China＇s energy carbon emissions are projected to peak in 2030 with approximately 110% of its 2020 level under the following conditions： 1） China＇s gross primary energy consumption is 5 Gtce in 2020 and 6 Gtce in 2...China＇s energy carbon emissions are projected to peak in 2030 with approximately 110% of its 2020 level under the following conditions： 1） China＇s gross primary energy consumption is 5 Gtce in 2020 and 6 Gtce in 2030; 2） coal＇s share of the energy consumption is 61% in 2020 and 55% in 2030; 3） non-fossil energy＇s share increases from 15% in 2020 to 20% in 2030; 4） through 2030, China＇s GDP grows at an average annual rate of 6%; 5） the annual energy consumption elasticity coefficient is 0.30 in average; and 6） the annual growth rate of energy consumption steadily reduces to within 1%. China＇s electricity generating capacity would be 1,990 GW, with 8,600 TW h of power generation output in 2020. Of that output 66% would be from coal, 5% from gas, and 29% from non-fossil energy. By 2030, electricity generating capacity would reach 3,170 GW with 11,900 TW h of power generation output. Of that output, 56% would be from coal, 6% from gas, and 37% from non-fossil energy. From 2020 to 2030, CO2 emissions from electric power would relatively fall by 0.2 Gt due to lower coal consumption, and rela- tively fall by nearly 0.3 Gt with the installation of more coal-fired cogeneration units. During 2020--2030, the portion of carbon emissions from electric power in China＇s energy consumption is projected to increase by 3.4 percentage points. Although the carbon emissions from electric power would keep increasing to 118% of the 2020 level in 2030, the electric power industry would continue to play a decisive role in achieving the goal of increase in non-fossil energy use. This study proposes countermeasures and recommendations to control carbon emissions peak, including energy system optimization, green-coal-fired electricity generation, and demand side management.展开更多
Pancreatic cancer ranks tenth in terms of newly diagnosed cases, but just 10%–15% of these patients can undergo resection. Survival after curative surgery is dismal, as recurrences occur either locally or in the live...Pancreatic cancer ranks tenth in terms of newly diagnosed cases, but just 10%–15% of these patients can undergo resection. Survival after curative surgery is dismal, as recurrences occur either locally or in the liver. Adjuvant treatment with either chemotherapy or chemoradiation (with or without maintenance chemotherapy) has been employed, to improve the poor prognosis. Justification for the use of chemoradiation, with follow on chemotherapy, is based on the results of an underpowered 1987 GITSG study, which closed prematurely and compared intervention to observation. There has been no survival advantage demonstrated in the one randomized controlled trial that examined chemoradiation compared to chemotherapy. There is a clear cut survival advantage however with chemotherapy compared to observation, based on the results from two large randomized controlled trials, and supported by an individual patient data meta-analysis. The standard of care for adjuvant therapy based on level I evidence (from the ESPAC-1 trial) is post operative chemotherapy using 5-Fluorouracil with folinic acid providing a best estimate of 29% five years survival.展开更多
In this paper,using the input-output model,the author first calculated the CO 2 emissions embodied in exports of China in 2002 and 2007.Then,the author empirically analyzed problems existing in the composition of expo...In this paper,using the input-output model,the author first calculated the CO 2 emissions embodied in exports of China in 2002 and 2007.Then,the author empirically analyzed problems existing in the composition of exported products and analyzed its possible reasons.The research results of this paper are as follows:Since China's entry into WTO,the CO 2 emissions embodied in exports of China have been increasing rapidly;the value of exported products of high-carbon emissions industries accounts for a relatively higher proportion to China's total exports value because China's carbon intensive products have a certain competitive advantage.Additionally,this paper has put forward relevant suggestions based on these results.展开更多
To fully analyze emission characteristics of VOCs （Volatile Organic Compounds） from automobile coating industry in Chongqing city, related enterprises in the city were investigated in detail. The results show that t...To fully analyze emission characteristics of VOCs （Volatile Organic Compounds） from automobile coating industry in Chongqing city, related enterprises in the city were investigated in detail. The results show that the emission of VOCs from the automobile industry in Chongqing city was approximately 20,000 t in 2012, and the contribution rate of automobile coating was 83%. Most VOCs discharged from automobile coating industry were mainly from the use of coatings, diluents, curing agents and other materials containing VOCs. During the process