proves it theoretically.Furthermore,the new lower bound estimations of both the two-dimensional ikeda model and lorenz96 model are obtained by using the cnop(conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation)method and a pso(particle swarm optimization)algorithm,and the estimated precisions are also analyzed.Besides,the estimations yielded by the existing and new formulas are compared;the results show that the estimations produced by the existing formula are often incorrect.展开更多
Public companies issue periodic annual reports to give information about the past financial and operational results while presenting the future strategies. Companies release non-financial information concerned with co...Public companies issue periodic annual reports to give information about the past financial and operational results while presenting the future strategies. Companies release non-financial information concerned with corporate sustainability issues like market share, customer loyalty, supply chain management, corporate governance, and human resources in annual reports as well as the audited financial reports. Annual reports, one of the important instruments of transparency and disclosure, are widely used by shareholders and stakeholders. Recent laws and regulations in the US, European Union, and Turkey require enhanced disclosures in annual reports. In the first part of this study, a comparative regulatory framework for annual reports will be established under the Sarbanes Oxley Act (SOX), the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filing requirements, the New Turkish Commercial Code, and regulations of Capital Markets Board (CMB) of Turkey. In the second part of this study, annual reports of four sample companies listed in the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and Corporate Governance Index of Borsa Istanbul will be discussed in the light of disclosure requirements of Form 20-F. Findings of this study support the hypothesis which states that regulatory environment has a positive impact on the quantity and quality of disclosures. Attention is drawn to the need for global standardization to reduce the reporting variances and the need for independent audit of annual reports to increase the reliability.展开更多
The primary objective of the study was to evaluate baseline patient perception on single versus multiple community pharmacy systems. The secondary objective was to determine effects of a pharmacist provided educationa...The primary objective of the study was to evaluate baseline patient perception on single versus multiple community pharmacy systems. The secondary objective was to determine effects of a pharmacist provided educational intervention on perception of using a single community pharmacy system. This was a prospective survey based study implemented in a single grocery store chain pharmacy and one location of a large retail pharmacy. An anonymous pre-survey was administered to eligible patients. The primary investigator then delivered a brief educational intervention followed by an anonymous post survey. This aimed to determine if there was a change in perception of components assessed in the pre-survey. Data analysis was performed using descriptive statistics. Subjects reported using approximately 1.5 pharmacies. Major reasons included cost, location, and immunizations. 63% of subjects answered that their pharmacist will not have an accurate medication list when using multiple pharmacies, however, 92% of subjects responded that the pharmacist should be aware of all medications they take. Education on multiple pharmacy use may help protect against its risks. Cognizance of medications filled at other pharmacies and close communication between patients and pharmacists may help foster pharmacist-patient relationships while reducing the risk of multiple pharmacy use.展开更多
The domestic tourism development planning began in 1985. According to the research achievement distribution situation, tourism development planning research can be divided into initial stage( 1985-1998), development...The domestic tourism development planning began in 1985. According to the research achievement distribution situation, tourism development planning research can be divided into initial stage( 1985-1998), development stage(1999-2004) and prosperous stage(2005 till now). The research achievement has the features of earlier academic research start, slow quantity increase, rapid growth of newspaper quantity, wide distribution of region, research achievement total increase speed slower than social scientific research achievement quantity growth. The research has three aspects of problems: one is insufficient academic research system; two is report lacks of depth, continuity and unity; three is research achievement has overall decreasing trend. The domestic tourism development planning should strengthen the theoretical research, combine with theory and practice; strengthen thematic reports, mining depth information, and give full play to supervision function.展开更多
Total Cloud Cover (TCC) over China deter- mined from four climate datasets including the Interna- tional Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP), the 40-year Re-Analysis Project of the European Centre for Medi...Total Cloud Cover (TCC) over China deter- mined from four climate datasets including the Interna- tional Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP), the 40-year Re-Analysis Project of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ERA-40), Climate Research Unit Time Series 3.0 (CRU3), and ground sta- tion datasets are used to show spatial and temporal varia- tion of TCC and their differences. It is demonstrated that the four datasets show similar spatial pattern and seasonal variation. The maximum value is derived from ISCCE TCC value in North China derived from ERA-40 is 50% larger than that from the station dataset; however, the value is 50% less than that in South China. The annual TCC of ISCCP, ERA-40, and ground station datasets shows a decreasing trend during 1984-2002; however, an increasing trend is derived from CRU3. The results of this study imply remarkable differences of TCC derived from surface and satellite observations as well as model simu- lations. The potential effects of these differences on cloud climatology and associated climatic issues should be carefully considered.展开更多
