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基于Monte Carlo模拟法自增强厚壁圆筒可靠性研究 被引量:2
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作者 赵斌 《石油化工高等学校学报》 CAS 2004年第2期61-63,共3页
 为保证安全生产对厚壁圆筒的可靠性研究是非常必要的。MonteCarlo模拟法可适用于解决可靠性工程问题,其求得的断裂概率值高。因此,利用MonteCarlo模拟法可以有效地对在役的自增强圆筒进行可靠性评估。通过对Cr-Ni-Mo-V钢材进行模拟得...  为保证安全生产对厚壁圆筒的可靠性研究是非常必要的。MonteCarlo模拟法可适用于解决可靠性工程问题,其求得的断裂概率值高。因此,利用MonteCarlo模拟法可以有效地对在役的自增强圆筒进行可靠性评估。通过对Cr-Ni-Mo-V钢材进行模拟得出了一种适合于自增强厚壁圆筒的新的缺陷评定方法。推出了概率模型,确定了与临界裂纹尺寸有关的确定量和随机变量。随机变量按正态分布,利用统计方法和假设检验,最后采用了矩形法得出了不同置信度和可靠度下的临界裂纹尺寸,可作为确定评定标准的依据。 展开更多
关键词 MonteCarlo模拟法 厚壁圆筒 断裂概率值 疲劳寿命 压力容器
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Assessment of the Design Displacement Values at Seismic Fault Crossings and of Their Excess Probability 被引量:1
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作者 STROM Alexander IVASCHENKO Alexey KOZHURIN Andrey 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2011年第2期228-233,共6页
Line structures such as pipelines that cross active faults should be designed to retain leak-tightness if the design displacement (Ddesign) occurs. Principal approaches to the Ddesign and rupture kinematics assessment... Line structures such as pipelines that cross active faults should be designed to retain leak-tightness if the design displacement (Ddesign) occurs. Principal approaches to the Ddesign and rupture kinematics assessment are described. They are based on relationships between earthquake magnitude, rupture length and displacement, and on the detailed field data on a specific fault that crosses the pipeline route. Since the future offset at the crossing may exceed the design value, the probability of a displacement occurrence where the safety of the structure can not be ensured should be estimated. Assessment method on such event probability is described and exemplified through active fault studies carried out at several pipeline projects in Russia. 展开更多
关键词 Active Fault Surface Rupture Design Displacement Pipeline Sakhalin Island
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