Time series prediction has been successfully used in several application areas, such as meteoro-logical forecasting, market prediction, network traffic forecasting, etc. , and a number of techniques have been develop...Time series prediction has been successfully used in several application areas, such as meteoro-logical forecasting, market prediction, network traffic forecasting, etc. , and a number of techniques have been developed for modeling and predicting time series. In the traditional exponential smoothing method, a fixed weight is assigned to data history, and the trend changes of time series are ignored. In this paper, an uncertainty reasoning method, based on cloud model, is employed in time series prediction, which uses cloud logic controller to adjust the smoothing coefficient of the simple exponential smoothing method dynamically to fit the current trend of the time series. The validity of this solution was proved by experiments on various data sets.展开更多
In this study,a numerical study based on Euler equations and coupled with detail chemistry model is used to improve the propulsion performance and stability of the rotating detonation engine.The proposed fuel injectio...In this study,a numerical study based on Euler equations and coupled with detail chemistry model is used to improve the propulsion performance and stability of the rotating detonation engine.The proposed fuel injection called stratified injection functions by suppressing the isobaric combustion process occurring on the contact surface between fuel and detonation products,and thus the proportion of fuel consumed by detonation wave increases from 67%to 95%,leading to more self-pressure gain and lower entropy generation.A pre-mixed hydrogen-oxygen-nitrogen mixture is used as a reactive mixture.The computational results show that the propulsion performance and the operation stability of the engine with stratified injection are both improved,the temperature of the flow field is notably decreased,the specific impulse of the engine is improved by 16.3%,and the average temperature of the engine with stratified injection is reduced by 19.1%.展开更多
文摘Time series prediction has been successfully used in several application areas, such as meteoro-logical forecasting, market prediction, network traffic forecasting, etc. , and a number of techniques have been developed for modeling and predicting time series. In the traditional exponential smoothing method, a fixed weight is assigned to data history, and the trend changes of time series are ignored. In this paper, an uncertainty reasoning method, based on cloud model, is employed in time series prediction, which uses cloud logic controller to adjust the smoothing coefficient of the simple exponential smoothing method dynamically to fit the current trend of the time series. The validity of this solution was proved by experiments on various data sets.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.11702329)the Open Project Program of the State Key Laboratory of Aerodynamics of China Aerodynamics Research and Development Center(CARDC)(No.SKLA20180101)+1 种基金the CARDC Fundamental and Frontier Technology Research Fund(No.PJD20180143)the Open Project Program of Rotor Aerodynamics Key Laboratory(No.RAL20180403),China。
文摘In this study,a numerical study based on Euler equations and coupled with detail chemistry model is used to improve the propulsion performance and stability of the rotating detonation engine.The proposed fuel injection called stratified injection functions by suppressing the isobaric combustion process occurring on the contact surface between fuel and detonation products,and thus the proportion of fuel consumed by detonation wave increases from 67%to 95%,leading to more self-pressure gain and lower entropy generation.A pre-mixed hydrogen-oxygen-nitrogen mixture is used as a reactive mixture.The computational results show that the propulsion performance and the operation stability of the engine with stratified injection are both improved,the temperature of the flow field is notably decreased,the specific impulse of the engine is improved by 16.3%,and the average temperature of the engine with stratified injection is reduced by 19.1%.