of automobile coating, VOCs were mainly produced during the processes of spraying and drying. Besides, VOCs are partly produced during the processes of mixing paint, gluing, waxing and repairing. The major ingredients of VOCs discharged during the process of automobile coating were methylbenzene, dimethylbenzene, trimethylbenzene, cumene, ethyl acetate, butyl alcohol, n-butyl alcohol, isobutyl alcohol, formaldehyde, butanone, acetone, cyclohexanone and methyl ethyl ketone. Besides, the ingredients of naphtha and aromatic hydrocarbon in VOCs need to be determined. The maximum OFP （Ozone Formation Potential） of the above pollutants by the typical enterprises was 900-1,300 mg/m^3. The production of SOA （Secondary Organic Aerosol） was 3,636-11,073 t/a, which didn’t include the contribution of aldehydes, ketones, ethers and esters to SOA. This research could provide scientific reference for the establishment of emission standard, control technology and management methods of VOCs from automobile coating industry that accord with economic and social development in Chongqing city.展开更多
China is one of the major producers of chlorodifluoromethane(HCFC-22)in the world.A large amount of fluoroform(HFC-23)is emitted during the production of HCFC-22.Emission factors of HFC-23 were calculated in accordanc...China is one of the major producers of chlorodifluoromethane(HCFC-22)in the world.A large amount of fluoroform(HFC-23)is emitted during the production of HCFC-22.Emission factors of HFC-23 were calculated in accordance with the monitoring reports of eleven HFC-23 clean development mechanism(CDM)projects in China and the HFC-23emissions in 2000–2010 as well as that in 2011–2020 were estimated and projected,respectively.It is expected that,by the end of 2020,emissions of HFC-23 in China will be as much as 230 Mt CO2-eq.If HCFC-22 producers voluntarily reduced HFC-23 emissions,it would contribute 3.2%–3.6%to the national CO2emission reduction target for 2020.展开更多
This article explores, through a case study, measures of energy efficiency in data processing centers. An analysis of this case demonstrates how the design criteria could improve the rate of consumption in IT centers,...This article explores, through a case study, measures of energy efficiency in data processing centers. An analysis of this case demonstrates how the design criteria could improve the rate of consumption in IT centers, which is currently the second most contaminating industry on the planet, and is the responsible for 2% of CO2 emissions, surpassed only by the aeronautical industry. The present and future situation of IT center energy consumption and associated environmental effects is analyzed, and also looks at how state-of-the-art technology, correctly implemented, could ensure significant rationalization of data processing center energy consumption. The article will examine optimization techniques, specific problems and case studies.展开更多
An electricity generation planning model of the six major Chinese power grids was developed based on the General Algebraic Modeling System to evaluate and analyze the CDM （clean development mechanism）, including con...An electricity generation planning model of the six major Chinese power grids was developed based on the General Algebraic Modeling System to evaluate and analyze the CDM （clean development mechanism）, including consideration of the environmental co-benefits of reductions in air pollutants （SO~, NO~ and particulate matter） achieved by advanced electricity generation technologies incorporating CCS （carbon capture and storage）. An objective function was developed that included revenue from sales of electric power, total system cost, the cost of CO2 transport and storage, and emissions reduction co-benefits for SOx, NO~, and particulate matter. The objective function was minimized using an optimization model. We also developed a method for evaluating and analyzing the potential for transferring advanced power generation technologies into the Chinese power system through the CDM. We found that： （1） thermal power generation is predominant in the Chinese electricity system and will remain so for a long time; （2） advanced thermal plants are being installed as a result of the CDM, which contribute to decreasing emissions of CO2 and other air pollutants; and （3） CCS projects have significant potential to reduce substantial and sustained CO2 emissions from the Chinese power and industrial sectors.展开更多