Press has been found to have an impact on the outcome of electoral political campaigns. Press can distort the electorate's perception of an objective reality to fulfill the political orientation of its editorial line...Press has been found to have an impact on the outcome of electoral political campaigns. Press can distort the electorate's perception of an objective reality to fulfill the political orientation of its editorial line. This can be achieved in propaganda and in the rhetoric of excess. Within the framework of Critical Discourse Analysis (CDA), this paper has conducted a thematic content analysis to study the rhetoric of excess in the construction of political identity and relations in 100 articles pertaining to two different ideologically oriented Tunisian newspapers, namely Le Maghreb and El Dhamir. The study covered the period from December 26, 2011 to December 26, 2012. Results have shown a low level of impartiality violating Gricean maxims of quality and quantity. This tendency could culminate in violence and undermine the public's confidence in the media. Proactive measures of media management are recommended.展开更多
This paper explores whether investors can assess the company's growth and risk management according to the company's financial statements in the capital market or not. The company's growth will affect the company'...This paper explores whether investors can assess the company's growth and risk management according to the company's financial statements in the capital market or not. The company's growth will affect the company's earnings manipulation for earnings management which is often encountered in corporate governance problems. This research constructs the research hypothesis on this basis of the summary and analysis of the relevant theory, using the data from Chinese listed corporation during the period of 2009-2011, and designs the empirical model to prove it. The study found that for Chinese listed corporation, the higher the company's growth and business risk, the higher the degree of earnings management. The degree of earnings management will be high when the growth of the company and the business risk exist at the same time.展开更多
Accurately measuring labor's share of income is of great importance for China 'S national policies, particularly its labor compensation policies during the 12th Five Year Plan period. This paper first analyses the m...Accurately measuring labor's share of income is of great importance for China 'S national policies, particularly its labor compensation policies during the 12th Five Year Plan period. This paper first analyses the measurement problems of labor's share of income from the perspectives of definition and data and their influences on the accuracy of the measurement results. Then it sums up and appraises several adjustment methods for existing measurement problems. Finally, the author estimates the operating surplus of private, unincorporated enterprises (OSPUE) in China using data from Urban household survey (UHS), Rural household survey (RHS) and population survey, and further makes a correction to labor's share of income in China from 1993 to 2008 with data from flow of funds accounts. Finally, the author conducted trend analysis and international comparisons using the results obtained from the first part of the paper.展开更多
To eliminate computational problems involved in evaluating multi-attribute bids with differentmeasures,this article first normalizes each individual component of a bid,and then makes use ofthe weighted product method ...To eliminate computational problems involved in evaluating multi-attribute bids with differentmeasures,this article first normalizes each individual component of a bid,and then makes use ofthe weighted product method to present a new scoring function that converts each bid into a score.Twokinds of multi-attribute auction models are introduced in terms of scoring rules and bidding objectivefunctions.Equilibrium bidding strategies,procurer's revenue comparisons and optimal auction designare characterized in these two models.Finally,this article discusses some improvement of robustnessof our models,with respect to the assumptions.展开更多
Slope stability estimation is an engineering problem that involves several parameters. To address these problems, a hybrid model based on the combination of support vector machine(SVM) and particle swarm optimization(...Slope stability estimation is an engineering problem that involves several parameters. To address these problems, a hybrid model based on the combination of support vector machine(SVM) and particle swarm optimization(PSO) is proposed in this study to improve the forecasting performance. PSO was employed in selecting the appropriate SVM parameters to enhance the forecasting accuracy. Several important parameters, including the magnitude of unit weight, cohesion, angle of internal friction, slope angle, height, pore water pressure coefficient, were used as the input parameters, while the status of slope was the output parameter. The results show that the PSO-SVM is a powerful computational tool that can be used to predict the slope stability.展开更多
Flood classification is an effective way to improve flood forecasting accuracy. According to the opposite unity mathematical theorem in Variable Sets theory, this paper proposes a Variable Sets principle and method fo...Flood classification is an effective way to improve flood forecasting accuracy. According to the opposite unity mathematical theorem in Variable Sets theory, this paper proposes a Variable Sets principle and method for flood classification, which is based on the mathematical theorem of dialectics basic laws. This newly proposed method explores a novel way to analyze and solve engineering problems by utilizing a dialectical thinking. In this paper, the Tuwei River basin, located in the Yellow River tributary, is taken as an example for flood classification. The results obtained in this study reveal the problems in a previous method—Set Pair Analysis classification method. The variable sets method is proven to be theoretically rigorous, computationally simple. The classification results are objective, accurate and consistent with the actual situations. This study demonstrates the significant importance of using a scientifically sound method in solving engineering problems.展开更多
