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基于故障率的舰艇维修备品备件优化配置 被引量:10
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作者 张怀强 卢远超 王孟 《火力与指挥控制》 CSCD 北大核心 2019年第5期17-21,共5页
针对战时武器装备对抗强度大,对维修保障率要求较高的特点,建立舰艇维修备品备件资源优化配置模型。根据不同备品备件故障率分布,建立了舰艇装备保障率计算模型和备品备件保障费用约束模型,根据作战任务特点进行了多目标决策,通过案例分... 针对战时武器装备对抗强度大,对维修保障率要求较高的特点,建立舰艇维修备品备件资源优化配置模型。根据不同备品备件故障率分布,建立了舰艇装备保障率计算模型和备品备件保障费用约束模型,根据作战任务特点进行了多目标决策,通过案例分析,验证了模型的可行性和有效性,对提升舰艇装备保障率、保障舰艇作战任务的执行具有重要意义。 展开更多
关键词 故障率分布 装备保障 备品备件配置 多目标模糊决策
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输电线路冰害年故障率研究分析 被引量:9
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作者 唐斌 张胜峰 +3 位作者 唐飞 柳骏 邹宏亮 曾晓 《电测与仪表》 北大核心 2020年第17期29-33,共5页
针对冰害所导致的输电线路故障问题,研究分析了区域输电线路年故障率。采用适用于气候极值概率分析的皮尔逊Ⅲ型分布拟合年覆冰极值,得到覆冰极值分布;基于金属形变理论,构建条件覆冰厚度下的线路故障概率模型;综合得到区域输电线路年... 针对冰害所导致的输电线路故障问题,研究分析了区域输电线路年故障率。采用适用于气候极值概率分析的皮尔逊Ⅲ型分布拟合年覆冰极值,得到覆冰极值分布;基于金属形变理论,构建条件覆冰厚度下的线路故障概率模型;综合得到区域输电线路年故障率分布,并采用遗传算法对其参数进行估计。算例分析验证了所提方法的合理有效性,其结果表明:皮尔逊Ⅲ型分布适用于覆冰极值的拟合;基于金属形变理论的线路冰害故障概率模型可真实反映线路的冰害故障可能性;综合得到的区域输电线路年故障率分布可应用于综合分析区域输电线路的冰害故障。 展开更多
关键词 冰害 输电线路故障 皮尔逊Ⅲ型分布 线路年故障率分布 参数估计
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Stochastic differential equation software reliability growth model with change-point 被引量:1
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作者 张楠 Cui Gang +1 位作者 Shu Yanjun Liu Hongwei 《High Technology Letters》 EI CAS 2014年第4期383-389,共7页
This paper presents software reliability growth models(SRGMs) with change-point based on the stochastic differential equation(SDE).Although SRGMs based on SDE have been developed in a large scale software system,consi... This paper presents software reliability growth models(SRGMs) with change-point based on the stochastic differential equation(SDE).Although SRGMs based on SDE have been developed in a large scale software system,considering the variation of failure distribution in the existing models during testing time is limited.These SDE SRGMs assume that failures have the same distribution.However,in practice,the fault detection rate can be affected by some factors and may be changed at certain point as time proceeds.With respect to this issue,in this paper,SDE SRGMs with changepoint are proposed to precisely reflect the variations of the failure distribution.A real data set is used to evaluate the new models.The experimental results show that the proposed models have a fairly accurate prediction capability. 展开更多
关键词 software reliability continuous state space stochastic differential equation (SDE) CHANGE-POINT
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STATISTICAL INFERENCE OF WEIBULL DISTRIBUTION FOR TAMPERED FAILURE RATE MODEL IN PROGRESSIVE STRESS ACCELERATED LIFE TESTING 被引量:12
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作者 WANGRonghua FEIHeliang 《Journal of Systems Science & Complexity》 SCIE EI CSCD 2004年第2期237-243,共7页
In this note,the tampered failure rate model is generalized from the step-stress accelerated life testing setting to the progressive stress accelerated life testing for the first time.For the parametric setting where ... In this note,the tampered failure rate model is generalized from the step-stress accelerated life testing setting to the progressive stress accelerated life testing for the first time.For the parametric setting where the scale parameter satisfying the equation of the inverse power law is Weibull,maximum likelihood estimation is investigated. 展开更多
关键词 tampered failure rate model weibull distribution survival function progressive stress accelerated life test maximum likelihood estimation inverse power law
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A random medium model for simulation of concrete failure 被引量:8
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作者 LIANG ShiXue REN XiaoDan LI Jie 《Science China(Technological Sciences)》 SCIE EI CAS 2013年第5期1273-1281,共9页
A random medium model is developed to describe damage and failure of concrete.In the first place,to simulate the evolving cracks in a mesoscale,the concrete is randomly discretized as irregular finite elements.Moreove... A random medium model is developed to describe damage and failure of concrete.In the first place,to simulate the evolving cracks in a mesoscale,the concrete is randomly discretized as irregular finite elements.Moreover,the cohesive elements are inserted into the adjacency of finite elements as the possible cracking paths.The spatial variation of the material properties is considered using a 2-D random field,and the stochastic harmonic function method is adopted to simulate the sample of the fracture energy random field in the analysis.Then,the simulations of concrete specimens are given to describe the different failure modes of concrete under tension.Finally,based on the simulating results,the probability density distributions of the stress-strain curves are solved by the probability density evolution methods.Thus,the accuracy and efficiency of the proposed model are verified in both the sample level and collection level. 展开更多
关键词 failure simulation cohesive elements random field probability density evolution
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