Background:Adjuvant(chemo)radiotherapy(A(C)RT)may be an important supplement to surgery for extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma(EHCC).However,whether all patients would achieve benefits from A(C)RT and which adjuvant regi...Background:Adjuvant(chemo)radiotherapy(A(C)RT)may be an important supplement to surgery for extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma(EHCC).However,whether all patients would achieve benefits from A(C)RT and which adjuvant regimen,adjuvant radiotherapy(ART)or adjuvant chemoradiotherapy(ACRT),would be preferred,are still undetermined.The low incidence of EHCC makes it difficult to carry out randomized controlled trials(RCTs);therefore,almost all clinical studies on radiotherapy are retrospective.We have conducted a meta-analysis of these retrospective studies.Methods:We conducted a meta-analysis of current retrospective studies using PubMed,Embase,and ClinicalTrials databases.All studies published in English that were related to A(C)RT and which analyzed overall survival(OS),disease-free survival(DFS),or locoregional recurrence-free survival(LRFS)were included.Estimated hazard ratios(HRs)were calculated for OS,DFS,and LRFS.Results:Data from eight studies including 685 patients were included.Our analysis showed that A(C)RT significantly improved OS(HR 0.69,95%confidence interval(CI)0.48–0.97,P=0.03),DFS(HR 0.60,95%CI 0.47–0.76,P<0.0001),and LRFS(HR 0.27,95%CI 0.17–0.41,P<0.00001)of EHCC overall.In subgroups,patients with microscopically positive resection margin(R1)could achieve a benefit from A(C)RT(HR 0.44,95%CI 0.27–0.72,P=0.001).No statistically OS difference was observed in negative resection margin(R0)subgroup(HR 0.98,95%CI 0.30–3.19,P=0.98).Significant OS benefit was found in patients who received concurrent ACRT(HR 0.40,95%CI 0.26–0.62,P<0.0001),while the result of ART without chemotherapy showed no significant benefit(HR 1.14,95%CI 0.29–4.50,P=0.85).In the distal cholangiocarcinoma subgroup,no significant difference was seen when ACRT and ART were included(HR 0.61,95%CI 0.14–2.72,P=0.52),but a significant difference was seen ewOshSpe,enDc iaFanlSla,yl yianzn iddn igsL ttRahlF ep Sca iotinne cEnutHrsr.C eCnt pAaCtieRnTt so,nelys p(eHcRi a0 ll.y2 i9 n,t9 h5 o%s eC Iw i0 t.h13 R–10 r.e6 s4 e,cPti=o0 n.0 m0 a2 r).g iCnso.n AclCusRioT nms:aAy(bCe)RsTu pmeraiyo ri tmop rAoRvTe .展开更多
We verified that the matrix method, a process analysis method used mainly for life cycle inventory analysis, has several advantages in the analysis of power systems, which have recently become more complex to enhance ...We verified that the matrix method, a process analysis method used mainly for life cycle inventory analysis, has several advantages in the analysis of power systems, which have recently become more complex to enhance efficiency and to reduce C02 emissions. While designing a conceptual thermodynamic model of a complex power system, the matrix method provides a definite procedure and facilitates calculations, even if there is a recttrsive loop between the upstream and downstream processes. Similarly, in the case of partial modification to the constructed model, the matrix method can potentially reduce the time and effort required to calculate the thermodynamic balances, even if the constructed model is designed by others. In this study, we obtained mass flow and energy balances of example model power systems by the matrix method from the common thermodynamic conditions including temperatures and pressures which are set on the basis of an existing industrial steam power system. While analyzing the environmental impact of complex multiproduct power systems, such as carbon emissions, the matrix method can be used to easily derive the environmental impact of each final product. We could verify the efficacy of the matrix method in accurately deriving that of an example model power system.展开更多
文摘China＇s energy carbon emissions are projected to peak in 2030 with approximately 110% of its 2020 level under the following conditions： 1） China＇s gross primary energy consumption is 5 Gtce in 2020 and 6 Gtce in 2030; 2） coal＇s share of the energy consumption is 61% in 2020 and 55% in 2030; 3） non-fossil energy＇s share increases from 15% in 2020 to 20% in 2030; 4） through 2030, China＇s GDP grows at an average annual rate of 6%; 5） the annual energy consumption elasticity coefficient is 0.30 in average; and 6） the annual growth rate of energy consumption steadily reduces to within 1%. China＇s electricity generating capacity would be 1,990 GW, with 8,600 TW h of power generation output in 2020. Of that output 66% would be from coal, 5% from gas, and 29% from non-fossil energy. By 2030, electricity generating capacity would reach 3,170 GW with 11,900 TW h of power generation output. Of that output, 56% would be from coal, 6% from gas, and 37% from non-fossil energy. From 2020 to 2030, CO2 emissions from electric power would relatively fall by 0.2 Gt due to lower coal consumption, and rela- tively fall by nearly 0.3 Gt with the installation of more coal-fired cogeneration units. During 2020--2030, the portion of carbon emissions from electric power in China＇s energy consumption is projected to increase by 3.4 percentage points. Although the carbon emissions from electric power would keep increasing to 118% of the 2020 level in 2030, the electric power industry would continue to play a decisive role in achieving the goal of increase in non-fossil energy use. This study proposes countermeasures and recommendations to control carbon emissions peak, including energy system optimization, green-coal-fired electricity generation, and demand side management.
