反补贴已经成为WTO成员间贸易摩擦热点,产业损害是反补贴调查的重要内容,而产业损害幅度的确定是产业损害认定的核心问题。本文基于反事实分析与主成分分析方法,运用管理统计学与计量经济学模型,构建反补贴产业损害确定的FC(Factor anal...反补贴已经成为WTO成员间贸易摩擦热点,产业损害是反补贴调查的重要内容,而产业损害幅度的确定是产业损害认定的核心问题。本文基于反事实分析与主成分分析方法,运用管理统计学与计量经济学模型,构建反补贴产业损害确定的FC(Factor analysis and Counterfactanalysis)组合分析法。同时,结合2006年中美铜版纸案件进行实证研究并得出相应结论,以期给我国进口反补贴调查机关在实施进口反补贴措施中的产业损害确定提供现实借鉴。展开更多
The paper describes firstly the principles and scientific train of thought involved in determining the significant seismic monitoring and protection regions (SSMPR) in China. The principles include the gradation princ...The paper describes firstly the principles and scientific train of thought involved in determining the significant seismic monitoring and protection regions (SSMPR) in China. The principles include the gradation principle, i.e. the national level SSMPR and the provincial level SSMPR, the principle of highlighting priorities, namely, the area of an SSMPR should be a fraction of the total area of the country or of the respective province, but the earthquake losses incurred in SSMPR should be a major proportion of the national or provincial ones. The scientific train of thought adopted is to determine the SSMPR on the basis of seismic hazard assessment and loss estimation. Secondly, it reviews the achievements in determining the SSMPRs for the period from 1996 to 2005. The result shows that 10 strong earthquakes occurred during that period in the areas with earthquake monitoring and prediction capability available on the Chinese continent, 8 of which occurred in SSMPRs with the economic loss and death toll accounting for 67% and 92% of the total loss on the Chinese mainland. Lastly, the paper introduces preparatory research for determining the SSMPR for the period from 2006 to 2020, including decade-scale mid-and long-range seismic risk assessment based on seismology, seismogeology, geodesy, earthquake engineering, sociology and stochastics and so on, and the national seismic risk probability map, the seismic hazard (intensity) map, earthquake disaster losses map and the comprehensive seismic risk index, etc. obtained for the period of 2006 to 2020.展开更多
文摘反补贴已经成为WTO成员间贸易摩擦热点,产业损害是反补贴调查的重要内容,而产业损害幅度的确定是产业损害认定的核心问题。本文基于反事实分析与主成分分析方法,运用管理统计学与计量经济学模型,构建反补贴产业损害确定的FC(Factor analysis and Counterfactanalysis)组合分析法。同时,结合2006年中美铜版纸案件进行实证研究并得出相应结论,以期给我国进口反补贴调查机关在实施进口反补贴措施中的产业损害确定提供现实借鉴。
基金the Special Public Welfare Project of Ministry of Science and Technology of China (2004DIA3J010)
文摘The paper describes firstly the principles and scientific train of thought involved in determining the significant seismic monitoring and protection regions (SSMPR) in China. The principles include the gradation principle, i.e. the national level SSMPR and the provincial level SSMPR, the principle of highlighting priorities, namely, the area of an SSMPR should be a fraction of the total area of the country or of the respective province, but the earthquake losses incurred in SSMPR should be a major proportion of the national or provincial ones. The scientific train of thought adopted is to determine the SSMPR on the basis of seismic hazard assessment and loss estimation. Secondly, it reviews the achievements in determining the SSMPRs for the period from 1996 to 2005. The result shows that 10 strong earthquakes occurred during that period in the areas with earthquake monitoring and prediction capability available on the Chinese continent, 8 of which occurred in SSMPRs with the economic loss and death toll accounting for 67% and 92% of the total loss on the Chinese mainland. Lastly, the paper introduces preparatory research for determining the SSMPR for the period from 2006 to 2020, including decade-scale mid-and long-range seismic risk assessment based on seismology, seismogeology, geodesy, earthquake engineering, sociology and stochastics and so on, and the national seismic risk probability map, the seismic hazard (intensity) map, earthquake disaster losses map and the comprehensive seismic risk index, etc. obtained for the period of 2006 to 2020.