Soft drinks have many potential health problems.The inherent acids and sugars have both acidogenic and cariogenic potential,resulting in dental caries and potential enamel erosion.In this report we present a 25-year-o...Soft drinks have many potential health problems.The inherent acids and sugars have both acidogenic and cariogenic potential,resulting in dental caries and potential enamel erosion.In this report we present a 25-year-old man complaining with the severe worn-out of the front teeth during the past 3 years.He had a history of drinking cola for more than 7 years and had a poor oral hygiene.Severe decays were present in the incisors and the canines,while less severe lesions were noted on the premolars and the molars.The review is to show the relationship between dental erosion and caries and soft drinks.Some efforts have been taken to reduce the harmful effect of soft drinks.展开更多
Bayesian model averaging(BMA) is a recently proposed statistical method for calibrating forecast ensembles from numerical weather models.However,successful implementation of BMA requires accurate estimates of the weig...Bayesian model averaging(BMA) is a recently proposed statistical method for calibrating forecast ensembles from numerical weather models.However,successful implementation of BMA requires accurate estimates of the weights and variances of the individual competing models in the ensemble.Two methods,namely the Expectation-Maximization(EM) and the Markov Chain Monte Carlo(MCMC) algorithms,are widely used for BMA model training.Both methods have their own respective strengths and weaknesses.In this paper,we first modify the BMA log-likelihood function with the aim of removing the addi-tional limitation that requires that the BMA weights add to one,and then use a limited memory quasi-Newtonian algorithm for solving the nonlinear optimization problem,thereby formulating a new approach for BMA(referred to as BMA-BFGS).Several groups of multi-model soil moisture simulation experiments from three land surface models show that the performance of BMA-BFGS is similar to the MCMC method in terms of simulation accuracy,and that both are superior to the EM algo-rithm.On the other hand,the computational cost of the BMA-BFGS algorithm is substantially less than for MCMC and is al-most equivalent to that for EM.展开更多
This paper studies the strong n(n =—1,0)-discount and finite horizon criteria for continuoustime Markov decision processes in Polish spaces.The corresponding transition rates are allowed to be unbounded,and the rewar...This paper studies the strong n(n =—1,0)-discount and finite horizon criteria for continuoustime Markov decision processes in Polish spaces.The corresponding transition rates are allowed to be unbounded,and the reward rates may have neither upper nor lower bounds.Under mild conditions,the authors prove the existence of strong n(n =—1,0)-discount optimal stationary policies by developing two equivalence relations:One is between the standard expected average reward and strong—1-discount optimality,and the other is between the bias and strong 0-discount optimality.The authors also prove the existence of an optimal policy for a finite horizon control problem by developing an interesting characterization of a canonical triplet.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.41331174)
文摘In the numerical prediction of weather or climate events,the uncertainty of the initial values and/or prediction models can bring the forecast result’s uncertainty.Due to the absence of true states,studies on this problem mainly focus on the three subproblems of predictability,i.e.,the lower bound of the maximum predictable time,the upper bound of the prediction error,and the lower bound of the maximum allowable initial error.Aimed at the problem of the lower bound estimation of the maximum allowable initial error,this study first illustrates the shortcoming of the existing estimation,and then presents a new estimation based on the initial observation precision and proves it theoretically.Furthermore,the new lower bound estimations of both the two-dimensional ikeda model and lorenz96 model are obtained by using the cnop(conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation)method and a pso(particle swarm optimization)algorithm,and the estimated precisions are also analyzed.Besides,the estimations yielded by the existing and new formulas are compared;the results show that the estimations produced by the existing formula are often incorrect.
文摘Public companies issue periodic annual reports to give information about the past financial and operational results while presenting the future strategies. Companies release non-financial information concerned with corporate sustainability issues like market share, customer loyalty, supply chain management, corporate governance, and human resources in annual reports as well as the audited financial reports. Annual reports, one of the important instruments of transparency and disclosure, are widely used by shareholders and stakeholders. Recent laws and regulations in the US, European Union, and Turkey require enhanced disclosures in annual reports. In the first part of this study, a comparative regulatory framework for annual reports will be established under the Sarbanes Oxley Act (SOX), the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filing requirements, the New Turkish Commercial Code, and regulations of Capital Markets Board (CMB) of Turkey. In the second part of this study, annual reports of four sample companies listed in the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and Corporate Governance Index of Borsa Istanbul will be discussed in the light of disclosure requirements of Form 20-F. Findings of this study support the hypothesis which states that regulatory environment has a positive impact on the quantity and quality of disclosures. Attention is drawn to the need for global standardization to reduce the reporting variances and the need for independent audit of annual reports to increase the reliability.