文摘Pancreatic cancer ranks tenth in terms of newly diagnosed cases, but just 10%–15% of these patients can undergo resection. Survival after curative surgery is dismal, as recurrences occur either locally or in the liver. Adjuvant treatment with either chemotherapy or chemoradiation (with or without maintenance chemotherapy) has been employed, to improve the poor prognosis. Justification for the use of chemoradiation, with follow on chemotherapy, is based on the results of an underpowered 1987 GITSG study, which closed prematurely and compared intervention to observation. There has been no survival advantage demonstrated in the one randomized controlled trial that examined chemoradiation compared to chemotherapy. There is a clear cut survival advantage however with chemotherapy compared to observation, based on the results from two large randomized controlled trials, and supported by an individual patient data meta-analysis. The standard of care for adjuvant therapy based on level I evidence (from the ESPAC-1 trial) is post operative chemotherapy using 5-Fluorouracil with folinic acid providing a best estimate of 29% five years survival.
基金funded by 2011 the Humanities and Social Sciences Research Program of Education Ministry of P.R.China (Grant No.11YJA790229)
文摘In this paper,using the input-output model,the author first calculated the CO 2 emissions embodied in exports of China in 2002 and 2007.Then,the author empirically analyzed problems existing in the composition of exported products and analyzed its possible reasons.The research results of this paper are as follows:Since China's entry into WTO,the CO 2 emissions embodied in exports of China have been increasing rapidly;the value of exported products of high-carbon emissions industries accounts for a relatively higher proportion to China's total exports value because China's carbon intensive products have a certain competitive advantage.Additionally,this paper has put forward relevant suggestions based on these results.
文摘To fully analyze emission characteristics of VOCs （Volatile Organic Compounds） from automobile coating industry in Chongqing city, related enterprises in the city were investigated in detail. The results show that the emission of VOCs from the automobile industry in Chongqing city was approximately 20,000 t in 2012, and the contribution rate of automobile coating was 83%. Most VOCs discharged from automobile coating industry were mainly from the use of coatings, diluents, curing agents and other materials containing VOCs. During the process of automobile coating, VOCs were mainly produced during the processes of spraying and drying. Besides, VOCs are partly produced during the processes of mixing paint, gluing, waxing and repairing. The major ingredients of VOCs discharged during the process of automobile coating were methylbenzene, dimethylbenzene, trimethylbenzene, cumene, ethyl acetate, butyl alcohol, n-butyl alcohol, isobutyl alcohol, formaldehyde, butanone, acetone, cyclohexanone and methyl ethyl ketone. Besides, the ingredients of naphtha and aromatic hydrocarbon in VOCs need to be determined. The maximum OFP （Ozone Formation Potential） of the above pollutants by the typical enterprises was 900-1,300 mg/m^3. The production of SOA （Secondary Organic Aerosol） was 3,636-11,073 t/a, which didn’t include the contribution of aldehydes, ketones, ethers and esters to SOA. This research could provide scientific reference for the establishment of emission standard, control technology and management methods of VOCs from automobile coating industry that accord with economic and social development in Chongqing city.
基金supported by Special Fund for Public Environmental Research"Study of the Characterization of Non-CO_2 Green House Gases Emissions and the Framework for Policy Control"(No.201009052)
文摘China is one of the major producers of chlorodifluoromethane(HCFC-22)in the world.A large amount of fluoroform(HFC-23)is emitted during the production of HCFC-22.Emission factors of HFC-23 were calculated in accordance with the monitoring reports of eleven HFC-23 clean development mechanism(CDM)projects in China and the HFC-23emissions in 2000–2010 as well as that in 2011–2020 were estimated and projected,respectively.It is expected that,by the end of 2020,emissions of HFC-23 in China will be as much as 230 Mt CO2-eq.If HCFC-22 producers voluntarily reduced HFC-23 emissions,it would contribute 3.2%–3.6%to the national CO2emission reduction target for 2020.
文摘This article explores, through a case study, measures of energy efficiency in data processing centers. An analysis of this case demonstrates how the design criteria could improve the rate of consumption in IT centers, which is currently the second most contaminating industry on the planet, and is the responsible for 2% of CO2 emissions, surpassed only by the aeronautical industry. The present and future situation of IT center energy consumption and associated environmental effects is analyzed, and also looks at how state-of-the-art technology, correctly implemented, could ensure significant rationalization of data processing center energy consumption. The article will examine optimization techniques, specific problems and case studies.
