There are many kinds of real options,which are valuable,in each phase of the lifetime of an information technology(IT)project.However,in the current IT investment decision theory,real options that embedded in IT proje...There are many kinds of real options,which are valuable,in each phase of the lifetime of an information technology(IT)project.However,in the current IT investment decision theory,real options that embedded in IT projects are not considered. In this paper, the process of IT project decision and implementation is fully analyzed, the real options that may be embedded in an IT project are identified, and a real option analysis (ROA) method is proposed for evaluation of an IT project under uncertain business environment. ROA employs Black-Scholes expansion model and cancels the assumption that the cost of project is certain. The numerical example manifests that the ROA can better evaluate IT project and select the IT investment alternative. Finally, a road map is provided to help selecting the suitable evaluation method to make IT investment decision.展开更多
A new mathematical expectation formula with some hypotheses, notions and propositions was given to get rid of the challenge of St. Petersburg paradox and Pascal's wager. Relevant results show that it is very effec...A new mathematical expectation formula with some hypotheses, notions and propositions was given to get rid of the challenge of St. Petersburg paradox and Pascal's wager. Relevant results show that it is very effective to apply the model to solve the expected revenue problems containing random events with low proba-bility but high revenue. This work also provides the probability theory with a more widely applied perspective in group decision-making.展开更多
The present study shows that naturally the enormous engineering structure interaction with medium material, geometry or non linearity hazardous simulation experiment, response analysis and computing theory have been r...The present study shows that naturally the enormous engineering structure interaction with medium material, geometry or non linearity hazardous simulation experiment, response analysis and computing theory have been regarded as a high level question in the architecture, bridge, tunnel, hydraulic, etc engineering fields.Approaches an integrated intelligent methodology to predict stability and supporting decision in underground drift based on neural network modelling on coal rock mechanical problem is proposed.By the terms of the non linearity numerical simulation, this paper develops integrated intelligent methodology to research on the structure hazardous response strata soft rock drifts.展开更多
The aim of this work is to demonstrate how public university hospital （UH） managers can improve the process of decision-making by using the measurement of economic value added to the society （EVAS） generated by th...The aim of this work is to demonstrate how public university hospital （UH） managers can improve the process of decision-making by using the measurement of economic value added to the society （EVAS） generated by these organizations. Thus, the economic values of the organization and its departments were calculated, according to the theory studied： measurement model of economic result of Slomski （1996）. It was considered the conduction of a case study in a public UH, evaluating its economic performance in a 3-year period. For the interpretation of results, the Data Envelopment Analysis （DEA） which categorized the departments of the hospital studied as efficient or inefficient was used. This study revealed that managers can improve the decision-making process by using the EVAS, since it has been established that this measurement of economic value has sensitivity to identify which of the economic value drivers should be emphasized in the management.展开更多
A problem of a hierarchy structure optimization is considered.Hierarchical structures arewidely used in the Analytic Hierarchy Process,conjoint analysis,and various other methods of multiplecriteria decision making.Th...A problem of a hierarchy structure optimization is considered.Hierarchical structures arewidely used in the Analytic Hierarchy Process,conjoint analysis,and various other methods of multiplecriteria decision making.The problem consists in finding a structure that needs a minimum number ofpair comparisons for a given total number of the alternatives.For an optimal hierarchy,the minimumefforts are needed for eliciting data and synthesizing the local preferences across the hierarchy to getthe global priorities or utilities.Special estimation techniques are developed and numerical simulationsperformed.Analytical and numerical results suggest optimal ways of priority evaluations for practicalmanagerial decisions in a complex environment.展开更多
文摘There are many kinds of real options,which are valuable,in each phase of the lifetime of an information technology(IT)project.However,in the current IT investment decision theory,real options that embedded in IT projects are not considered. In this paper, the process of IT project decision and implementation is fully analyzed, the real options that may be embedded in an IT project are identified, and a real option analysis (ROA) method is proposed for evaluation of an IT project under uncertain business environment. ROA employs Black-Scholes expansion model and cancels the assumption that the cost of project is certain. The numerical example manifests that the ROA can better evaluate IT project and select the IT investment alternative. Finally, a road map is provided to help selecting the suitable evaluation method to make IT investment decision.
基金the Scientific Research Foundation of Hunan Education Department (No. 05C185)
文摘A new mathematical expectation formula with some hypotheses, notions and propositions was given to get rid of the challenge of St. Petersburg paradox and Pascal's wager. Relevant results show that it is very effective to apply the model to solve the expected revenue problems containing random events with low proba-bility but high revenue. This work also provides the probability theory with a more widely applied perspective in group decision-making.
文摘The present study shows that naturally the enormous engineering structure interaction with medium material, geometry or non linearity hazardous simulation experiment, response analysis and computing theory have been regarded as a high level question in the architecture, bridge, tunnel, hydraulic, etc engineering fields.Approaches an integrated intelligent methodology to predict stability and supporting decision in underground drift based on neural network modelling on coal rock mechanical problem is proposed.By the terms of the non linearity numerical simulation, this paper develops integrated intelligent methodology to research on the structure hazardous response strata soft rock drifts.
文摘The aim of this work is to demonstrate how public university hospital （UH） managers can improve the process of decision-making by using the measurement of economic value added to the society （EVAS） generated by these organizations. Thus, the economic values of the organization and its departments were calculated, according to the theory studied： measurement model of economic result of Slomski （1996）. It was considered the conduction of a case study in a public UH, evaluating its economic performance in a 3-year period. For the interpretation of results, the Data Envelopment Analysis （DEA） which categorized the departments of the hospital studied as efficient or inefficient was used. This study revealed that managers can improve the decision-making process by using the EVAS, since it has been established that this measurement of economic value has sensitivity to identify which of the economic value drivers should be emphasized in the management.
文摘A problem of a hierarchy structure optimization is considered.Hierarchical structures arewidely used in the Analytic Hierarchy Process,conjoint analysis,and various other methods of multiplecriteria decision making.The problem consists in finding a structure that needs a minimum number ofpair comparisons for a given total number of the alternatives.For an optimal hierarchy,the minimumefforts are needed for eliciting data and synthesizing the local preferences across the hierarchy to getthe global priorities or utilities.Special estimation techniques are developed and numerical simulationsperformed.Analytical and numerical results suggest optimal ways of priority evaluations for practicalmanagerial decisions in a complex environment.