文摘The primary objective of the study was to evaluate baseline patient perception on single versus multiple community pharmacy systems. The secondary objective was to determine effects of a pharmacist provided educational intervention on perception of using a single community pharmacy system. This was a prospective survey based study implemented in a single grocery store chain pharmacy and one location of a large retail pharmacy. An anonymous pre-survey was administered to eligible patients. The primary investigator then delivered a brief educational intervention followed by an anonymous post survey. This aimed to determine if there was a change in perception of components assessed in the pre-survey. Data analysis was performed using descriptive statistics. Subjects reported using approximately 1.5 pharmacies. Major reasons included cost, location, and immunizations. 63% of subjects answered that their pharmacist will not have an accurate medication list when using multiple pharmacies, however, 92% of subjects responded that the pharmacist should be aware of all medications they take. Education on multiple pharmacy use may help protect against its risks. Cognizance of medications filled at other pharmacies and close communication between patients and pharmacists may help foster pharmacist-patient relationships while reducing the risk of multiple pharmacy use.
文摘The domestic tourism development planning began in 1985. According to the research achievement distribution situation, tourism development planning research can be divided into initial stage( 1985-1998), development stage(1999-2004) and prosperous stage(2005 till now). The research achievement has the features of earlier academic research start, slow quantity increase, rapid growth of newspaper quantity, wide distribution of region, research achievement total increase speed slower than social scientific research achievement quantity growth. The research has three aspects of problems: one is insufficient academic research system; two is report lacks of depth, continuity and unity; three is research achievement has overall decreasing trend. The domestic tourism development planning should strengthen the theoretical research, combine with theory and practice; strengthen thematic reports, mining depth information, and give full play to supervision function.
基金supported by the "Strategic Priority Research Program" of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(XDA05100300)the National Basic Research Program of China(2013CB955801)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41175030)
文摘Total Cloud Cover (TCC) over China deter- mined from four climate datasets including the Interna- tional Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP), the 40-year Re-Analysis Project of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ERA-40), Climate Research Unit Time Series 3.0 (CRU3), and ground sta- tion datasets are used to show spatial and temporal varia- tion of TCC and their differences. It is demonstrated that the four datasets show similar spatial pattern and seasonal variation. The maximum value is derived from ISCCE TCC value in North China derived from ERA-40 is 50% larger than that from the station dataset; however, the value is 50% less than that in South China. The annual TCC of ISCCP, ERA-40, and ground station datasets shows a decreasing trend during 1984-2002; however, an increasing trend is derived from CRU3. The results of this study imply remarkable differences of TCC derived from surface and satellite observations as well as model simu- lations. The potential effects of these differences on cloud climatology and associated climatic issues should be carefully considered.
文摘Press has been found to have an impact on the outcome of electoral political campaigns. Press can distort the electorate's perception of an objective reality to fulfill the political orientation of its editorial line. This can be achieved in propaganda and in the rhetoric of excess. Within the framework of Critical Discourse Analysis (CDA), this paper has conducted a thematic content analysis to study the rhetoric of excess in the construction of political identity and relations in 100 articles pertaining to two different ideologically oriented Tunisian newspapers, namely Le Maghreb and El Dhamir. The study covered the period from December 26, 2011 to December 26, 2012. Results have shown a low level of impartiality violating Gricean maxims of quality and quantity. This tendency could culminate in violence and undermine the public's confidence in the media. Proactive measures of media management are recommended.
文摘This paper explores whether investors can assess the company's growth and risk management according to the company's financial statements in the capital market or not. The company's growth will affect the company's earnings manipulation for earnings management which is often encountered in corporate governance problems. This research constructs the research hypothesis on this basis of the summary and analysis of the relevant theory, using the data from Chinese listed corporation during the period of 2009-2011, and designs the empirical model to prove it. The study found that for Chinese listed corporation, the higher the company's growth and business risk, the higher the degree of earnings management. The degree of earnings management will be high when the growth of the company and the business risk exist at the same time.
文摘Accurately measuring labor's share of income is of great importance for China 'S national policies, particularly its labor compensation policies during the 12th Five Year Plan period. This paper first analyses the measurement problems of labor's share of income from the perspectives of definition and data and their influences on the accuracy of the measurement results. Then it sums up and appraises several adjustment methods for existing measurement problems. Finally, the author estimates the operating surplus of private, unincorporated enterprises (OSPUE) in China using data from Urban household survey (UHS), Rural household survey (RHS) and population survey, and further makes a correction to labor's share of income in China from 1993 to 2008 with data from flow of funds accounts. Finally, the author conducted trend analysis and international comparisons using the results obtained from the first part of the paper.