文摘An electricity generation planning model of the six major Chinese power grids was developed based on the General Algebraic Modeling System to evaluate and analyze the CDM （clean development mechanism）, including consideration of the environmental co-benefits of reductions in air pollutants （SO~, NO~ and particulate matter） achieved by advanced electricity generation technologies incorporating CCS （carbon capture and storage）. An objective function was developed that included revenue from sales of electric power, total system cost, the cost of CO2 transport and storage, and emissions reduction co-benefits for SOx, NO~, and particulate matter. The objective function was minimized using an optimization model. We also developed a method for evaluating and analyzing the potential for transferring advanced power generation technologies into the Chinese power system through the CDM. We found that： （1） thermal power generation is predominant in the Chinese electricity system and will remain so for a long time; （2） advanced thermal plants are being installed as a result of the CDM, which contribute to decreasing emissions of CO2 and other air pollutants; and （3） CCS projects have significant potential to reduce substantial and sustained CO2 emissions from the Chinese power and industrial sectors.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.81402520)。
文摘Background:Adjuvant(chemo)radiotherapy(A(C)RT)may be an important supplement to surgery for extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma(EHCC).However,whether all patients would achieve benefits from A(C)RT and which adjuvant regimen,adjuvant radiotherapy(ART)or adjuvant chemoradiotherapy(ACRT),would be preferred,are still undetermined.The low incidence of EHCC makes it difficult to carry out randomized controlled trials(RCTs);therefore,almost all clinical studies on radiotherapy are retrospective.We have conducted a meta-analysis of these retrospective studies.Methods:We conducted a meta-analysis of current retrospective studies using PubMed,Embase,and ClinicalTrials databases.All studies published in English that were related to A(C)RT and which analyzed overall survival(OS),disease-free survival(DFS),or locoregional recurrence-free survival(LRFS)were included.Estimated hazard ratios(HRs)were calculated for OS,DFS,and LRFS.Results:Data from eight studies including 685 patients were included.Our analysis showed that A(C)RT significantly improved OS(HR 0.69,95%confidence interval(CI)0.48–0.97,P=0.03),DFS(HR 0.60,95%CI 0.47–0.76,P<0.0001),and LRFS(HR 0.27,95%CI 0.17–0.41,P<0.00001)of EHCC overall.In subgroups,patients with microscopically positive resection margin(R1)could achieve a benefit from A(C)RT(HR 0.44,95%CI 0.27–0.72,P=0.001).No statistically OS difference was observed in negative resection margin(R0)subgroup(HR 0.98,95%CI 0.30–3.19,P=0.98).Significant OS benefit was found in patients who received concurrent ACRT(HR 0.40,95%CI 0.26–0.62,P<0.0001),while the result of ART without chemotherapy showed no significant benefit(HR 1.14,95%CI 0.29–4.50,P=0.85).In the distal cholangiocarcinoma subgroup,no significant difference was seen when ACRT and ART were included(HR 0.61,95%CI 0.14–2.72,P=0.52),but a significant difference was seen ewOshSpe,enDc iaFanlSla,yl yianzn iddn igsL ttRahlF ep Sca iotinne cEnutHrsr.C eCnt pAaCtieRnTt so,nelys p(eHcRi a0 ll.y2 i9 n,t9 h5 o%s eC Iw i0 t.h13 R–10 r.e6 s4 e,cPti=o0 n.0 m0 a2 r).g iCnso.n AclCusRioT nms:aAy(bCe)RsTu pmeraiyo ri tmop rAoRvTe .
文摘We verified that the matrix method, a process analysis method used mainly for life cycle inventory analysis, has several advantages in the analysis of power systems, which have recently become more complex to enhance efficiency and to reduce C02 emissions. While designing a conceptual thermodynamic model of a complex power system, the matrix method provides a definite procedure and facilitates calculations, even if there is a recttrsive loop between the upstream and downstream processes. Similarly, in the case of partial modification to the constructed model, the matrix method can potentially reduce the time and effort required to calculate the thermodynamic balances, even if the constructed model is designed by others. In this study, we obtained mass flow and energy balances of example model power systems by the matrix method from the common thermodynamic conditions including temperatures and pressures which are set on the basis of an existing industrial steam power system. While analyzing the environmental impact of complex multiproduct power systems, such as carbon emissions, the matrix method can be used to easily derive the environmental impact of each final product. We could verify the efficacy of the matrix method in accurately deriving that of an example model power system.