基金supported by the Foundation for the Author of National Excellent Doctoral Dissertation of China under Grant No. 200159National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No. 70571014
文摘To eliminate computational problems involved in evaluating multi-attribute bids with differentmeasures,this article first normalizes each individual component of a bid,and then makes use ofthe weighted product method to present a new scoring function that converts each bid into a score.Twokinds of multi-attribute auction models are introduced in terms of scoring rules and bidding objectivefunctions.Equilibrium bidding strategies,procurer's revenue comparisons and optimal auction designare characterized in these two models.Finally,this article discusses some improvement of robustnessof our models,with respect to the assumptions.
文摘Slope stability estimation is an engineering problem that involves several parameters. To address these problems, a hybrid model based on the combination of support vector machine(SVM) and particle swarm optimization(PSO) is proposed in this study to improve the forecasting performance. PSO was employed in selecting the appropriate SVM parameters to enhance the forecasting accuracy. Several important parameters, including the magnitude of unit weight, cohesion, angle of internal friction, slope angle, height, pore water pressure coefficient, were used as the input parameters, while the status of slope was the output parameter. The results show that the PSO-SVM is a powerful computational tool that can be used to predict the slope stability.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 51209032, 50779005)
文摘Flood classification is an effective way to improve flood forecasting accuracy. According to the opposite unity mathematical theorem in Variable Sets theory, this paper proposes a Variable Sets principle and method for flood classification, which is based on the mathematical theorem of dialectics basic laws. This newly proposed method explores a novel way to analyze and solve engineering problems by utilizing a dialectical thinking. In this paper, the Tuwei River basin, located in the Yellow River tributary, is taken as an example for flood classification. The results obtained in this study reveal the problems in a previous method—Set Pair Analysis classification method. The variable sets method is proven to be theoretically rigorous, computationally simple. The classification results are objective, accurate and consistent with the actual situations. This study demonstrates the significant importance of using a scientifically sound method in solving engineering problems.
基金(No.NCET-05-0790) supported by the Program for New Century Excellent Talents in University,China
文摘Soft drinks have many potential health problems.The inherent acids and sugars have both acidogenic and cariogenic potential,resulting in dental caries and potential enamel erosion.In this report we present a 25-year-old man complaining with the severe worn-out of the front teeth during the past 3 years.He had a history of drinking cola for more than 7 years and had a poor oral hygiene.Severe decays were present in the incisors and the canines,while less severe lesions were noted on the premolars and the molars.The review is to show the relationship between dental erosion and caries and soft drinks.Some efforts have been taken to reduce the harmful effect of soft drinks.
基金supported by National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No. 2010CB428403)National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No.41075076)Knowledge Innovation Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No.KZCX2-EW-QN207)
文摘Bayesian model averaging(BMA) is a recently proposed statistical method for calibrating forecast ensembles from numerical weather models.However,successful implementation of BMA requires accurate estimates of the weights and variances of the individual competing models in the ensemble.Two methods,namely the Expectation-Maximization(EM) and the Markov Chain Monte Carlo(MCMC) algorithms,are widely used for BMA model training.Both methods have their own respective strengths and weaknesses.In this paper,we first modify the BMA log-likelihood function with the aim of removing the addi-tional limitation that requires that the BMA weights add to one,and then use a limited memory quasi-Newtonian algorithm for solving the nonlinear optimization problem,thereby formulating a new approach for BMA(referred to as BMA-BFGS).Several groups of multi-model soil moisture simulation experiments from three land surface models show that the performance of BMA-BFGS is similar to the MCMC method in terms of simulation accuracy,and that both are superior to the EM algo-rithm.On the other hand,the computational cost of the BMA-BFGS algorithm is substantially less than for MCMC and is al-most equivalent to that for EM.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos.61374080 and 61374067the Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang Province under Grant No.LY12F03010+1 种基金the Natural Science Foundation of Ningbo under Grant No.2012A610032Project Funded by the Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions
文摘This paper studies the strong n(n =—1,0)-discount and finite horizon criteria for continuoustime Markov decision processes in Polish spaces.The corresponding transition rates are allowed to be unbounded,and the reward rates may have neither upper nor lower bounds.Under mild conditions,the authors prove the existence of strong n(n =—1,0)-discount optimal stationary policies by developing two equivalence relations:One is between the standard expected average reward and strong—1-discount optimality,and the other is between the bias and strong 0-discount optimality.The authors also prove the existence of an optimal policy for a finite horizon control problem by developing an interesting characterization of a canonical triplet.